Premier League·Etapa 16·
Premier League·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
24%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,141,752,89sigur0,17–2,110,89–2,601,06–4,71mai sigur0,00–2,360,66–2,830,58–5,19
Șuturi pe poartă
33%
13%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,114,929,04sigur2,25–5,983,18–6,665,43–12,64mai sigur1,76–6,472,71–7,134,47–13,60
Total șuturi
36%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1113,4825,60sigur8,19–16,049,92–17,0518,11–33,08mai sigur7,10–17,138,96–18,0116,06–35,14
Șuturi din careu
21%
72%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,749,5516,29sigur3,80–9,696,87–12,2310,67–21,91mai sigur2,97–10,516,13–12,979,10–23,48
Șuturi blocate
28%
14%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,154,207,35sigur1,27–5,032,55–5,863,82–10,89mai sigur0,73–5,582,06–6,352,78–11,93
Cornere
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,395,199,58sigur2,18–6,603,19–7,195,37–13,80mai sigur1,60–7,182,66–7,734,26–14,91
Posesie %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție41,6658,64sigur34,87–48,4551,86–65,43mai sigur33,20–50,1250,18–67,10
Pase
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție361519880sigur294–429452–585746–1014mai sigur276–447435–603711–1050
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,9479,72sigur63,91–71,9775,40–84,04mai sigur62,61–73,2674,09–85,35
Faulturi
63%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,2612,9928,25sigur12,42–18,0910,05–15,9422,47–34,03mai sigur11,66–18,859,30–16,6920,96–35,53
Ofsaiduri
20%
18%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,492,624,12sigur0,33–2,651,53–3,721,86–6,37mai sigur0,03–2,951,24–4,011,28–6,96
Cartonașe galbene
44%
19%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,332,144,47sigur1,28–3,381,01–3,272,29–6,65mai sigur1,02–3,650,72–3,561,74–7,21
Cartonașe roșii
13%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,160,100,26sigur0,00–0,320,00–0,290,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,470,00–0,420,00–0,89
Parade portar
47%
16%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,252,936,18sigur1,81–4,681,38–4,493,19–9,17mai sigur1,42–5,070,95–4,912,38–9,99
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,14 0,17–2,11 0,00–2,36 | 1,75 0,89–2,60 0,66–2,83 | 2,89 1,06–4,71 0,58–5,19 | 25% 24% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,11 2,25–5,98 1,76–6,47 | 4,92 3,18–6,66 2,71–7,13 | 9,04 5,43–12,64 4,47–13,60 | 33% 13% 54% |
| Total șuturi | 12,11 8,19–16,04 7,10–17,13 | 13,48 9,92–17,05 8,96–18,01 | 25,60 18,11–33,08 16,06–35,14 | 36% 57% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,74 3,80–9,69 2,97–10,51 | 9,55 6,87–12,23 6,13–12,97 | 16,29 10,67–21,91 9,10–23,48 | 21% 72% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,15 1,27–5,03 0,73–5,58 | 4,20 2,55–5,86 2,06–6,35 | 7,35 3,82–10,89 2,78–11,93 | 28% 14% 58% |
| Cornere | 4,39 2,18–6,60 1,60–7,18 | 5,19 3,19–7,19 2,66–7,73 | 9,58 5,37–13,80 4,26–14,91 | 34% 54% |
| Posesie % | 41,66 34,87–48,45 33,20–50,12 | 58,64 51,86–65,43 50,18–67,10 | — | 14% 83% |
| Pase | 361 294–429 276–447 | 519 452–585 435–603 | 880 746–1014 711–1050 | 90% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,94 63,91–71,97 62,61–73,26 | 79,72 75,40–84,04 74,09–85,35 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 15,26 12,42–18,09 11,66–18,85 | 12,99 10,05–15,94 9,30–16,69 | 28,25 22,47–34,03 20,96–35,53 | 63% 30% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,49 0,33–2,65 0,03–2,95 | 2,62 1,53–3,72 1,24–4,01 | 4,12 1,86–6,37 1,28–6,96 | 20% 18% 62% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,33 1,28–3,38 1,02–3,65 | 2,14 1,01–3,27 0,72–3,56 | 4,47 2,29–6,65 1,74–7,21 | 44% 19% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,16 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,47 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,26 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,89 | 13% 78% |
| Parade portar | 3,25 1,81–4,68 1,42–5,07 | 2,93 1,38–4,49 0,95–4,91 | 6,18 3,19–9,17 2,38–9,99 | 47% 16% 37% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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