Bundesliga·Etapa 8·
Bundesliga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
24%
24%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,111,752,86sigur0,14–2,080,89–2,601,03–4,68mai sigur0,00–2,330,66–2,830,55–5,16
Șuturi pe poartă
25%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,895,419,30sigur2,02–5,753,67–7,165,69–12,90mai sigur1,53–6,243,20–7,624,74–13,86
Total șuturi
25%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4215,5427,96sigur8,49–16,3411,98–19,1020,47–35,45mai sigur7,40–17,4411,02–20,0618,42–37,50
Șuturi din careu
23%
69%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,4510,0417,49sigur4,51–10,397,36–12,7211,87–23,12mai sigur3,68–11,226,62–13,4610,30–24,68
Șuturi blocate
29%
14%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,314,287,59sigur1,43–5,192,63–5,934,05–11,12mai sigur0,88–5,732,13–6,423,02–12,16
Cornere
30%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,495,6310,11sigur2,27–6,703,63–7,635,90–14,33mai sigur1,70–7,273,09–8,164,79–15,43
Posesie %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție38,7862,11sigur31,99–45,5755,32–68,89mai sigur30,32–47,2453,65–70,56
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție338529867sigur271–406462–595734–1001mai sigur253–424445–613698–1037
Precizie pase %
96%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,7775,05sigur56,74–64,8070,72–79,37mai sigur55,45–66,0969,41–80,68
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,8912,4824,37sigur9,05–14,739,54–15,4318,59–30,16mai sigur8,30–15,498,79–16,1817,09–31,66
Ofsaiduri
42%
25%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,322,83sigur0,36–2,680,23–2,410,58–5,09mai sigur0,06–2,980,00–2,700,00–5,68
Cartonașe galbene
44%
20%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,231,994,22sigur1,18–3,280,86–3,122,04–6,40mai sigur0,91–3,540,57–3,411,48–6,95
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,100,21sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,290,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,420,00–0,84
Parade portar
57%
15%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,692,706,39sigur2,25–5,131,14–4,253,40–9,38mai sigur1,87–5,510,72–4,682,58–10,19
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,11 0,14–2,08 0,00–2,33 | 1,75 0,89–2,60 0,66–2,83 | 2,86 1,03–4,68 0,55–5,16 | 24% 24% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,89 2,02–5,75 1,53–6,24 | 5,41 3,67–7,16 3,20–7,62 | 9,30 5,69–12,90 4,74–13,86 | 25% 63% |
| Total șuturi | 12,42 8,49–16,34 7,40–17,44 | 15,54 11,98–19,10 11,02–20,06 | 27,96 20,47–35,45 18,42–37,50 | 25% 69% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,45 4,51–10,39 3,68–11,22 | 10,04 7,36–12,72 6,62–13,46 | 17,49 11,87–23,12 10,30–24,68 | 23% 69% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,31 1,43–5,19 0,88–5,73 | 4,28 2,63–5,93 2,13–6,42 | 7,59 4,05–11,12 3,02–12,16 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Cornere | 4,49 2,27–6,70 1,70–7,27 | 5,63 3,63–7,63 3,09–8,16 | 10,11 5,90–14,33 4,79–15,43 | 30% 58% |
| Posesie % | 38,78 31,99–45,57 30,32–47,24 | 62,11 55,32–68,89 53,65–70,56 | — | 91% |
| Pase | 338 271–406 253–424 | 529 462–595 445–613 | 867 734–1001 698–1037 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 60,77 56,74–64,80 55,45–66,09 | 75,05 70,72–79,37 69,41–80,68 | — | 96% |
| Faulturi | 11,89 9,05–14,73 8,30–15,49 | 12,48 9,54–15,43 8,79–16,18 | 24,37 18,59–30,16 17,09–31,66 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,52 0,36–2,68 0,06–2,98 | 1,32 0,23–2,41 0,00–2,70 | 2,83 0,58–5,09 0,00–5,68 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,23 1,18–3,28 0,91–3,54 | 1,99 0,86–3,12 0,57–3,41 | 4,22 2,04–6,40 1,48–6,95 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 3,69 2,25–5,13 1,87–5,51 | 2,70 1,14–4,25 0,72–4,68 | 6,39 3,40–9,38 2,58–10,19 | 57% 15% 27% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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