Premier League·Etapa 11·
Premier League·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
28%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,171,162,33sigur0,20–2,140,30–2,010,50–4,15mai sigur0,00–2,390,07–2,240,03–4,63
Șuturi pe poartă
46%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,544,348,88sigur2,68–6,402,60–6,095,28–12,49mai sigur2,19–6,892,14–6,554,32–13,44
Total șuturi
49%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6713,3026,97sigur9,74–17,599,74–16,8719,48–34,46mai sigur8,65–18,688,78–17,8217,43–36,51
Șuturi din careu
47%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,468,2316,69sigur5,52–11,415,55–10,9111,07–22,31mai sigur4,69–12,234,81–11,649,50–23,88
Șuturi blocate
50%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,482,966,44sigur1,59–5,361,31–4,612,90–9,97mai sigur1,05–5,900,82–5,111,87–11,01
Cornere
54%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,604,7610,36sigur3,39–7,812,76–6,766,15–14,58mai sigur2,81–8,392,23–7,305,04–15,68
Posesie %
72%
24%
gazdeoaspețipredicție55,4644,49sigur48,67–62,2537,71–51,28mai sigur47,00–63,9236,04–52,95
Pase
82%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție421312732sigur353–488245–378599–866mai sigur335–506228–396563–902
Precizie pase %
52%
43%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,3664,43sigur61,33–69,3960,10–68,75mai sigur60,04–70,6858,79–70,06
Faulturi
32%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5916,6831,26sigur11,75–17,4313,73–19,6225,48–37,05mai sigur11,00–18,1812,98–20,3723,98–38,55
Ofsaiduri
32%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,812,244,04sigur0,65–2,971,14–3,331,79–6,30mai sigur0,34–3,270,86–3,621,20–6,89
Cartonașe galbene
36%
17%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,602,935,53sigur1,55–3,651,80–4,063,35–7,71mai sigur1,28–3,911,51–4,352,79–8,26
Cartonașe roșii
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,150,28sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,340,00–0,63mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,470,00–0,91
Parade portar
36%
16%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,923,296,21sigur1,48–4,361,73–4,843,21–9,20mai sigur1,10–4,741,30–5,272,40–10,01
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,17 0,20–2,14 0,00–2,39 | 1,16 0,30–2,01 0,07–2,24 | 2,33 0,50–4,15 0,03–4,63 | 36% 28% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,54 2,68–6,40 2,19–6,89 | 4,34 2,60–6,09 2,14–6,55 | 8,88 5,28–12,49 4,32–13,44 | 46% 14% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 13,67 9,74–17,59 8,65–18,68 | 13,30 9,74–16,87 8,78–17,82 | 26,97 19,48–34,46 17,43–36,51 | 49% 43% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,46 5,52–11,41 4,69–12,23 | 8,23 5,55–10,91 4,81–11,64 | 16,69 11,07–22,31 9,50–23,88 | 47% 43% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,48 1,59–5,36 1,05–5,90 | 2,96 1,31–4,61 0,82–5,11 | 6,44 2,90–9,97 1,87–11,01 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,60 3,39–7,81 2,81–8,39 | 4,76 2,76–6,76 2,23–7,30 | 10,36 6,15–14,58 5,04–15,68 | 54% 34% |
| Posesie % | 55,46 48,67–62,25 47,00–63,92 | 44,49 37,71–51,28 36,04–52,95 | — | 72% 24% |
| Pase | 421 353–488 335–506 | 312 245–378 228–396 | 732 599–866 563–902 | 82% 18% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,36 61,33–69,39 60,04–70,68 | 64,43 60,10–68,75 58,79–70,06 | — | 52% 43% |
| Faulturi | 14,59 11,75–17,43 11,00–18,18 | 16,68 13,73–19,62 12,98–20,37 | 31,26 25,48–37,05 23,98–38,55 | 32% 61% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,81 0,65–2,97 0,34–3,27 | 2,24 1,14–3,33 0,86–3,62 | 4,04 1,79–6,30 1,20–6,89 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,60 1,55–3,65 1,28–3,91 | 2,93 1,80–4,06 1,51–4,35 | 5,53 3,35–7,71 2,79–8,26 | 36% 17% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,15 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,47 | 0,28 0,00–0,63 0,00–0,91 | 77% |
| Parade portar | 2,92 1,48–4,36 1,10–4,74 | 3,29 1,73–4,84 1,30–5,27 | 6,21 3,21–9,20 2,40–10,01 | 36% 16% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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