Premier League·Etapa 13·
Premier League·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
30%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,140,962,10sigur0,17–2,110,10–1,810,27–3,92mai sigur0,00–2,360,00–2,040,00–4,40
Șuturi pe poartă
53%
14%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,043,297,33sigur2,17–5,901,55–5,043,72–10,93mai sigur1,68–6,391,08–5,502,77–11,89
Total șuturi
64%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7110,4323,14sigur8,79–16,646,87–13,9915,65–30,63mai sigur7,69–17,735,91–14,9513,60–32,68
Șuturi din careu
63%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,435,7513,19sigur4,49–10,383,07–8,437,56–18,81mai sigur3,66–11,212,33–9,176,00–20,38
Șuturi blocate
56%
16%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,242,395,63sigur1,36–5,130,74–4,042,10–9,17mai sigur0,82–5,670,24–4,531,06–10,20
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,483,819,29sigur3,27–7,701,81–5,815,08–13,50mai sigur2,70–8,271,28–6,343,97–14,61
Posesie %
68%
28%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,6045,54sigur47,81–61,3938,75–52,32mai sigur46,14–63,0637,08–53,99
Pase
75%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție418335753sigur351–485268–401619–886mai sigur333–503251–419583–922
Precizie pase %
42%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,7761,93sigur56,74–64,8057,60–66,25mai sigur55,44–66,0956,29–67,56
Faulturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9816,6330,61sigur11,14–16,8213,68–19,5724,82–36,39mai sigur10,39–17,5712,93–20,3223,32–37,89
Ofsaiduri
27%
21%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,492,103,58sigur0,33–2,651,01–3,191,33–5,84mai sigur0,02–2,950,72–3,480,74–6,43
Cartonașe galbene
29%
17%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,323,055,37sigur1,27–3,371,92–4,183,19–7,55mai sigur1,00–3,631,63–4,472,64–8,11
Cartonașe roșii
75%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,140,170,31sigur0,00–0,300,00–0,360,00–0,66mai sigur0,00–0,450,00–0,490,00–0,94
Parade portar
34%
18%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,312,705,00sigur0,87–3,741,14–4,252,01–8,00mai sigur0,48–4,130,72–4,681,20–8,81
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,14 0,17–2,11 0,00–2,36 | 0,96 0,10–1,81 0,00–2,04 | 2,10 0,27–3,92 0,00–4,40 | 40% 30% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,04 2,17–5,90 1,68–6,39 | 3,29 1,55–5,04 1,08–5,50 | 7,33 3,72–10,93 2,77–11,89 | 53% 14% 32% |
| Total șuturi | 12,71 8,79–16,64 7,69–17,73 | 10,43 6,87–13,99 5,91–14,95 | 23,14 15,65–30,63 13,60–32,68 | 64% 28% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,43 4,49–10,38 3,66–11,21 | 5,75 3,07–8,43 2,33–9,17 | 13,19 7,56–18,81 6,00–20,38 | 63% 27% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,24 1,36–5,13 0,82–5,67 | 2,39 0,74–4,04 0,24–4,53 | 5,63 2,10–9,17 1,06–10,20 | 56% 16% 28% |
| Cornere | 5,48 3,27–7,70 2,70–8,27 | 3,81 1,81–5,81 1,28–6,34 | 9,29 5,08–13,50 3,97–14,61 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 54,60 47,81–61,39 46,14–63,06 | 45,54 38,75–52,32 37,08–53,99 | — | 68% 28% |
| Pase | 418 351–485 333–503 | 335 268–401 251–419 | 753 619–886 583–922 | 75% 24% |
| Precizie pase % | 60,77 56,74–64,80 55,44–66,09 | 61,93 57,60–66,25 56,29–67,56 | — | 42% 53% |
| Faulturi | 13,98 11,14–16,82 10,39–17,57 | 16,63 13,68–19,57 12,93–20,32 | 30,61 24,82–36,39 23,32–37,89 | 28% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,49 0,33–2,65 0,02–2,95 | 2,10 1,01–3,19 0,72–3,48 | 3,58 1,33–5,84 0,74–6,43 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,32 1,27–3,37 1,00–3,63 | 3,05 1,92–4,18 1,63–4,47 | 5,37 3,19–7,55 2,64–8,11 | 29% 17% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,14 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,45 | 0,17 0,00–0,36 0,00–0,49 | 0,31 0,00–0,66 0,00–0,94 | 75% 14% |
| Parade portar | 2,31 0,87–3,74 0,48–4,13 | 2,70 1,14–4,25 0,72–4,68 | 5,00 2,01–8,00 1,20–8,81 | 34% 18% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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