Premier League·Etapa 24·
Premier League·Etapa 24·Statistici estimate
Goluri
39%
26%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,341,262,59sigur0,37–2,300,40–2,110,77–4,42mai sigur0,12–2,550,18–2,340,29–4,90
Șuturi pe poartă
43%
14%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,414,468,87sigur2,55–6,282,71–6,205,27–12,48mai sigur2,06–6,772,25–6,664,31–13,43
Total șuturi
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,6312,8827,51sigur10,71–18,569,31–16,4420,02–34,99mai sigur9,62–19,658,35–17,4017,97–37,05
Șuturi din careu
50%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,658,1416,79sigur5,71–11,595,45–10,8211,16–22,41mai sigur4,88–12,424,72–11,559,60–23,98
Șuturi blocate
50%
15%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,693,176,86sigur1,81–5,571,52–4,833,33–10,40mai sigur1,26–6,121,03–5,322,29–11,43
Cornere
52%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,304,629,92sigur3,09–7,512,62–6,625,71–14,14mai sigur2,51–8,092,09–7,164,60–15,24
Posesie %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,7142,54sigur50,92–64,5035,76–49,33mai sigur49,25–66,1734,08–51,00
Pase
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție471313784sigur404–539247–379651–918mai sigur386–557229–397615–954
Precizie pase %
57%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,2165,37sigur63,19–71,2461,04–69,69mai sigur61,89–72,5459,73–71,00
Faulturi
30%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,6017,0931,69sigur11,77–17,4414,14–20,0325,91–37,47mai sigur11,01–18,2013,40–20,7824,41–38,98
Ofsaiduri
38%
22%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,831,893,72sigur0,67–2,990,79–2,981,46–5,97mai sigur0,37–3,290,50–3,270,87–6,56
Cartonașe galbene
37%
17%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,693,005,69sigur1,64–3,741,87–4,133,51–7,87mai sigur1,38–4,011,58–4,422,95–8,43
Cartonașe roșii
13%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,170,160,32sigur0,01–0,330,00–0,340,00–0,67mai sigur0,00–0,480,00–0,480,00–0,95
Parade portar
37%
16%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,013,366,37sigur1,58–4,451,80–4,923,38–9,36mai sigur1,19–4,841,38–5,342,57–10,18
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,34 0,37–2,30 0,12–2,55 | 1,26 0,40–2,11 0,18–2,34 | 2,59 0,77–4,42 0,29–4,90 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,41 2,55–6,28 2,06–6,77 | 4,46 2,71–6,20 2,25–6,66 | 8,87 5,27–12,48 4,31–13,43 | 43% 14% 44% |
| Total șuturi | 14,63 10,71–18,56 9,62–19,65 | 12,88 9,31–16,44 8,35–17,40 | 27,51 20,02–34,99 17,97–37,05 | 59% 33% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,65 5,71–11,59 4,88–12,42 | 8,14 5,45–10,82 4,72–11,55 | 16,79 11,16–22,41 9,60–23,98 | 50% 40% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,69 1,81–5,57 1,26–6,12 | 3,17 1,52–4,83 1,03–5,32 | 6,86 3,33–10,40 2,29–11,43 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,30 3,09–7,51 2,51–8,09 | 4,62 2,62–6,62 2,09–7,16 | 9,92 5,71–14,14 4,60–15,24 | 52% 35% |
| Posesie % | 57,71 50,92–64,50 49,25–66,17 | 42,54 35,76–49,33 34,08–51,00 | — | 80% 17% |
| Pase | 471 404–539 386–557 | 313 247–379 229–397 | 784 651–918 615–954 | 91% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,21 63,19–71,24 61,89–72,54 | 65,37 61,04–69,69 59,73–71,00 | — | 57% 38% |
| Faulturi | 14,60 11,77–17,44 11,01–18,20 | 17,09 14,14–20,03 13,40–20,78 | 31,69 25,91–37,47 24,41–38,98 | 30% 64% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,83 0,67–2,99 0,37–3,29 | 1,89 0,79–2,98 0,50–3,27 | 3,72 1,46–5,97 0,87–6,56 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,69 1,64–3,74 1,38–4,01 | 3,00 1,87–4,13 1,58–4,42 | 5,69 3,51–7,87 2,95–8,43 | 37% 17% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,17 0,01–0,33 0,00–0,48 | 0,16 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,48 | 0,32 0,00–0,67 0,00–0,95 | 13% 74% |
| Parade portar | 3,01 1,58–4,45 1,19–4,84 | 3,36 1,80–4,92 1,38–5,34 | 6,37 3,38–9,36 2,57–10,18 | 37% 16% 47% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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