Premier League·Etapa 27·
Premier League·Etapa 27·Statistici estimate
Goluri
69%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,310,903,21sigur1,34–3,280,04–1,751,38–5,03mai sigur1,09–3,530,00–1,980,90–5,51
Șuturi pe poartă
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,363,019,37sigur4,49–8,221,27–4,755,76–12,97mai sigur4,00–8,710,80–5,224,81–13,93
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,788,7026,49sigur13,86–21,715,14–12,2619,00–33,97mai sigur12,77–22,804,18–13,2216,95–36,02
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,505,7817,28sigur8,56–14,443,10–8,4611,66–22,90mai sigur7,73–15,272,36–9,2010,09–24,47
Șuturi blocate
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,822,307,11sigur2,93–6,700,64–3,953,58–10,65mai sigur2,39–7,240,15–4,442,54–11,68
Cornere
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,793,2810,07sigur4,58–9,011,28–5,285,86–14,28mai sigur4,01–9,580,74–5,814,75–15,39
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,3340,72sigur52,54–66,1233,93–47,50mai sigur50,87–67,7932,26–49,17
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție527361888sigur460–594295–427755–1022mai sigur442–613277–445719–1058
Precizie pase %
76%
20%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,2869,30sigur71,25–79,3164,97–73,62mai sigur69,96–80,6163,67–74,93
Faulturi
28%
66%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8115,4328,24sigur9,97–15,6412,49–18,3822,46–34,02mai sigur9,21–16,4011,74–19,1320,95–35,53
Ofsaiduri
48%
22%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,951,523,47sigur0,79–3,110,43–2,611,22–5,72mai sigur0,49–3,410,14–2,900,63–6,31
Cartonașe galbene
21%
16%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,773,034,80sigur0,73–2,821,90–4,162,63–6,98mai sigur0,46–3,091,61–4,452,07–7,54
Cartonașe roșii
79%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,150,25sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,340,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,470,00–0,88
Parade portar
14%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,104,266,36sigur0,66–3,542,70–5,813,36–9,35mai sigur0,28–3,922,28–6,242,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,31 1,34–3,28 1,09–3,53 | 0,90 0,04–1,75 0,00–1,98 | 3,21 1,38–5,03 0,90–5,51 | 69% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,36 4,49–8,22 4,00–8,71 | 3,01 1,27–4,75 0,80–5,22 | 9,37 5,76–12,97 4,81–13,93 | 83% |
| Total șuturi | 17,78 13,86–21,71 12,77–22,80 | 8,70 5,14–12,26 4,18–13,22 | 26,49 19,00–33,97 16,95–36,02 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,50 8,56–14,44 7,73–15,27 | 5,78 3,10–8,46 2,36–9,20 | 17,28 11,66–22,90 10,09–24,47 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,82 2,93–6,70 2,39–7,24 | 2,30 0,64–3,95 0,15–4,44 | 7,11 3,58–10,65 2,54–11,68 | 78% |
| Cornere | 6,79 4,58–9,01 4,01–9,58 | 3,28 1,28–5,28 0,74–5,81 | 10,07 5,86–14,28 4,75–15,39 | 83% |
| Posesie % | 59,33 52,54–66,12 50,87–67,79 | 40,72 33,93–47,50 32,26–49,17 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 527 460–594 442–613 | 361 295–427 277–445 | 888 755–1022 719–1058 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,28 71,25–79,31 69,96–80,61 | 69,30 64,97–73,62 63,67–74,93 | — | 76% 20% |
| Faulturi | 12,81 9,97–15,64 9,21–16,40 | 15,43 12,49–18,38 11,74–19,13 | 28,24 22,46–34,02 20,95–35,53 | 28% 66% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,95 0,79–3,11 0,49–3,41 | 1,52 0,43–2,61 0,14–2,90 | 3,47 1,22–5,72 0,63–6,31 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,77 0,73–2,82 0,46–3,09 | 3,03 1,90–4,16 1,61–4,45 | 4,80 2,63–6,98 2,07–7,54 | 21% 16% 63% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,47 | 0,25 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,88 | 79% 13% |
| Parade portar | 2,10 0,66–3,54 0,28–3,92 | 4,26 2,70–5,81 2,28–6,24 | 6,36 3,36–9,35 2,55–10,16 | 14% 75% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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