Premier League·Etapa 12·
Premier League·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
26%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,231,412,64sigur0,27–2,200,55–2,260,82–4,46mai sigur0,01–2,450,32–2,490,34–4,94
Șuturi pe poartă
39%
13%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,424,789,20sigur2,56–6,283,03–6,525,59–12,80mai sigur2,07–6,772,57–6,984,63–13,76
Total șuturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3713,2325,61sigur8,45–16,309,67–16,8018,12–33,09mai sigur7,36–17,398,71–17,7616,07–35,14
Șuturi din careu
30%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,118,6515,76sigur4,16–10,055,97–11,3310,13–21,38mai sigur3,33–10,885,23–12,078,57–22,95
Șuturi blocate
41%
16%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,293,356,63sigur1,41–5,171,69–5,003,10–10,17mai sigur0,86–5,711,20–5,492,06–11,20
Cornere
37%
13%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,404,919,31sigur2,19–6,612,91–6,915,09–13,52mai sigur1,61–7,192,37–7,443,99–14,63
Posesie %
23%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,5756,33sigur37,78–51,3649,54–63,11mai sigur36,11–53,0347,87–64,78
Pase
19%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție375478854sigur308–442412–545720–987mai sigur290–461394–562684–1023
Precizie pase %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,1676,25sigur63,13–71,1971,93–80,57mai sigur61,84–72,4870,62–81,88
Faulturi
48%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,0314,8529,88sigur12,20–17,8711,91–17,7924,10–35,67mai sigur11,44–18,6311,16–18,5422,60–37,17
Ofsaiduri
22%
18%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,602,644,24sigur0,44–2,761,55–3,731,98–6,49mai sigur0,13–3,061,26–4,021,39–7,08
Cartonașe galbene
37%
18%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,452,675,13sigur1,40–3,501,55–3,802,95–7,31mai sigur1,14–3,771,25–4,092,39–7,86
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,120,25sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,310,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,440,00–0,88
Parade portar
44%
16%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,223,086,30sigur1,79–4,661,52–4,633,31–9,29mai sigur1,40–5,051,10–5,062,49–10,10
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,23 0,27–2,20 0,01–2,45 | 1,41 0,55–2,26 0,32–2,49 | 2,64 0,82–4,46 0,34–4,94 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,42 2,56–6,28 2,07–6,77 | 4,78 3,03–6,52 2,57–6,98 | 9,20 5,59–12,80 4,63–13,76 | 39% 13% 48% |
| Total șuturi | 12,37 8,45–16,30 7,36–17,39 | 13,23 9,67–16,80 8,71–17,76 | 25,61 18,12–33,09 16,07–35,14 | 39% 53% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,11 4,16–10,05 3,33–10,88 | 8,65 5,97–11,33 5,23–12,07 | 15,76 10,13–21,38 8,57–22,95 | 30% 60% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,29 1,41–5,17 0,86–5,71 | 3,35 1,69–5,00 1,20–5,49 | 6,63 3,10–10,17 2,06–11,20 | 41% 16% 43% |
| Cornere | 4,40 2,19–6,61 1,61–7,19 | 4,91 2,91–6,91 2,37–7,44 | 9,31 5,09–13,52 3,99–14,63 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Posesie % | 44,57 37,78–51,36 36,11–53,03 | 56,33 49,54–63,11 47,87–64,78 | — | 23% 74% |
| Pase | 375 308–442 290–461 | 478 412–545 394–562 | 854 720–987 684–1023 | 19% 80% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,16 63,13–71,19 61,84–72,48 | 76,25 71,93–80,57 70,62–81,88 | — | 87% |
| Faulturi | 15,03 12,20–17,87 11,44–18,63 | 14,85 11,91–17,79 11,16–18,54 | 29,88 24,10–35,67 22,60–37,17 | 48% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,60 0,44–2,76 0,13–3,06 | 2,64 1,55–3,73 1,26–4,02 | 4,24 1,98–6,49 1,39–7,08 | 22% 18% 60% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,45 1,40–3,50 1,14–3,77 | 2,67 1,55–3,80 1,25–4,09 | 5,13 2,95–7,31 2,39–7,86 | 37% 18% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,25 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 3,22 1,79–4,66 1,40–5,05 | 3,08 1,52–4,63 1,10–5,06 | 6,30 3,31–9,29 2,49–10,10 | 44% 16% 40% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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