Premier League·Etapa 17·
Premier League·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
25%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,551,342,89sigur0,58–2,520,48–2,191,07–4,71mai sigur0,33–2,770,26–2,420,59–5,19
Șuturi pe poartă
54%
13%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,743,968,70sigur2,88–6,602,22–5,705,10–12,31mai sigur2,39–7,091,75–6,174,14–13,26
Total șuturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3710,9023,27sigur8,44–16,297,34–14,4615,78–30,75mai sigur7,35–17,386,38–15,4213,73–32,80
Șuturi din careu
63%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,917,0916,00sigur5,97–11,854,41–9,7710,38–21,63mai sigur5,14–12,683,67–10,518,81–23,19
Șuturi blocate
46%
16%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,473,216,68sigur1,59–5,351,56–4,873,15–10,22mai sigur1,04–5,891,07–5,362,11–11,25
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,223,989,20sigur3,01–7,441,98–5,984,99–13,42mai sigur2,44–8,011,45–6,513,88–14,52
Posesie %
49%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție50,4550,09sigur43,66–57,2443,30–56,87mai sigur41,99–58,9141,63–58,54
Pase
54%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție434422856sigur367–501356–489723–990mai sigur349–520338–506687–1026
Precizie pase %
31%
64%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,4571,73sigur64,42–72,4767,40–76,05mai sigur63,12–73,7766,09–77,36
Faulturi
38%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5114,5928,09sigur10,67–16,3411,64–17,5322,31–33,87mai sigur9,91–17,1010,89–18,2820,80–35,38
Ofsaiduri
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,411,434,84sigur2,25–4,570,34–2,522,58–7,09mai sigur1,95–4,870,05–2,812,00–7,68
Cartonașe galbene
35%
19%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,192,494,69sigur1,14–3,241,36–3,622,51–6,86mai sigur0,88–3,511,07–3,911,95–7,42
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,120,25sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,310,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,440,00–0,88
Parade portar
37%
17%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,773,025,79sigur1,34–4,211,47–4,582,80–8,79mai sigur0,95–4,601,04–5,001,99–9,60
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,55 0,58–2,52 0,33–2,77 | 1,34 0,48–2,19 0,26–2,42 | 2,89 1,07–4,71 0,59–5,19 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,74 2,88–6,60 2,39–7,09 | 3,96 2,22–5,70 1,75–6,17 | 8,70 5,10–12,31 4,14–13,26 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 12,37 8,44–16,29 7,35–17,38 | 10,90 7,34–14,46 6,38–15,42 | 23,27 15,78–30,75 13,73–32,80 | 58% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,91 5,97–11,85 5,14–12,68 | 7,09 4,41–9,77 3,67–10,51 | 16,00 10,38–21,63 8,81–23,19 | 63% 28% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,47 1,59–5,35 1,04–5,89 | 3,21 1,56–4,87 1,07–5,36 | 6,68 3,15–10,22 2,11–11,25 | 46% 16% 38% |
| Cornere | 5,22 3,01–7,44 2,44–8,01 | 3,98 1,98–5,98 1,45–6,51 | 9,20 4,99–13,42 3,88–14,52 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 50,45 43,66–57,24 41,99–58,91 | 50,09 43,30–56,87 41,63–58,54 | — | 49% 47% |
| Pase | 434 367–501 349–520 | 422 356–489 338–506 | 856 723–990 687–1026 | 54% 46% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,45 64,42–72,47 63,12–73,77 | 71,73 67,40–76,05 66,09–77,36 | — | 31% 64% |
| Faulturi | 13,51 10,67–16,34 9,91–17,10 | 14,59 11,64–17,53 10,89–18,28 | 28,09 22,31–33,87 20,80–35,38 | 38% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 3,41 2,25–4,57 1,95–4,87 | 1,43 0,34–2,52 0,05–2,81 | 4,84 2,58–7,09 2,00–7,68 | 75% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,19 1,14–3,24 0,88–3,51 | 2,49 1,36–3,62 1,07–3,91 | 4,69 2,51–6,86 1,95–7,42 | 35% 19% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,25 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,88 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 2,77 1,34–4,21 0,95–4,60 | 3,02 1,47–4,58 1,04–5,00 | 5,79 2,80–8,79 1,99–9,60 | 37% 17% 46% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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