Premier League·Etapa 21·
Premier League·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
55%
23%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,781,032,80sigur0,81–2,750,17–1,880,98–4,63mai sigur0,56–3,000,00–2,110,50–5,11
Șuturi pe poartă
65%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,453,769,21sigur3,59–7,312,01–5,505,60–12,81mai sigur3,10–7,801,55–5,964,65–13,77
Total șuturi
81%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,4111,2727,69sigur12,49–20,347,71–14,8420,20–35,18mai sigur11,40–21,436,75–15,8018,15–37,23
Șuturi din careu
74%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,417,2417,65sigur7,47–13,364,56–9,9212,03–23,27mai sigur6,64–14,183,82–10,6610,46–24,84
Șuturi blocate
66%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,452,827,27sigur2,56–6,331,17–4,483,73–10,80mai sigur2,02–6,870,68–4,972,70–11,84
Cornere
68%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,154,1710,32sigur3,93–8,362,17–6,176,10–14,53mai sigur3,36–8,941,63–6,705,00–15,64
Posesie %
88%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,1739,45sigur53,38–66,9632,67–46,24mai sigur51,71–68,6331,00–47,91
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție492295787sigur425–559228–361653–921mai sigur407–578211–379617–956
Precizie pase %
74%
22%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,7665,16sigur66,73–74,7960,83–69,48mai sigur65,43–76,0859,52–70,79
Faulturi
15%
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0717,1729,24sigur9,24–14,9114,22–20,1123,46–35,02mai sigur8,48–15,6713,47–20,8621,95–36,53
Ofsaiduri
21%
17%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,592,724,31sigur0,43–2,751,63–3,812,06–6,56mai sigur0,13–3,051,34–4,101,47–7,15
Cartonașe galbene
22%
17%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,722,884,60sigur0,68–2,771,75–4,012,42–6,78mai sigur0,41–3,041,46–4,301,87–7,34
Cartonașe roșii
78%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,160,27sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,350,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,480,00–0,90
Parade portar
27%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,683,686,37sigur1,25–4,122,13–5,243,37–9,36mai sigur0,86–4,501,70–5,662,56–10,17
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,78 0,81–2,75 0,56–3,00 | 1,03 0,17–1,88 0,00–2,11 | 2,80 0,98–4,63 0,50–5,11 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,45 3,59–7,31 3,10–7,80 | 3,76 2,01–5,50 1,55–5,96 | 9,21 5,60–12,81 4,65–13,77 | 65% 23% |
| Total șuturi | 16,41 12,49–20,34 11,40–21,43 | 11,27 7,71–14,84 6,75–15,80 | 27,69 20,20–35,18 18,15–37,23 | 81% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,41 7,47–13,36 6,64–14,18 | 7,24 4,56–9,92 3,82–10,66 | 17,65 12,03–23,27 10,46–24,84 | 74% 19% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,45 2,56–6,33 2,02–6,87 | 2,82 1,17–4,48 0,68–4,97 | 7,27 3,73–10,80 2,70–11,84 | 66% 21% |
| Cornere | 6,15 3,93–8,36 3,36–8,94 | 4,17 2,17–6,17 1,63–6,70 | 10,32 6,10–14,53 5,00–15,64 | 68% 22% |
| Posesie % | 60,17 53,38–66,96 51,71–68,63 | 39,45 32,67–46,24 31,00–47,91 | — | 88% |
| Pase | 492 425–559 407–578 | 295 228–361 211–379 | 787 653–921 617–956 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,76 66,73–74,79 65,43–76,08 | 65,16 60,83–69,48 59,52–70,79 | — | 74% 22% |
| Faulturi | 12,07 9,24–14,91 8,48–15,67 | 17,17 14,22–20,11 13,47–20,86 | 29,24 23,46–35,02 21,95–36,53 | 15% 80% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,43–2,75 0,13–3,05 | 2,72 1,63–3,81 1,34–4,10 | 4,31 2,06–6,56 1,47–7,15 | 21% 17% 62% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,72 0,68–2,77 0,41–3,04 | 2,88 1,75–4,01 1,46–4,30 | 4,60 2,42–6,78 1,87–7,34 | 22% 17% 62% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,16 0,00–0,35 0,00–0,48 | 0,27 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,90 | 78% 14% |
| Parade portar | 2,68 1,25–4,12 0,86–4,50 | 3,68 2,13–5,24 1,70–5,66 | 6,37 3,37–9,36 2,56–10,17 | 27% 15% 58% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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