Premier League·Etapa 21·
Premier League·Etapa 21·Statistici estimate
Goluri
32%
29%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,041,192,23sigur0,07–2,010,33–2,040,41–4,05mai sigur0,00–2,260,11–2,270,00–4,53
Șuturi pe poartă
41%
15%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,583,697,27sigur1,72–5,451,95–5,433,67–10,88mai sigur1,23–5,941,48–5,902,71–11,83
Total șuturi
46%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,4611,4122,88sigur7,54–15,397,85–14,9815,39–30,36mai sigur6,44–16,486,89–15,9413,34–32,41
Șuturi din careu
43%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,047,2014,24sigur4,10–9,984,52–9,888,62–19,87mai sigur3,27–10,813,78–10,627,05–21,43
Șuturi blocate
40%
17%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,893,005,90sigur1,01–4,781,35–4,662,36–9,43mai sigur0,47–5,320,86–5,151,33–10,47
Cornere
52%
13%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,954,319,26sigur2,74–7,162,31–6,315,04–13,47mai sigur2,16–7,741,77–6,843,94–14,58
Posesie %
54%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,1148,48sigur44,32–57,9041,69–55,26mai sigur42,65–59,5740,02–56,94
Pase
67%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție394342735sigur326–461275–408602–869mai sigur308–479258–426566–905
Precizie pase %
32%
63%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,0363,20sigur56,00–64,0658,88–67,52mai sigur54,71–65,3557,57–68,83
Faulturi
35%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6415,2428,88sigur10,80–16,4712,30–18,1923,10–34,66mai sigur10,04–17,2311,55–18,9421,59–36,17
Ofsaiduri
34%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,752,003,76sigur0,59–2,910,91–3,091,50–6,01mai sigur0,29–3,210,62–3,380,91–6,60
Cartonașe galbene
33%
17%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,422,905,32sigur1,37–3,471,77–4,033,14–7,50mai sigur1,10–3,741,48–4,322,58–8,05
Cartonașe roșii
74%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,150,170,32sigur0,00–0,310,00–0,360,00–0,67mai sigur0,00–0,460,00–0,490,00–0,95
Parade portar
38%
18%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,412,564,97sigur0,97–3,841,01–4,121,98–7,96mai sigur0,58–4,230,58–4,541,16–8,77
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,04 0,07–2,01 0,00–2,26 | 1,19 0,33–2,04 0,11–2,27 | 2,23 0,41–4,05 0,00–4,53 | 32% 29% 39% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,58 1,72–5,45 1,23–5,94 | 3,69 1,95–5,43 1,48–5,90 | 7,27 3,67–10,88 2,71–11,83 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Total șuturi | 11,46 7,54–15,39 6,44–16,48 | 11,41 7,85–14,98 6,89–15,94 | 22,88 15,39–30,36 13,34–32,41 | 46% 45% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,04 4,10–9,98 3,27–10,81 | 7,20 4,52–9,88 3,78–10,62 | 14,24 8,62–19,87 7,05–21,43 | 43% 46% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,89 1,01–4,78 0,47–5,32 | 3,00 1,35–4,66 0,86–5,15 | 5,90 2,36–9,43 1,33–10,47 | 40% 17% 43% |
| Cornere | 4,95 2,74–7,16 2,16–7,74 | 4,31 2,31–6,31 1,77–6,84 | 9,26 5,04–13,47 3,94–14,58 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Posesie % | 51,11 44,32–57,90 42,65–59,57 | 48,48 41,69–55,26 40,02–56,94 | — | 54% 41% |
| Pase | 394 326–461 308–479 | 342 275–408 258–426 | 735 602–869 566–905 | 67% 33% |
| Precizie pase % | 60,03 56,00–64,06 54,71–65,35 | 63,20 58,88–67,52 57,57–68,83 | — | 32% 63% |
| Faulturi | 13,64 10,80–16,47 10,04–17,23 | 15,24 12,30–18,19 11,55–18,94 | 28,88 23,10–34,66 21,59–36,17 | 35% 58% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,75 0,59–2,91 0,29–3,21 | 2,00 0,91–3,09 0,62–3,38 | 3,76 1,50–6,01 0,91–6,60 | 34% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,42 1,37–3,47 1,10–3,74 | 2,90 1,77–4,03 1,48–4,32 | 5,32 3,14–7,50 2,58–8,05 | 33% 17% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,15 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,46 | 0,17 0,00–0,36 0,00–0,49 | 0,32 0,00–0,67 0,00–0,95 | 74% 14% |
| Parade portar | 2,41 0,97–3,84 0,58–4,23 | 2,56 1,01–4,12 0,58–4,54 | 4,97 1,98–7,96 1,16–8,77 | 38% 18% 44% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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