Bundesliga·Etapa 8·
Bundesliga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
27%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,401,012,41sigur0,43–2,360,16–1,860,58–4,23mai sigur0,18–2,620,00–2,090,10–4,71
Șuturi pe poartă
55%
13%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,643,768,40sigur2,78–6,512,01–5,504,79–12,00mai sigur2,29–6,991,55–5,963,84–12,96
Total șuturi
71%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,5012,1227,63sigur11,58–19,438,56–15,6920,14–35,11mai sigur10,49–20,527,60–16,6518,09–37,16
Șuturi din careu
65%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,327,2416,57sigur6,38–12,274,56–9,9210,94–22,19mai sigur5,55–13,093,82–10,669,38–23,76
Șuturi blocate
47%
15%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,903,627,51sigur2,01–5,781,97–5,273,98–11,05mai sigur1,47–6,321,47–5,762,94–12,09
Cornere
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,064,3710,44sigur3,85–8,282,37–6,376,22–14,65mai sigur3,28–8,851,84–6,915,12–15,76
Posesie %
61%
34%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,8747,07sigur46,08–59,6640,29–53,86mai sigur44,41–61,3338,61–55,53
Pase
65%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție427379807sigur360–495313–446673–941mai sigur342–513296–463638–976
Precizie pase %
41%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,5369,70sigur64,50–72,5665,37–74,02mai sigur63,20–73,8564,07–75,33
Faulturi
33%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0912,7823,87sigur8,25–13,929,84–15,7318,09–29,65mai sigur7,49–14,689,09–16,4816,58–31,16
Ofsaiduri
45%
24%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,383,07sigur0,53–2,850,29–2,480,82–5,33mai sigur0,23–3,150,00–2,760,23–5,92
Cartonașe galbene
32%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,832,274,10sigur0,78–2,881,14–3,401,92–6,27mai sigur0,51–3,140,85–3,691,36–6,83
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,120,22sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,310,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,440,00–0,85
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,543,395,93sigur1,11–3,981,83–4,942,94–8,92mai sigur0,72–4,371,40–5,372,12–9,73
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,40 0,43–2,36 0,18–2,62 | 1,01 0,16–1,86 0,00–2,09 | 2,41 0,58–4,23 0,10–4,71 | 46% 27% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,64 2,78–6,51 2,29–6,99 | 3,76 2,01–5,50 1,55–5,96 | 8,40 4,79–12,00 3,84–12,96 | 55% 13% 31% |
| Total șuturi | 15,50 11,58–19,43 10,49–20,52 | 12,12 8,56–15,69 7,60–16,65 | 27,63 20,14–35,11 18,09–37,16 | 71% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,32 6,38–12,27 5,55–13,09 | 7,24 4,56–9,92 3,82–10,66 | 16,57 10,94–22,19 9,38–23,76 | 65% 26% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,90 2,01–5,78 1,47–6,32 | 3,62 1,97–5,27 1,47–5,76 | 7,51 3,98–11,05 2,94–12,09 | 47% 15% 39% |
| Cornere | 6,06 3,85–8,28 3,28–8,85 | 4,37 2,37–6,37 1,84–6,91 | 10,44 6,22–14,65 5,12–15,76 | 64% 25% |
| Posesie % | 52,87 46,08–59,66 44,41–61,33 | 47,07 40,29–53,86 38,61–55,53 | — | 61% 34% |
| Pase | 427 360–495 342–513 | 379 313–446 296–463 | 807 673–941 638–976 | 65% 34% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,53 64,50–72,56 63,20–73,85 | 69,70 65,37–74,02 64,07–75,33 | — | 41% 53% |
| Faulturi | 11,09 8,25–13,92 7,49–14,68 | 12,78 9,84–15,73 9,09–16,48 | 23,87 18,09–29,65 16,58–31,16 | 33% 60% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,23–3,15 | 1,38 0,29–2,48 0,00–2,76 | 3,07 0,82–5,33 0,23–5,92 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,83 0,78–2,88 0,51–3,14 | 2,27 1,14–3,40 0,85–3,69 | 4,10 1,92–6,27 1,36–6,83 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,22 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,85 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,54 1,11–3,98 0,72–4,37 | 3,39 1,83–4,94 1,40–5,37 | 5,93 2,94–8,92 2,12–9,73 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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