Premier League·Etapa 30·
Premier League·Etapa 30·Statistici estimate
Goluri
21%
24%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,961,712,67sigur0,00–1,930,86–2,560,85–4,49mai sigur0,00–2,180,63–2,790,37–4,97
Șuturi pe poartă
23%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,344,978,32sigur1,48–5,203,23–6,724,71–11,92mai sigur0,99–5,692,77–7,183,76–12,88
Total șuturi
20%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,9313,5023,43sigur6,00–13,859,94–17,0715,94–30,92mai sigur4,91–14,948,98–18,0313,89–32,97
Șuturi din careu
24%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,338,5814,91sigur3,39–9,275,90–11,269,29–20,53mai sigur2,56–10,105,16–12,007,72–22,10
Șuturi blocate
27%
15%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,573,586,15sigur0,69–4,461,92–5,232,62–9,69mai sigur0,15–5,001,43–5,721,58–10,72
Cornere
24%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,535,138,66sigur1,32–5,753,13–7,134,45–12,88mai sigur0,74–6,322,60–7,663,34–13,98
Posesie %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție37,1862,99sigur30,39–43,9756,20–69,77mai sigur28,72–45,6454,53–71,45
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție294506800sigur227–361439–572666–933mai sigur209–379422–590630–969
Precizie pase %
98%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,7574,71sigur54,72–62,7870,38–79,03mai sigur53,43–64,0769,07–80,34
Faulturi
69%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,9413,7430,68sigur14,11–19,7810,79–16,6824,90–36,46mai sigur13,35–20,5410,04–17,4323,39–37,97
Ofsaiduri
49%
23%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,821,313,14sigur0,66–2,980,22–2,410,88–5,39mai sigur0,36–3,280,00–2,700,29–5,98
Cartonașe galbene
41%
19%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,352,324,68sigur1,30–3,401,20–3,452,50–6,85mai sigur1,04–3,670,90–3,751,94–7,41
Cartonașe roșii
14%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,170,140,31sigur0,01–0,330,00–0,330,00–0,66mai sigur0,00–0,480,00–0,460,00–0,94
Parade portar
51%
17%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,112,545,65sigur1,68–4,550,98–4,102,66–8,65mai sigur1,29–4,940,56–4,521,85–9,46
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 0,96 0,00–1,93 0,00–2,18 | 1,71 0,86–2,56 0,63–2,79 | 2,67 0,85–4,49 0,37–4,97 | 21% 24% 55% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,34 1,48–5,20 0,99–5,69 | 4,97 3,23–6,72 2,77–7,18 | 8,32 4,71–11,92 3,76–12,88 | 23% 65% |
| Total șuturi | 9,93 6,00–13,85 4,91–14,94 | 13,50 9,94–17,07 8,98–18,03 | 23,43 15,94–30,92 13,89–32,97 | 20% 74% |
| Șuturi din careu | 6,33 3,39–9,27 2,56–10,10 | 8,58 5,90–11,26 5,16–12,00 | 14,91 9,29–20,53 7,72–22,10 | 24% 67% |
| Șuturi blocate | 2,57 0,69–4,46 0,15–5,00 | 3,58 1,92–5,23 1,43–5,72 | 6,15 2,62–9,69 1,58–10,72 | 27% 15% 58% |
| Cornere | 3,53 1,32–5,75 0,74–6,32 | 5,13 3,13–7,13 2,60–7,66 | 8,66 4,45–12,88 3,34–13,98 | 24% 64% |
| Posesie % | 37,18 30,39–43,97 28,72–45,64 | 62,99 56,20–69,77 54,53–71,45 | — | 93% |
| Pase | 294 227–361 209–379 | 506 439–572 422–590 | 800 666–933 630–969 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 58,75 54,72–62,78 53,43–64,07 | 74,71 70,38–79,03 69,07–80,34 | — | 98% |
| Faulturi | 16,94 14,11–19,78 13,35–20,54 | 13,74 10,79–16,68 10,04–17,43 | 30,68 24,90–36,46 23,39–37,97 | 69% 25% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,82 0,66–2,98 0,36–3,28 | 1,31 0,22–2,41 0,00–2,70 | 3,14 0,88–5,39 0,29–5,98 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,35 1,30–3,40 1,04–3,67 | 2,32 1,20–3,45 0,90–3,75 | 4,68 2,50–6,85 1,94–7,41 | 41% 19% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,17 0,01–0,33 0,00–0,48 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,31 0,00–0,66 0,00–0,94 | 14% 75% |
| Parade portar | 3,11 1,68–4,55 1,29–4,94 | 2,54 0,98–4,10 0,56–4,52 | 5,65 2,66–8,65 1,85–9,46 | 51% 17% 32% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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