Premier League·Etapa 15·
Premier League·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
37%
27%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,241,232,46sigur0,27–2,200,37–2,080,64–4,28mai sigur0,02–2,460,14–2,310,16–4,76
Șuturi pe poartă
47%
13%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,664,399,05sigur2,80–6,522,65–6,135,45–12,66mai sigur2,31–7,012,18–6,604,49–13,61
Total șuturi
58%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,3512,8627,20sigur10,42–18,279,29–16,4219,72–34,69mai sigur9,33–19,368,33–17,3817,67–36,74
Șuturi din careu
54%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,557,6016,15sigur5,61–11,494,92–10,2810,53–21,78mai sigur4,78–12,324,19–11,028,96–23,34
Șuturi blocate
51%
16%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,412,826,23sigur1,53–5,291,17–4,482,70–9,77mai sigur0,98–5,830,68–4,971,66–10,80
Cornere
54%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,304,469,76sigur3,09–7,512,46–6,465,55–13,97mai sigur2,51–8,091,93–6,994,44–15,08
Posesie %
43%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,7351,89sigur42,94–56,5245,10–58,67mai sigur41,27–58,1943,43–60,35
Pase
48%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție410416826sigur343–477349–482692–959mai sigur325–495332–500656–995
Precizie pase %
28%
67%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,6369,60sigur61,60–69,6665,28–73,93mai sigur60,31–70,9663,97–75,24
Faulturi
45%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,1015,2930,39sigur12,27–17,9412,34–18,2324,61–36,17mai sigur11,51–18,7011,59–18,9823,10–37,68
Ofsaiduri
35%
20%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,902,134,03sigur0,74–3,061,04–3,221,78–6,29mai sigur0,44–3,360,75–3,511,19–6,88
Cartonașe galbene
35%
18%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,402,775,17sigur1,35–3,451,64–3,902,99–7,35mai sigur1,09–3,721,35–4,192,44–7,91
Cartonașe roșii
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,140,150,29sigur0,00–0,300,00–0,340,00–0,64mai sigur0,00–0,450,00–0,470,00–0,92
Parade portar
35%
16%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,063,516,57sigur1,62–4,491,95–5,073,58–9,56mai sigur1,23–4,881,53–5,492,76–10,37
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,24 0,27–2,20 0,02–2,46 | 1,23 0,37–2,08 0,14–2,31 | 2,46 0,64–4,28 0,16–4,76 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,66 2,80–6,52 2,31–7,01 | 4,39 2,65–6,13 2,18–6,60 | 9,05 5,45–12,66 4,49–13,61 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Total șuturi | 14,35 10,42–18,27 9,33–19,36 | 12,86 9,29–16,42 8,33–17,38 | 27,20 19,72–34,69 17,67–36,74 | 58% 35% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,55 5,61–11,49 4,78–12,32 | 7,60 4,92–10,28 4,19–11,02 | 16,15 10,53–21,78 8,96–23,34 | 54% 36% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,41 1,53–5,29 0,98–5,83 | 2,82 1,17–4,48 0,68–4,97 | 6,23 2,70–9,77 1,66–10,80 | 51% 16% 33% |
| Cornere | 5,30 3,09–7,51 2,51–8,09 | 4,46 2,46–6,46 1,93–6,99 | 9,76 5,55–13,97 4,44–15,08 | 54% 33% |
| Posesie % | 49,73 42,94–56,52 41,27–58,19 | 51,89 45,10–58,67 43,43–60,35 | — | 43% 53% |
| Pase | 410 343–477 325–495 | 416 349–482 332–500 | 826 692–959 656–995 | 48% 52% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,63 61,60–69,66 60,31–70,96 | 69,60 65,28–73,93 63,97–75,24 | — | 28% 67% |
| Faulturi | 15,10 12,27–17,94 11,51–18,70 | 15,29 12,34–18,23 11,59–18,98 | 30,39 24,61–36,17 23,10–37,68 | 45% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,90 0,74–3,06 0,44–3,36 | 2,13 1,04–3,22 0,75–3,51 | 4,03 1,78–6,29 1,19–6,88 | 35% 20% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,40 1,35–3,45 1,09–3,72 | 2,77 1,64–3,90 1,35–4,19 | 5,17 2,99–7,35 2,44–7,91 | 35% 18% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,14 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,45 | 0,15 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,47 | 0,29 0,00–0,64 0,00–0,92 | 76% |
| Parade portar | 3,06 1,62–4,49 1,23–4,88 | 3,51 1,95–5,07 1,53–5,49 | 6,57 3,58–9,56 2,76–10,37 | 35% 16% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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