Premier League·Etapa 16·
Premier League·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
23%
24%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,071,732,80sigur0,10–2,040,87–2,580,97–4,62mai sigur0,00–2,290,64–2,810,49–5,10
Șuturi pe poartă
24%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,695,319,00sigur1,83–5,553,57–7,055,40–12,61mai sigur1,34–6,043,10–7,524,44–13,56
Total șuturi
17%
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8415,1425,97sigur6,91–14,7611,57–18,7018,49–33,46mai sigur5,82–15,8510,61–19,6616,43–35,51
Șuturi din careu
25%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,199,3816,57sigur4,25–10,136,70–12,0610,95–22,20mai sigur3,42–10,965,96–12,809,38–23,76
Șuturi blocate
33%
16%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,903,516,41sigur1,02–4,781,86–5,162,87–9,94mai sigur0,47–5,321,36–5,661,84–10,98
Cornere
28%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,305,659,95sigur2,09–6,523,65–7,655,74–14,17mai sigur1,52–7,093,12–8,184,63–15,27
Posesie %
15%
82%
gazdeoaspețipredicție41,8658,58sigur35,07–48,6551,79–65,36mai sigur33,40–50,3250,12–67,03
Pase
14%
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție370500870sigur303–437434–567737–1004mai sigur285–456416–584701–1040
Precizie pase %
95%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,7374,80sigur57,70–65,7670,48–79,13mai sigur56,41–67,0669,17–80,44
Faulturi
62%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,0412,9227,96sigur12,21–17,889,97–15,8622,18–33,74mai sigur11,45–18,649,23–16,6120,68–35,25
Ofsaiduri
64%
15%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,321,995,31sigur2,16–4,480,90–3,093,06–7,57mai sigur1,86–4,780,61–3,372,47–8,16
Cartonașe galbene
45%
20%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,271,994,26sigur1,22–3,320,86–3,122,08–6,44mai sigur0,95–3,580,57–3,411,52–7,00
Cartonașe roșii
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,160,110,27sigur0,00–0,320,00–0,300,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,470,00–0,430,00–0,90
Parade portar
59%
15%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,562,516,08sigur2,13–5,000,96–4,073,08–9,07mai sigur1,74–5,390,53–4,492,27–9,88
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,07 0,10–2,04 0,00–2,29 | 1,73 0,87–2,58 0,64–2,81 | 2,80 0,97–4,62 0,49–5,10 | 23% 24% 53% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,69 1,83–5,55 1,34–6,04 | 5,31 3,57–7,05 3,10–7,52 | 9,00 5,40–12,61 4,44–13,56 | 24% 65% |
| Total șuturi | 10,84 6,91–14,76 5,82–15,85 | 15,14 11,57–18,70 10,61–19,66 | 25,97 18,49–33,46 16,43–35,51 | 17% 77% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,19 4,25–10,13 3,42–10,96 | 9,38 6,70–12,06 5,96–12,80 | 16,57 10,95–22,20 9,38–23,76 | 25% 66% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,90 1,02–4,78 0,47–5,32 | 3,51 1,86–5,16 1,36–5,66 | 6,41 2,87–9,94 1,84–10,98 | 33% 16% 52% |
| Cornere | 4,30 2,09–6,52 1,52–7,09 | 5,65 3,65–7,65 3,12–8,18 | 9,95 5,74–14,17 4,63–15,27 | 28% 60% |
| Posesie % | 41,86 35,07–48,65 33,40–50,32 | 58,58 51,79–65,36 50,12–67,03 | — | 15% 82% |
| Pase | 370 303–437 285–456 | 500 434–567 416–584 | 870 737–1004 701–1040 | 14% 86% |
| Precizie pase % | 61,73 57,70–65,76 56,41–67,06 | 74,80 70,48–79,13 69,17–80,44 | — | 95% |
| Faulturi | 15,04 12,21–17,88 11,45–18,64 | 12,92 9,97–15,86 9,23–16,61 | 27,96 22,18–33,74 20,68–35,25 | 62% 31% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,32 2,16–4,48 1,86–4,78 | 1,99 0,90–3,09 0,61–3,37 | 5,31 3,06–7,57 2,47–8,16 | 64% 15% 21% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,27 1,22–3,32 0,95–3,58 | 1,99 0,86–3,12 0,57–3,41 | 4,26 2,08–6,44 1,52–7,00 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,16 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,47 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,27 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,90 | 78% |
| Parade portar | 3,56 2,13–5,00 1,74–5,39 | 2,51 0,96–4,07 0,53–4,49 | 6,08 3,08–9,07 2,27–9,88 | 59% 15% 26% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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