Premier League·Etapa 26·
Premier League·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
28%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,241,012,26sigur0,28–2,210,16–1,870,43–4,08mai sigur0,02–2,460,00–2,100,00–4,56
Șuturi pe poartă
52%
14%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,413,758,16sigur2,55–6,272,01–5,494,56–11,77mai sigur2,06–6,761,54–5,963,60–12,72
Total șuturi
60%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1411,3424,48sigur9,21–17,067,78–14,9016,99–31,97mai sigur8,12–18,156,82–15,8614,94–34,02
Șuturi din careu
63%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,867,0115,87sigur5,92–11,804,33–9,6910,25–21,50mai sigur5,09–12,633,59–10,438,68–23,06
Șuturi blocate
50%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,462,956,41sigur1,58–5,341,30–4,602,87–9,94mai sigur1,03–5,880,80–5,101,84–10,98
Cornere
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,404,179,58sigur3,19–7,622,17–6,175,36–13,79mai sigur2,62–8,191,64–6,704,26–14,90
Posesie %
63%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,3945,85sigur45,60–59,1839,07–52,64mai sigur43,93–60,8537,39–54,31
Pase
71%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție396329725sigur329–463263–396591–859mai sigur310–481245–413556–894
Precizie pase %
48%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,1162,08sigur58,08–66,1457,75–66,40mai sigur56,79–67,4456,45–67,71
Faulturi
37%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5715,8430,40sigur11,73–17,4012,89–18,7824,62–36,19mai sigur10,97–18,1612,14–19,5323,12–37,69
Ofsaiduri
50%
23%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,861,323,18sigur0,70–3,020,23–2,420,93–5,43mai sigur0,39–3,320,00–2,710,34–6,02
Cartonașe galbene
30%
17%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,222,905,12sigur1,18–3,271,77–4,032,94–7,30mai sigur0,91–3,541,48–4,322,38–7,86
Cartonașe roșii
74%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,140,190,33sigur0,00–0,300,00–0,370,00–0,68mai sigur0,00–0,450,00–0,510,00–0,96
Parade portar
31%
17%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,463,085,53sigur1,02–3,891,52–4,632,54–8,52mai sigur0,63–4,281,10–5,061,73–9,34
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,24 0,28–2,21 0,02–2,46 | 1,01 0,16–1,87 0,00–2,10 | 2,26 0,43–4,08 0,00–4,56 | 42% 28% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,41 2,55–6,27 2,06–6,76 | 3,75 2,01–5,49 1,54–5,96 | 8,16 4,56–11,77 3,60–12,72 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total șuturi | 13,14 9,21–17,06 8,12–18,15 | 11,34 7,78–14,90 6,82–15,86 | 24,48 16,99–31,97 14,94–34,02 | 60% 32% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,86 5,92–11,80 5,09–12,63 | 7,01 4,33–9,69 3,59–10,43 | 15,87 10,25–21,50 8,68–23,06 | 63% 28% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,46 1,58–5,34 1,03–5,88 | 2,95 1,30–4,60 0,80–5,10 | 6,41 2,87–9,94 1,84–10,98 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,40 3,19–7,62 2,62–8,19 | 4,17 2,17–6,17 1,64–6,70 | 9,58 5,36–13,79 4,26–14,90 | 59% 29% |
| Posesie % | 52,39 45,60–59,18 43,93–60,85 | 45,85 39,07–52,64 37,39–54,31 | — | 63% 33% |
| Pase | 396 329–463 310–481 | 329 263–396 245–413 | 725 591–859 556–894 | 71% 29% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,11 58,08–66,14 56,79–67,44 | 62,08 57,75–66,40 56,45–67,71 | — | 48% 47% |
| Faulturi | 14,57 11,73–17,40 10,97–18,16 | 15,84 12,89–18,78 12,14–19,53 | 30,40 24,62–36,19 23,12–37,69 | 37% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,86 0,70–3,02 0,39–3,32 | 1,32 0,23–2,42 0,00–2,71 | 3,18 0,93–5,43 0,34–6,02 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,22 1,18–3,27 0,91–3,54 | 2,90 1,77–4,03 1,48–4,32 | 5,12 2,94–7,30 2,38–7,86 | 30% 17% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,14 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,45 | 0,19 0,00–0,37 0,00–0,51 | 0,33 0,00–0,68 0,00–0,96 | 74% 15% |
| Parade portar | 2,46 1,02–3,89 0,63–4,28 | 3,08 1,52–4,63 1,10–5,06 | 5,53 2,54–8,52 1,73–9,34 | 31% 17% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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