Premier League·Etapa 28·
Premier League·Etapa 28·Statistici estimate
Goluri
24%
24%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,071,682,75sigur0,10–2,040,83–2,540,93–4,58mai sigur0,00–2,290,60–2,760,45–5,06
Șuturi pe poartă
25%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,695,158,84sigur1,83–5,553,41–6,905,24–12,45mai sigur1,34–6,042,95–7,364,28–13,40
Total șuturi
24%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5414,6126,15sigur7,62–15,4711,05–18,1818,67–33,64mai sigur6,53–16,5610,09–19,1316,62–35,69
Șuturi din careu
29%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,258,9916,24sigur4,31–10,196,31–11,6710,61–21,86mai sigur3,48–11,025,57–12,419,05–23,43
Șuturi blocate
28%
14%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,154,247,39sigur1,27–5,032,59–5,903,85–10,93mai sigur0,72–5,572,10–6,392,82–11,96
Cornere
41%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,175,3910,56sigur2,95–7,383,39–7,396,35–14,77mai sigur2,38–7,962,86–7,925,24–15,88
Posesie %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție45,6355,15sigur38,84–52,4248,37–61,94mai sigur37,17–54,0946,69–63,61
Pase
24%
76%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție393477870sigur326–460411–544737–1004mai sigur308–478393–561701–1040
Precizie pase %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,7571,94sigur58,72–66,7867,62–76,27mai sigur57,43–68,0766,31–77,58
Faulturi
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0012,3026,30sigur11,16–16,849,36–15,2520,52–32,08mai sigur10,40–17,598,61–15,9919,01–33,59
Ofsaiduri
62%
18%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,571,454,02sigur1,41–3,730,35–2,541,76–6,27mai sigur1,11–4,030,06–2,831,17–6,86
Cartonașe galbene
44%
22%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,911,653,56sigur0,87–2,960,52–2,781,38–5,74mai sigur0,60–3,230,23–3,070,83–6,30
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,120,21sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,300,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
54%
16%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,272,535,80sigur1,84–4,710,97–4,082,81–8,79mai sigur1,45–5,100,54–4,511,99–9,60
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,07 0,10–2,04 0,00–2,29 | 1,68 0,83–2,54 0,60–2,76 | 2,75 0,93–4,58 0,45–5,06 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,69 1,83–5,55 1,34–6,04 | 5,15 3,41–6,90 2,95–7,36 | 8,84 5,24–12,45 4,28–13,40 | 25% 63% |
| Total șuturi | 11,54 7,62–15,47 6,53–16,56 | 14,61 11,05–18,18 10,09–19,13 | 26,15 18,67–33,64 16,62–35,69 | 24% 69% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,25 4,31–10,19 3,48–11,02 | 8,99 6,31–11,67 5,57–12,41 | 16,24 10,61–21,86 9,05–23,43 | 29% 62% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,15 1,27–5,03 0,72–5,57 | 4,24 2,59–5,90 2,10–6,39 | 7,39 3,85–10,93 2,82–11,96 | 28% 14% 58% |
| Cornere | 5,17 2,95–7,38 2,38–7,96 | 5,39 3,39–7,39 2,86–7,92 | 10,56 6,35–14,77 5,24–15,88 | 41% 47% |
| Posesie % | 45,63 38,84–52,42 37,17–54,09 | 55,15 48,37–61,94 46,69–63,61 | — | 27% 69% |
| Pase | 393 326–460 308–478 | 477 411–544 393–561 | 870 737–1004 701–1040 | 24% 76% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,75 58,72–66,78 57,43–68,07 | 71,94 67,62–76,27 66,31–77,58 | — | 87% |
| Faulturi | 14,00 11,16–16,84 10,40–17,59 | 12,30 9,36–15,25 8,61–15,99 | 26,30 20,52–32,08 19,01–33,59 | 59% 33% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,57 1,41–3,73 1,11–4,03 | 1,45 0,35–2,54 0,06–2,83 | 4,02 1,76–6,27 1,17–6,86 | 62% 18% 20% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,91 0,87–2,96 0,60–3,23 | 1,65 0,52–2,78 0,23–3,07 | 3,56 1,38–5,74 0,83–6,30 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,27 1,84–4,71 1,45–5,10 | 2,53 0,97–4,08 0,54–4,51 | 5,80 2,81–8,79 1,99–9,60 | 54% 16% 30% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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