Premier League·Etapa 28·
Premier League·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
28%
24%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,211,642,85sigur0,24–2,180,78–2,491,02–4,67mai sigur0,00–2,430,55–2,720,54–5,15
Șuturi pe poartă
38%
13%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,284,658,94sigur2,42–6,152,91–6,405,33–12,54mai sigur1,93–6,642,45–6,864,38–13,50
Total șuturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4113,3125,73sigur8,49–16,349,75–16,8718,24–33,21mai sigur7,40–17,438,79–17,8316,19–35,26
Șuturi din careu
33%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,518,7616,27sigur4,57–10,456,08–11,4410,65–21,89mai sigur3,74–11,285,34–12,189,08–23,46
Șuturi blocate
35%
15%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,243,777,01sigur1,36–5,122,12–5,423,48–10,55mai sigur0,82–5,671,63–5,922,44–11,58
Cornere
46%
13%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,894,709,59sigur2,68–7,102,70–6,705,38–13,81mai sigur2,10–7,682,17–7,244,27–14,91
Posesie %
17%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,3157,50sigur35,52–49,1050,71–64,28mai sigur33,85–50,7749,04–65,95
Pase
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție325461786sigur258–393395–527653–920mai sigur240–411377–545617–956
Precizie pase %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,9177,06sigur61,88–69,9472,74–81,38mai sigur60,59–71,2371,43–82,69
Faulturi
39%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,9816,0831,06sigur12,15–17,8213,13–19,0225,28–36,84mai sigur11,39–18,5812,38–19,7723,77–38,35
Ofsaiduri
45%
21%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,011,733,74sigur0,85–3,170,63–2,821,49–5,99mai sigur0,55–3,470,34–3,110,90–6,58
Cartonașe galbene
34%
18%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,432,825,25sigur1,38–3,481,69–3,953,07–7,43mai sigur1,11–3,741,40–4,242,52–7,99
Cartonașe roșii
15%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,190,150,35sigur0,03–0,350,00–0,340,00–0,69mai sigur0,00–0,500,00–0,470,00–0,98
Parade portar
47%
17%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,072,725,79sigur1,63–4,501,17–4,282,80–8,78mai sigur1,24–4,890,74–4,701,98–9,59
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,21 0,24–2,18 0,00–2,43 | 1,64 0,78–2,49 0,55–2,72 | 2,85 1,02–4,67 0,54–5,15 | 28% 24% 47% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,28 2,42–6,15 1,93–6,64 | 4,65 2,91–6,40 2,45–6,86 | 8,94 5,33–12,54 4,38–13,50 | 38% 13% 48% |
| Total șuturi | 12,41 8,49–16,34 7,40–17,43 | 13,31 9,75–16,87 8,79–17,83 | 25,73 18,24–33,21 16,19–35,26 | 39% 53% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,51 4,57–10,45 3,74–11,28 | 8,76 6,08–11,44 5,34–12,18 | 16,27 10,65–21,89 9,08–23,46 | 33% 57% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,24 1,36–5,12 0,82–5,67 | 3,77 2,12–5,42 1,63–5,92 | 7,01 3,48–10,55 2,44–11,58 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Cornere | 4,89 2,68–7,10 2,10–7,68 | 4,70 2,70–6,70 2,17–7,24 | 9,59 5,38–13,81 4,27–14,91 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Posesie % | 42,31 35,52–49,10 33,85–50,77 | 57,50 50,71–64,28 49,04–65,95 | — | 17% 80% |
| Pase | 325 258–393 240–411 | 461 395–527 377–545 | 786 653–920 617–956 | 87% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,91 61,88–69,94 60,59–71,23 | 77,06 72,74–81,38 71,43–82,69 | — | 92% |
| Faulturi | 14,98 12,15–17,82 11,39–18,58 | 16,08 13,13–19,02 12,38–19,77 | 31,06 25,28–36,84 23,77–38,35 | 39% 54% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,01 0,85–3,17 0,55–3,47 | 1,73 0,63–2,82 0,34–3,11 | 3,74 1,49–5,99 0,90–6,58 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,43 1,38–3,48 1,11–3,74 | 2,82 1,69–3,95 1,40–4,24 | 5,25 3,07–7,43 2,52–7,99 | 34% 18% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,19 0,03–0,35 0,00–0,50 | 0,15 0,00–0,34 0,00–0,47 | 0,35 0,00–0,69 0,00–0,98 | 15% 73% |
| Parade portar | 3,07 1,63–4,50 1,24–4,89 | 2,72 1,17–4,28 0,74–4,70 | 5,79 2,80–8,78 1,98–9,59 | 47% 17% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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