Premier League·Etapa 12·
Premier League·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
27%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,151,302,44sigur0,18–2,110,44–2,150,62–4,26mai sigur0,00–2,360,21–2,380,14–4,74
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,054,268,31sigur2,19–5,922,51–6,004,71–11,92mai sigur1,70–6,412,05–6,463,75–12,87
Total șuturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,6513,1625,80sigur8,72–16,579,60–16,7218,32–33,29mai sigur7,63–17,668,64–17,6816,27–35,34
Șuturi din careu
34%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,198,3115,50sigur4,25–10,135,63–10,999,88–21,12mai sigur3,42–10,964,89–11,738,31–22,69
Șuturi blocate
39%
16%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,223,416,62sigur1,33–5,101,75–5,063,09–10,16mai sigur0,79–5,641,26–5,552,05–11,19
Cornere
38%
13%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,444,869,30sigur2,23–6,662,86–6,865,09–13,51mai sigur1,66–7,232,32–7,393,98–14,62
Posesie %
41%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,5951,58sigur41,80–55,3844,79–58,36mai sigur40,13–57,0543,12–60,03
Pase
41%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție358383741sigur291–425317–450607–875mai sigur272–443299–467572–910
Precizie pase %
22%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,4066,84sigur57,38–65,4362,52–71,16mai sigur56,08–66,7361,21–72,47
Faulturi
57%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,0414,5530,58sigur13,20–18,8711,60–17,4924,80–36,37mai sigur12,44–19,6310,86–18,2423,30–37,87
Ofsaiduri
39%
21%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,941,943,88sigur0,78–3,100,85–3,031,62–6,13mai sigur0,48–3,400,56–3,321,04–6,72
Cartonașe galbene
41%
20%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,212,194,39sigur1,16–3,261,06–3,312,22–6,57mai sigur0,89–3,530,76–3,611,66–7,13
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,100,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
45%
17%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,932,685,61sigur1,49–4,361,12–4,242,62–8,60mai sigur1,10–4,750,70–4,661,80–9,41
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,15 0,18–2,11 0,00–2,36 | 1,30 0,44–2,15 0,21–2,38 | 2,44 0,62–4,26 0,14–4,74 | 33% 27% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,05 2,19–5,92 1,70–6,41 | 4,26 2,51–6,00 2,05–6,46 | 8,31 4,71–11,92 3,75–12,87 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 12,65 8,72–16,57 7,63–17,66 | 13,16 9,60–16,72 8,64–17,68 | 25,80 18,32–33,29 16,27–35,34 | 42% 50% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,19 4,25–10,13 3,42–10,96 | 8,31 5,63–10,99 4,89–11,73 | 15,50 9,88–21,12 8,31–22,69 | 34% 56% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,22 1,33–5,10 0,79–5,64 | 3,41 1,75–5,06 1,26–5,55 | 6,62 3,09–10,16 2,05–11,19 | 39% 16% 45% |
| Cornere | 4,44 2,23–6,66 1,66–7,23 | 4,86 2,86–6,86 2,32–7,39 | 9,30 5,09–13,51 3,98–14,62 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Posesie % | 48,59 41,80–55,38 40,13–57,05 | 51,58 44,79–58,36 43,12–60,03 | — | 41% 55% |
| Pase | 358 291–425 272–443 | 383 317–450 299–467 | 741 607–875 572–910 | 41% 58% |
| Precizie pase % | 61,40 57,38–65,43 56,08–66,73 | 66,84 62,52–71,16 61,21–72,47 | — | 22% 74% |
| Faulturi | 16,04 13,20–18,87 12,44–19,63 | 14,55 11,60–17,49 10,86–18,24 | 30,58 24,80–36,37 23,30–37,87 | 57% 36% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,94 0,78–3,10 0,48–3,40 | 1,94 0,85–3,03 0,56–3,32 | 3,88 1,62–6,13 1,04–6,72 | 39% 21% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,21 1,16–3,26 0,89–3,53 | 2,19 1,06–3,31 0,76–3,61 | 4,39 2,22–6,57 1,66–7,13 | 41% 20% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,93 1,49–4,36 1,10–4,75 | 2,68 1,12–4,24 0,70–4,66 | 5,61 2,62–8,60 1,80–9,41 | 45% 17% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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