Premier League·Etapa 11·
Premier League·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
23%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,223,07sigur0,88–2,820,36–2,071,25–4,89mai sigur0,63–3,070,13–2,300,77–5,37
Șuturi pe poartă
69%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,713,729,43sigur3,85–7,571,98–5,465,83–13,04mai sigur3,36–8,061,51–5,934,87–13,99
Total șuturi
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,209,2525,46sigur12,28–20,135,69–12,8217,97–32,94mai sigur11,19–21,224,73–13,7815,92–35,00
Șuturi din careu
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,486,1316,61sigur7,54–13,433,44–8,8110,99–22,23mai sigur6,71–14,252,71–9,549,42–23,80
Șuturi blocate
73%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,072,056,12sigur2,19–5,950,40–3,712,59–9,66mai sigur1,64–6,500,00–4,201,55–10,69
Cornere
73%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,993,609,59sigur3,78–8,211,60–5,605,38–13,80mai sigur3,21–8,781,06–6,134,27–14,91
Posesie %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,2342,04sigur51,44–65,0235,25–48,82mai sigur49,77–66,6933,58–50,49
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție518365883sigur451–586298–431749–1017mai sigur433–604281–449714–1052
Precizie pase %
77%
20%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,3767,23sigur69,34–77,4062,91–71,56mai sigur68,05–78,7061,60–72,86
Faulturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8913,9726,86sigur10,06–15,7311,03–16,9221,08–32,65mai sigur9,30–16,4910,28–17,6619,58–34,15
Ofsaiduri
32%
17%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,493,095,58sigur1,33–3,652,00–4,183,33–7,83mai sigur1,03–3,951,71–4,472,74–8,42
Cartonașe galbene
29%
19%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,862,504,36sigur0,81–2,911,37–3,632,19–6,54mai sigur0,54–3,181,08–3,921,63–7,10
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,150,22sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,330,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,470,00–0,85
Parade portar
21%
14%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,393,916,30sigur0,95–3,822,35–5,473,30–9,29mai sigur0,56–4,211,93–5,892,49–10,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,85 0,88–2,82 0,63–3,07 | 1,22 0,36–2,07 0,13–2,30 | 3,07 1,25–4,89 0,77–5,37 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,71 3,85–7,57 3,36–8,06 | 3,72 1,98–5,46 1,51–5,93 | 9,43 5,83–13,04 4,87–13,99 | 69% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 16,20 12,28–20,13 11,19–21,22 | 9,25 5,69–12,82 4,73–13,78 | 25,46 17,97–32,94 15,92–35,00 | 90% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,48 7,54–13,43 6,71–14,25 | 6,13 3,44–8,81 2,71–9,54 | 16,61 10,99–22,23 9,42–23,80 | 83% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,07 2,19–5,95 1,64–6,50 | 2,05 0,40–3,71 0,00–4,20 | 6,12 2,59–9,66 1,55–10,69 | 73% 15% |
| Cornere | 5,99 3,78–8,21 3,21–8,78 | 3,60 1,60–5,60 1,06–6,13 | 9,59 5,38–13,80 4,27–14,91 | 73% 17% |
| Posesie % | 58,23 51,44–65,02 49,77–66,69 | 42,04 35,25–48,82 33,58–50,49 | — | 82% 15% |
| Pase | 518 451–586 433–604 | 365 298–431 281–449 | 883 749–1017 714–1052 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,37 69,34–77,40 68,05–78,70 | 67,23 62,91–71,56 61,60–72,86 | — | 77% 20% |
| Faulturi | 12,89 10,06–15,73 9,30–16,49 | 13,97 11,03–16,92 10,28–17,66 | 26,86 21,08–32,65 19,58–34,15 | 38% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,49 1,33–3,65 1,03–3,95 | 3,09 2,00–4,18 1,71–4,47 | 5,58 3,33–7,83 2,74–8,42 | 32% 17% 51% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,86 0,81–2,91 0,54–3,18 | 2,50 1,37–3,63 1,08–3,92 | 4,36 2,19–6,54 1,63–7,10 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,15 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,47 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,39 0,95–3,82 0,56–4,21 | 3,91 2,35–5,47 1,93–5,89 | 6,30 3,30–9,29 2,49–10,10 | 21% 14% 66% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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