Premier League·Etapa 12·
Premier League·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
52%
25%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,640,992,63sigur0,67–2,600,14–1,840,80–4,45mai sigur0,42–2,850,00–2,070,32–4,93
Șuturi pe poartă
61%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,073,758,82sigur3,21–6,932,00–5,495,21–12,42mai sigur2,72–7,421,54–5,964,26–13,38
Total șuturi
71%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5411,1925,73sigur10,62–18,477,63–14,7518,25–33,22mai sigur9,53–19,566,67–15,7116,20–35,27
Șuturi din careu
69%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,737,1616,90sigur6,79–12,684,48–9,8411,27–22,52mai sigur5,96–13,513,74–10,589,71–24,09
Șuturi blocate
63%
14%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,172,796,96sigur2,29–6,051,14–4,443,42–10,50mai sigur1,75–6,600,64–4,932,39–11,53
Cornere
73%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,433,9810,41sigur4,22–8,641,98–5,986,20–14,62mai sigur3,64–9,221,45–6,525,09–15,73
Posesie %
83%
14%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,5541,24sigur51,76–65,3434,46–48,03mai sigur50,09–67,0132,79–49,70
Pase
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție454295750sigur387–522229–362616–883mai sigur369–540211–379580–919
Precizie pase %
68%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,0964,07sigur64,06–72,1259,75–68,39mai sigur62,77–73,4158,44–69,70
Faulturi
16%
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9517,9630,91sigur10,11–15,7915,02–20,9125,13–36,69mai sigur9,35–16,5414,27–21,6623,62–38,20
Ofsaiduri
42%
23%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,721,573,28sigur0,55–2,880,47–2,661,03–5,54mai sigur0,25–3,180,19–2,950,44–6,13
Cartonașe galbene
20%
15%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,953,305,26sigur0,90–3,002,17–4,433,08–7,43mai sigur0,64–3,271,88–4,722,52–7,99
Cartonașe roșii
75%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,190,31sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,380,00–0,65mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,510,00–0,94
Parade portar
27%
16%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,523,475,99sigur1,08–3,961,92–5,033,00–8,98mai sigur0,70–4,341,49–5,452,19–9,80
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,64 0,67–2,60 0,42–2,85 | 0,99 0,14–1,84 0,00–2,07 | 2,63 0,80–4,45 0,32–4,93 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,07 3,21–6,93 2,72–7,42 | 3,75 2,00–5,49 1,54–5,96 | 8,82 5,21–12,42 4,26–13,38 | 61% 27% |
| Total șuturi | 14,54 10,62–18,47 9,53–19,56 | 11,19 7,63–14,75 6,67–15,71 | 25,73 18,25–33,22 16,20–35,27 | 71% 22% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,73 6,79–12,68 5,96–13,51 | 7,16 4,48–9,84 3,74–10,58 | 16,90 11,27–22,52 9,71–24,09 | 69% 23% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,17 2,29–6,05 1,75–6,60 | 2,79 1,14–4,44 0,64–4,93 | 6,96 3,42–10,50 2,39–11,53 | 63% 14% 23% |
| Cornere | 6,43 4,22–8,64 3,64–9,22 | 3,98 1,98–5,98 1,45–6,52 | 10,41 6,20–14,62 5,09–15,73 | 73% 18% |
| Posesie % | 58,55 51,76–65,34 50,09–67,01 | 41,24 34,46–48,03 32,79–49,70 | — | 83% 14% |
| Pase | 454 387–522 369–540 | 295 229–362 211–379 | 750 616–883 580–919 | 91% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,09 64,06–72,12 62,77–73,41 | 64,07 59,75–68,39 58,44–69,70 | — | 68% 28% |
| Faulturi | 12,95 10,11–15,79 9,35–16,54 | 17,96 15,02–20,91 14,27–21,66 | 30,91 25,13–36,69 23,62–38,20 | 16% 79% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,72 0,55–2,88 0,25–3,18 | 1,57 0,47–2,66 0,19–2,95 | 3,28 1,03–5,54 0,44–6,13 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,95 0,90–3,00 0,64–3,27 | 3,30 2,17–4,43 1,88–4,72 | 5,26 3,08–7,43 2,52–7,99 | 20% 15% 64% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,38 0,00–0,51 | 0,31 0,00–0,65 0,00–0,94 | 75% 16% |
| Parade portar | 2,52 1,08–3,96 0,70–4,34 | 3,47 1,92–5,03 1,49–5,45 | 5,99 3,00–8,98 2,19–9,80 | 27% 16% 57% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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