Premier League·Etapa 27·
Premier League·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
70%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,210,782,99sigur1,24–3,180,00–1,631,17–4,81mai sigur0,99–3,430,00–1,860,69–5,29
Șuturi pe poartă
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,433,329,76sigur4,57–8,301,58–5,076,15–13,36mai sigur4,08–8,791,11–5,535,20–14,32
Total șuturi
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,3810,2227,60sigur13,45–21,306,66–13,7820,11–35,09mai sigur12,36–22,395,70–14,7418,06–37,14
Șuturi din careu
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,096,3218,41sigur9,15–15,043,64–9,0012,79–24,03mai sigur8,32–15,872,90–9,7311,22–25,60
Șuturi blocate
71%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,642,617,25sigur2,76–6,520,96–4,263,71–10,79mai sigur2,21–7,070,46–4,762,68–11,82
Cornere
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,173,5610,73sigur4,96–9,391,56–5,566,52–14,94mai sigur4,38–9,961,02–6,095,41–16,05
Posesie %
97%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,4133,39sigur59,62–73,2026,61–40,18mai sigur57,95–74,8724,94–41,85
Pase
100%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție566253819sigur499–633186–319685–953mai sigur481–652169–337650–988
Precizie pase %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție78,1864,50sigur74,15–82,2160,18–68,83mai sigur72,86–83,5058,87–70,14
Faulturi
17%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0416,6628,69sigur9,20–14,8713,71–19,6022,91–34,47mai sigur8,44–15,6312,96–20,3521,41–35,98
Ofsaiduri
35%
21%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,882,103,98sigur0,72–3,041,01–3,201,73–6,24mai sigur0,42–3,340,72–3,481,14–6,83
Cartonașe galbene
17%
15%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,703,234,93sigur0,65–2,752,10–4,362,75–7,11mai sigur0,38–3,021,81–4,652,19–7,66
Cartonașe roșii
75%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,200,30sigur0,00–0,260,01–0,390,00–0,65mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,520,00–0,93
Parade portar
20%
13%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,444,006,45sigur1,01–3,882,45–5,563,46–9,44mai sigur0,62–4,272,02–5,982,64–10,25
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,21 1,24–3,18 0,99–3,43 | 0,78 0,00–1,63 0,00–1,86 | 2,99 1,17–4,81 0,69–5,29 | 70% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,43 4,57–8,30 4,08–8,79 | 3,32 1,58–5,07 1,11–5,53 | 9,76 6,15–13,36 5,20–14,32 | 80% |
| Total șuturi | 17,38 13,45–21,30 12,36–22,39 | 10,22 6,66–13,78 5,70–14,74 | 27,60 20,11–35,09 18,06–37,14 | 90% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,09 9,15–15,04 8,32–15,87 | 6,32 3,64–9,00 2,90–9,73 | 18,41 12,79–24,03 11,22–25,60 | 89% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,64 2,76–6,52 2,21–7,07 | 2,61 0,96–4,26 0,46–4,76 | 7,25 3,71–10,79 2,68–11,82 | 71% 17% |
| Cornere | 7,17 4,96–9,39 4,38–9,96 | 3,56 1,56–5,56 1,02–6,09 | 10,73 6,52–14,94 5,41–16,05 | 83% |
| Posesie % | 66,41 59,62–73,20 57,95–74,87 | 33,39 26,61–40,18 24,94–41,85 | — | 97% |
| Pase | 566 499–633 481–652 | 253 186–319 169–337 | 819 685–953 650–988 | 100% |
| Precizie pase % | 78,18 74,15–82,21 72,86–83,50 | 64,50 60,18–68,83 58,87–70,14 | — | 96% |
| Faulturi | 12,04 9,20–14,87 8,44–15,63 | 16,66 13,71–19,60 12,96–20,35 | 28,69 22,91–34,47 21,41–35,98 | 17% 78% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,88 0,72–3,04 0,42–3,34 | 2,10 1,01–3,20 0,72–3,48 | 3,98 1,73–6,24 1,14–6,83 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,70 0,65–2,75 0,38–3,02 | 3,23 2,10–4,36 1,81–4,65 | 4,93 2,75–7,11 2,19–7,66 | 17% 15% 68% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,20 0,01–0,39 0,00–0,52 | 0,30 0,00–0,65 0,00–0,93 | 75% 17% |
| Parade portar | 2,44 1,01–3,88 0,62–4,27 | 4,00 2,45–5,56 2,02–5,98 | 6,45 3,46–9,44 2,64–10,25 | 20% 13% 66% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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