Bundesliga·Etapa 8·
Bundesliga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
22%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,911,313,22sigur0,94–2,870,45–2,161,39–5,04mai sigur0,69–3,130,23–2,390,91–5,52
Șuturi pe poartă
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,934,5710,50sigur4,07–7,802,82–6,316,89–14,11mai sigur3,58–8,282,36–6,785,94–15,06
Total șuturi
79%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,8312,0728,90sigur12,90–20,758,51–15,6321,41–36,39mai sigur11,81–21,847,55–16,5919,36–38,44
Șuturi din careu
72%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,767,7418,50sigur7,82–13,705,06–10,4212,87–24,12mai sigur6,99–14,534,32–11,1611,31–25,69
Șuturi blocate
58%
14%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,283,187,46sigur2,40–6,161,53–4,843,93–11,00mai sigur1,85–6,711,04–5,332,89–12,03
Cornere
54%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,724,8610,58sigur3,51–7,942,86–6,866,37–14,79mai sigur2,94–8,512,32–7,395,26–15,90
Posesie %
48%
47%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,9849,89sigur43,19–56,7743,11–56,68mai sigur41,52–58,4441,44–58,35
Pase
48%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție467472939sigur400–534406–539805–1073mai sigur382–552388–556770–1108
Precizie pase %
47%
48%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,8975,01sigur70,86–78,9270,68–79,33mai sigur69,57–80,2169,37–80,64
Faulturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3010,7623,06sigur9,46–15,137,82–13,7117,28–28,84mai sigur8,70–15,897,07–14,4615,77–30,35
Ofsaiduri
40%
20%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,082,094,17sigur0,92–3,241,00–3,181,91–6,42mai sigur0,62–3,540,71–3,471,32–7,01
Cartonașe galbene
31%
20%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,802,254,05sigur0,75–2,851,12–3,381,87–6,22mai sigur0,48–3,110,83–3,671,31–6,78
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,100,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
27%
15%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,793,876,66sigur1,35–4,232,31–5,433,67–9,65mai sigur0,97–4,611,89–5,852,86–10,47
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,91 0,94–2,87 0,69–3,13 | 1,31 0,45–2,16 0,23–2,39 | 3,22 1,39–5,04 0,91–5,52 | 51% 22% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,93 4,07–7,80 3,58–8,28 | 4,57 2,82–6,31 2,36–6,78 | 10,50 6,89–14,11 5,94–15,06 | 60% 28% |
| Total șuturi | 16,83 12,90–20,75 11,81–21,84 | 12,07 8,51–15,63 7,55–16,59 | 28,90 21,41–36,39 19,36–38,44 | 79% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,76 7,82–13,70 6,99–14,53 | 7,74 5,06–10,42 4,32–11,16 | 18,50 12,87–24,12 11,31–25,69 | 72% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,28 2,40–6,16 1,85–6,71 | 3,18 1,53–4,84 1,04–5,33 | 7,46 3,93–11,00 2,89–12,03 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Cornere | 5,72 3,51–7,94 2,94–8,51 | 4,86 2,86–6,86 2,32–7,39 | 10,58 6,37–14,79 5,26–15,90 | 54% 34% |
| Posesie % | 49,98 43,19–56,77 41,52–58,44 | 49,89 43,11–56,68 41,44–58,35 | — | 48% 47% |
| Pase | 467 400–534 382–552 | 472 406–539 388–556 | 939 805–1073 770–1108 | 48% 52% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,89 70,86–78,92 69,57–80,21 | 75,01 70,68–79,33 69,37–80,64 | — | 47% 48% |
| Faulturi | 12,30 9,46–15,13 8,70–15,89 | 10,76 7,82–13,71 7,07–14,46 | 23,06 17,28–28,84 15,77–30,35 | 58% 34% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,08 0,92–3,24 0,62–3,54 | 2,09 1,00–3,18 0,71–3,47 | 4,17 1,91–6,42 1,32–7,01 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,80 0,75–2,85 0,48–3,11 | 2,25 1,12–3,38 0,83–3,67 | 4,05 1,87–6,22 1,31–6,78 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,79 1,35–4,23 0,97–4,61 | 3,87 2,31–5,43 1,89–5,85 | 6,66 3,67–9,65 2,86–10,47 | 27% 15% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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