Premier League·Etapa 23·
Premier League·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
27%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,162,49sigur0,37–2,300,30–2,010,67–4,32mai sigur0,12–2,550,08–2,240,19–4,80
Șuturi pe poartă
57%
14%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,493,508,00sigur2,63–6,361,76–5,254,39–11,60mai sigur2,14–6,851,29–5,713,44–12,56
Total șuturi
71%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,3310,1323,46sigur9,40–17,256,57–13,7015,97–30,95mai sigur8,31–18,345,61–14,6613,92–33,00
Șuturi din careu
70%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,806,2915,08sigur5,85–11,743,60–8,979,46–20,70mai sigur5,02–12,572,87–9,707,89–22,27
Șuturi blocate
52%
16%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,392,766,15sigur1,51–5,271,11–4,422,62–9,69mai sigur0,96–5,810,62–4,911,58–10,72
Cornere
67%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,773,879,64sigur3,56–7,991,87–5,875,43–13,86mai sigur2,99–8,561,34–6,404,32–14,96
Posesie %
30%
66%
gazdeoaspețipredicție46,2554,06sigur39,46–53,0447,27–60,84mai sigur37,79–54,7145,60–62,51
Pase
24%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție357440797sigur289–424374–507663–931mai sigur271–442356–524628–966
Precizie pase %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,9668,91sigur56,94–64,9964,59–73,24mai sigur55,64–66,2963,28–74,54
Faulturi
69%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,1513,0229,17sigur13,31–18,9910,07–15,9623,38–34,95mai sigur12,56–19,749,32–16,7121,88–36,45
Ofsaiduri
64%
17%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,721,484,20sigur1,55–3,880,39–2,571,94–6,45mai sigur1,25–4,180,10–2,861,35–7,04
Cartonașe galbene
45%
19%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,542,314,85sigur1,49–3,591,18–3,432,67–7,03mai sigur1,23–3,860,89–3,732,11–7,58
Cartonașe roșii
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,140,27sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,330,00–0,62mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,460,00–0,90
Parade portar
32%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,422,965,38sigur0,98–3,851,40–4,512,38–8,37mai sigur0,59–4,240,98–4,941,57–9,18
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,30 0,12–2,55 | 1,16 0,30–2,01 0,08–2,24 | 2,49 0,67–4,32 0,19–4,80 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,49 2,63–6,36 2,14–6,85 | 3,50 1,76–5,25 1,29–5,71 | 8,00 4,39–11,60 3,44–12,56 | 57% 14% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 13,33 9,40–17,25 8,31–18,34 | 10,13 6,57–13,70 5,61–14,66 | 23,46 15,97–30,95 13,92–33,00 | 71% 22% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,80 5,85–11,74 5,02–12,57 | 6,29 3,60–8,97 2,87–9,70 | 15,08 9,46–20,70 7,89–22,27 | 70% 22% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,39 1,51–5,27 0,96–5,81 | 2,76 1,11–4,42 0,62–4,91 | 6,15 2,62–9,69 1,58–10,72 | 52% 16% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,77 3,56–7,99 2,99–8,56 | 3,87 1,87–5,87 1,34–6,40 | 9,64 5,43–13,86 4,32–14,96 | 67% 22% |
| Posesie % | 46,25 39,46–53,04 37,79–54,71 | 54,06 47,27–60,84 45,60–62,51 | — | 30% 66% |
| Pase | 357 289–424 271–442 | 440 374–507 356–524 | 797 663–931 628–966 | 24% 76% |
| Precizie pase % | 60,96 56,94–64,99 55,64–66,29 | 68,91 64,59–73,24 63,28–74,54 | — | 14% 83% |
| Faulturi | 16,15 13,31–18,99 12,56–19,74 | 13,02 10,07–15,96 9,32–16,71 | 29,17 23,38–34,95 21,88–36,45 | 69% 25% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,72 1,55–3,88 1,25–4,18 | 1,48 0,39–2,57 0,10–2,86 | 4,20 1,94–6,45 1,35–7,04 | 64% 17% 19% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,54 1,49–3,59 1,23–3,86 | 2,31 1,18–3,43 0,89–3,73 | 4,85 2,67–7,03 2,11–7,58 | 45% 19% 37% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,27 0,00–0,62 0,00–0,90 | 78% |
| Parade portar | 2,42 0,98–3,85 0,59–4,24 | 2,96 1,40–4,51 0,98–4,94 | 5,38 2,38–8,37 1,57–9,18 | 32% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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