Premier League·Etapa 10·
Premier League·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
25%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,402,80sigur0,43–2,370,55–2,260,98–4,62mai sigur0,18–2,620,32–2,490,50–5,10
Șuturi pe poartă
46%
13%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,764,549,31sigur2,90–6,632,80–6,295,70–12,91mai sigur2,41–7,122,34–6,754,75–13,87
Total șuturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,2812,2825,56sigur9,36–17,218,72–15,8418,07–33,05mai sigur8,27–18,307,76–16,8016,02–35,10
Șuturi din careu
38%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,238,9517,18sigur5,28–11,176,27–11,6311,55–22,80mai sigur4,45–12,005,53–12,379,99–24,37
Șuturi blocate
43%
15%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,593,577,16sigur1,71–5,471,92–5,223,62–10,70mai sigur1,16–6,011,43–5,722,59–11,73
Cornere
45%
13%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,794,659,43sigur2,57–7,002,65–6,655,22–13,65mai sigur2,00–7,582,11–7,184,11–14,76
Posesie %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,1050,26sigur43,31–56,8943,48–57,05mai sigur41,64–58,5641,81–58,72
Pase
50%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție421421842sigur354–488355–487708–976mai sigur336–506337–505673–1011
Precizie pase %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,9076,64sigur70,87–78,9372,32–80,96mai sigur69,58–80,2271,01–82,27
Faulturi
55%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,5714,3229,90sigur12,74–18,4111,38–17,2724,11–35,68mai sigur11,98–19,1710,63–18,0122,61–37,18
Ofsaiduri
34%
21%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,983,67sigur0,53–2,850,89–3,071,42–5,93mai sigur0,23–3,160,60–3,360,83–6,52
Cartonașe galbene
44%
18%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,722,585,30sigur1,67–3,771,45–3,713,12–7,48mai sigur1,41–4,041,16–4,002,57–8,04
Cartonașe roșii
14%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,170,110,29sigur0,01–0,330,00–0,300,00–0,63mai sigur0,00–0,480,00–0,430,00–0,92
Parade portar
42%
16%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,143,126,25sigur1,70–4,571,56–4,673,26–9,25mai sigur1,31–4,961,14–5,102,45–10,06
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,40 0,43–2,37 0,18–2,62 | 1,40 0,55–2,26 0,32–2,49 | 2,80 0,98–4,62 0,50–5,10 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,76 2,90–6,63 2,41–7,12 | 4,54 2,80–6,29 2,34–6,75 | 9,31 5,70–12,91 4,75–13,87 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 13,28 9,36–17,21 8,27–18,30 | 12,28 8,72–15,84 7,76–16,80 | 25,56 18,07–33,05 16,02–35,10 | 54% 38% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,23 5,28–11,17 4,45–12,00 | 8,95 6,27–11,63 5,53–12,37 | 17,18 11,55–22,80 9,99–24,37 | 38% 52% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,59 1,71–5,47 1,16–6,01 | 3,57 1,92–5,22 1,43–5,72 | 7,16 3,62–10,70 2,59–11,73 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Cornere | 4,79 2,57–7,00 2,00–7,58 | 4,65 2,65–6,65 2,11–7,18 | 9,43 5,22–13,65 4,11–14,76 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Posesie % | 50,10 43,31–56,89 41,64–58,56 | 50,26 43,48–57,05 41,81–58,72 | — | 47% 48% |
| Pase | 421 354–488 336–506 | 421 355–487 337–505 | 842 708–976 673–1011 | 50% 50% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,90 70,87–78,93 69,58–80,22 | 76,64 72,32–80,96 71,01–82,27 | — | 39% 56% |
| Faulturi | 15,57 12,74–18,41 11,98–19,17 | 14,32 11,38–17,27 10,63–18,01 | 29,90 24,11–35,68 22,61–37,18 | 55% 37% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,23–3,16 | 1,98 0,89–3,07 0,60–3,36 | 3,67 1,42–5,93 0,83–6,52 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,72 1,67–3,77 1,41–4,04 | 2,58 1,45–3,71 1,16–4,00 | 5,30 3,12–7,48 2,57–8,04 | 44% 18% 39% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,17 0,01–0,33 0,00–0,48 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,29 0,00–0,63 0,00–0,92 | 14% 76% |
| Parade portar | 3,14 1,70–4,57 1,31–4,96 | 3,12 1,56–4,67 1,14–5,10 | 6,25 3,26–9,25 2,45–10,06 | 42% 16% 42% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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