Premier League·Etapa 15·
Premier League·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
30%
28%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,041,302,34sigur0,07–2,010,44–2,150,51–4,16mai sigur0,00–2,260,22–2,380,03–4,64
Șuturi pe poartă
38%
14%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,844,178,01sigur1,98–5,702,43–5,914,41–11,62mai sigur1,49–6,191,96–6,383,45–12,57
Total șuturi
51%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,2111,5623,78sigur8,29–16,148,00–15,1316,29–31,26mai sigur7,20–17,237,04–16,0914,24–33,31
Șuturi din careu
39%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,187,7014,88sigur4,24–10,125,02–10,389,26–20,50mai sigur3,41–10,954,28–11,127,69–22,07
Șuturi blocate
40%
17%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,953,066,01sigur1,07–4,831,41–4,712,48–9,55mai sigur0,53–5,380,91–5,201,44–10,58
Cornere
37%
13%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,444,969,41sigur2,23–6,662,96–6,965,19–13,62mai sigur1,66–7,232,43–7,504,09–14,73
Posesie %
41%
55%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,8151,84sigur42,02–55,6045,06–58,63mai sigur40,35–57,2743,39–60,30
Pase
51%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție351348699sigur284–418282–415566–833mai sigur266–437264–432530–869
Precizie pase %
18%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,6964,21sigur53,66–61,7259,89–68,53mai sigur52,37–63,0158,58–69,84
Faulturi
40%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3715,2929,66sigur11,53–17,2112,35–18,2423,88–35,45mai sigur10,78–17,9611,60–18,9922,38–36,95
Ofsaiduri
36%
22%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,823,52sigur0,54–2,860,73–2,921,27–5,77mai sigur0,24–3,160,44–3,200,68–6,36
Cartonașe galbene
34%
17%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,452,905,35sigur1,40–3,501,78–4,033,18–7,53mai sigur1,14–3,771,48–4,322,62–8,09
Cartonașe roșii
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,180,30sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,370,00–0,65mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,500,00–0,93
Parade portar
42%
18%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,682,655,33sigur1,25–4,121,09–4,212,34–8,32mai sigur0,86–4,500,67–4,631,53–9,14
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,04 0,07–2,01 0,00–2,26 | 1,30 0,44–2,15 0,22–2,38 | 2,34 0,51–4,16 0,03–4,64 | 30% 28% 43% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,84 1,98–5,70 1,49–6,19 | 4,17 2,43–5,91 1,96–6,38 | 8,01 4,41–11,62 3,45–12,57 | 38% 14% 47% |
| Total șuturi | 12,21 8,29–16,14 7,20–17,23 | 11,56 8,00–15,13 7,04–16,09 | 23,78 16,29–31,26 14,24–33,31 | 51% 41% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,18 4,24–10,12 3,41–10,95 | 7,70 5,02–10,38 4,28–11,12 | 14,88 9,26–20,50 7,69–22,07 | 39% 50% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,95 1,07–4,83 0,53–5,38 | 3,06 1,41–4,71 0,91–5,20 | 6,01 2,48–9,55 1,44–10,58 | 40% 17% 43% |
| Cornere | 4,44 2,23–6,66 1,66–7,23 | 4,96 2,96–6,96 2,43–7,50 | 9,41 5,19–13,62 4,09–14,73 | 37% 13% 50% |
| Posesie % | 48,81 42,02–55,60 40,35–57,27 | 51,84 45,06–58,63 43,39–60,30 | — | 41% 55% |
| Pase | 351 284–418 266–437 | 348 282–415 264–432 | 699 566–833 530–869 | 51% 49% |
| Precizie pase % | 57,69 53,66–61,72 52,37–63,01 | 64,21 59,89–68,53 58,58–69,84 | — | 18% 78% |
| Faulturi | 14,37 11,53–17,21 10,78–17,96 | 15,29 12,35–18,24 11,60–18,99 | 29,66 23,88–35,45 22,38–36,95 | 40% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,70 0,54–2,86 0,24–3,16 | 1,82 0,73–2,92 0,44–3,20 | 3,52 1,27–5,77 0,68–6,36 | 36% 22% 41% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,45 1,40–3,50 1,14–3,77 | 2,90 1,78–4,03 1,48–4,32 | 5,35 3,18–7,53 2,62–8,09 | 34% 17% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,37 0,00–0,50 | 0,30 0,00–0,65 0,00–0,93 | 76% 15% |
| Parade portar | 2,68 1,25–4,12 0,86–4,50 | 2,65 1,09–4,21 0,67–4,63 | 5,33 2,34–8,32 1,53–9,14 | 42% 18% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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