Premier League·Etapa 11·
Premier League·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
43%
27%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,082,44sigur0,39–2,320,23–1,940,61–4,26mai sigur0,14–2,570,00–2,160,13–4,74
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,733,348,07sigur2,87–6,601,60–5,084,47–11,68mai sigur2,38–7,091,13–5,553,51–12,63
Total șuturi
75%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3210,4824,81sigur10,40–18,256,92–14,0517,32–32,29mai sigur9,31–19,345,96–15,0015,27–34,34
Șuturi din careu
73%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,996,0915,08sigur6,05–11,933,41–8,779,45–20,70mai sigur5,22–12,762,67–9,517,89–22,27
Șuturi blocate
61%
15%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,732,506,23sigur1,85–5,610,84–4,152,69–9,76mai sigur1,30–6,160,35–4,641,66–10,80
Cornere
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,073,839,90sigur3,86–8,291,83–5,835,69–14,11mai sigur3,29–8,861,29–6,364,58–15,22
Posesie %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,0050,41sigur42,21–55,7943,62–57,19mai sigur40,54–57,4641,95–58,86
Pase
46%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție381393774sigur314–448327–460641–908mai sigur296–466309–477605–944
Precizie pase %
22%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,7467,24sigur57,71–65,7762,91–71,56mai sigur56,42–67,0661,60–72,87
Faulturi
36%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5715,0228,60sigur10,74–16,4112,08–17,9722,82–34,38mai sigur9,98–17,1711,33–18,7221,31–35,88
Ofsaiduri
42%
21%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,031,893,92sigur0,87–3,190,80–2,981,66–6,17mai sigur0,57–3,490,51–3,271,08–6,76
Cartonașe galbene
35%
18%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,432,775,20sigur1,38–3,481,64–3,893,02–7,38mai sigur1,12–3,751,35–4,192,46–7,93
Cartonașe roșii
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,180,30sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,370,00–0,65mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,500,00–0,93
Parade portar
29%
17%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,273,035,30sigur0,84–3,711,47–4,592,31–8,30mai sigur0,45–4,101,05–5,011,50–9,11
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,39–2,32 0,14–2,57 | 1,08 0,23–1,94 0,00–2,16 | 2,44 0,61–4,26 0,13–4,74 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,73 2,87–6,60 2,38–7,09 | 3,34 1,60–5,08 1,13–5,55 | 8,07 4,47–11,68 3,51–12,63 | 62% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 14,32 10,40–18,25 9,31–19,34 | 10,48 6,92–14,05 5,96–15,00 | 24,81 17,32–32,29 15,27–34,34 | 75% 19% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,99 6,05–11,93 5,22–12,76 | 6,09 3,41–8,77 2,67–9,51 | 15,08 9,45–20,70 7,89–22,27 | 73% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,73 1,85–5,61 1,30–6,16 | 2,50 0,84–4,15 0,35–4,64 | 6,23 2,69–9,76 1,66–10,80 | 61% 15% 24% |
| Cornere | 6,07 3,86–8,29 3,29–8,86 | 3,83 1,83–5,83 1,29–6,36 | 9,90 5,69–14,11 4,58–15,22 | 71% 19% |
| Posesie % | 49,00 42,21–55,79 40,54–57,46 | 50,41 43,62–57,19 41,95–58,86 | — | 44% 51% |
| Pase | 381 314–448 296–466 | 393 327–460 309–477 | 774 641–908 605–944 | 46% 54% |
| Precizie pase % | 61,74 57,71–65,77 56,42–67,06 | 67,24 62,91–71,56 61,60–72,87 | — | 22% 74% |
| Faulturi | 13,57 10,74–16,41 9,98–17,17 | 15,02 12,08–17,97 11,33–18,72 | 28,60 22,82–34,38 21,31–35,88 | 36% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,03 0,87–3,19 0,57–3,49 | 1,89 0,80–2,98 0,51–3,27 | 3,92 1,66–6,17 1,08–6,76 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,43 1,38–3,48 1,12–3,75 | 2,77 1,64–3,89 1,35–4,19 | 5,20 3,02–7,38 2,46–7,93 | 35% 18% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,37 0,00–0,50 | 0,30 0,00–0,65 0,00–0,93 | 76% 15% |
| Parade portar | 2,27 0,84–3,71 0,45–4,10 | 3,03 1,47–4,59 1,05–5,01 | 5,30 2,31–8,30 1,50–9,11 | 29% 17% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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