Premier League·Etapa 23·
Premier League·Etapa 23·Statistici estimate
Goluri
71%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,310,803,10sigur1,34–3,270,00–1,651,28–4,92mai sigur1,09–3,530,00–1,880,80–5,40
Șuturi pe poartă
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,723,209,92sigur4,85–8,581,46–4,946,31–13,52mai sigur4,36–9,070,99–5,415,36–14,48
Total șuturi
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,589,6727,25sigur13,65–21,506,11–13,2319,76–34,73mai sigur12,56–22,595,15–14,1917,71–36,78
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,165,8718,03sigur9,22–15,103,19–8,5512,41–23,66mai sigur8,39–15,932,46–9,2910,84–25,22
Șuturi blocate
71%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,432,486,91sigur2,55–6,310,83–4,143,37–10,45mai sigur2,00–6,850,34–4,632,34–11,48
Cornere
76%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,443,6710,11sigur4,23–8,651,67–5,675,90–14,32mai sigur3,65–9,231,14–6,204,79–15,43
Posesie %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,2337,49sigur56,44–70,0230,70–44,27mai sigur54,77–71,6929,03–45,94
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție553306859sigur486–620240–373726–993mai sigur468–638222–390690–1029
Precizie pase %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,7265,97sigur72,69–80,7561,65–70,30mai sigur71,40–82,0460,34–71,60
Faulturi
29%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0615,4828,54sigur10,22–15,8912,53–18,4222,75–34,32mai sigur9,46–16,6511,79–19,1721,25–35,82
Ofsaiduri
42%
20%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,212,134,34sigur1,05–3,371,03–3,222,08–6,59mai sigur0,75–3,670,75–3,511,50–7,18
Cartonașe galbene
21%
16%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,813,054,86sigur0,76–2,861,92–4,182,68–7,03mai sigur0,49–3,121,63–4,472,12–7,59
Cartonașe roșii
78%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,170,26sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,360,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,490,00–0,89
Parade portar
19%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,494,266,75sigur1,05–3,932,70–5,813,76–9,74mai sigur0,67–4,312,28–6,242,94–10,55
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,31 1,34–3,27 1,09–3,53 | 0,80 0,00–1,65 0,00–1,88 | 3,10 1,28–4,92 0,80–5,40 | 71% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,72 4,85–8,58 4,36–9,07 | 3,20 1,46–4,94 0,99–5,41 | 9,92 6,31–13,52 5,36–14,48 | 83% |
| Total șuturi | 17,58 13,65–21,50 12,56–22,59 | 9,67 6,11–13,23 5,15–14,19 | 27,25 19,76–34,73 17,71–36,78 | 92% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,16 9,22–15,10 8,39–15,93 | 5,87 3,19–8,55 2,46–9,29 | 18,03 12,41–23,66 10,84–25,22 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,43 2,55–6,31 2,00–6,85 | 2,48 0,83–4,14 0,34–4,63 | 6,91 3,37–10,45 2,34–11,48 | 71% 17% |
| Cornere | 6,44 4,23–8,65 3,65–9,23 | 3,67 1,67–5,67 1,14–6,20 | 10,11 5,90–14,32 4,79–15,43 | 76% 15% |
| Posesie % | 63,23 56,44–70,02 54,77–71,69 | 37,49 30,70–44,27 29,03–45,94 | — | 93% |
| Pase | 553 486–620 468–638 | 306 240–373 222–390 | 859 726–993 690–1029 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,72 72,69–80,75 71,40–82,04 | 65,97 61,65–70,30 60,34–71,60 | — | 91% |
| Faulturi | 13,06 10,22–15,89 9,46–16,65 | 15,48 12,53–18,42 11,79–19,17 | 28,54 22,75–34,32 21,25–35,82 | 29% 64% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,21 1,05–3,37 0,75–3,67 | 2,13 1,03–3,22 0,75–3,51 | 4,34 2,08–6,59 1,50–7,18 | 42% 20% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,81 0,76–2,86 0,49–3,12 | 3,05 1,92–4,18 1,63–4,47 | 4,86 2,68–7,03 2,12–7,59 | 21% 16% 63% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,17 0,00–0,36 0,00–0,49 | 0,26 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,89 | 78% 15% |
| Parade portar | 2,49 1,05–3,93 0,67–4,31 | 4,26 2,70–5,81 2,28–6,24 | 6,75 3,76–9,74 2,94–10,55 | 19% 69% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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