Bundesliga·Etapa 8·
Bundesliga·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
46%
24%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,621,272,89sigur0,65–2,590,42–2,121,07–4,71mai sigur0,40–2,840,19–2,350,59–5,19
Șuturi pe poartă
55%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,124,199,31sigur3,25–6,982,45–5,945,71–12,92mai sigur2,76–7,471,99–6,404,75–13,87
Total șuturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,3011,9927,30sigur11,38–19,238,43–15,5619,81–34,78mai sigur10,29–20,327,47–16,5217,76–36,83
Șuturi din careu
58%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,137,8316,96sigur6,19–12,085,15–10,5111,34–22,58mai sigur5,36–12,904,41–11,259,77–24,15
Șuturi blocate
54%
15%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,973,197,16sigur2,08–5,851,54–4,853,62–10,69mai sigur1,54–6,391,05–5,342,59–11,73
Cornere
55%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,674,7410,40sigur3,45–7,882,74–6,746,19–14,62mai sigur2,88–8,452,20–7,275,08–15,72
Posesie %
59%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,6647,94sigur45,87–59,4541,15–54,72mai sigur44,20–61,1239,48–56,39
Pase
63%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție464424888sigur397–531357–490754–1021mai sigur378–549340–508718–1057
Precizie pase %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție68,6469,09sigur64,61–72,6764,77–73,42mai sigur63,32–73,9663,46–74,72
Faulturi
38%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,1611,0421,20sigur7,32–13,008,09–13,9815,41–26,98mai sigur6,56–13,757,34–14,7313,91–28,48
Ofsaiduri
36%
21%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,852,003,85sigur0,69–3,010,91–3,091,59–6,10mai sigur0,39–3,310,62–3,381,00–6,69
Cartonașe galbene
39%
20%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,092,124,21sigur1,04–3,140,99–3,242,03–6,39mai sigur0,78–3,410,70–3,541,47–6,94
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,120,21sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,440,00–0,84
Parade portar
34%
16%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,863,386,24sigur1,43–4,301,82–4,933,25–9,23mai sigur1,04–4,681,40–5,362,43–10,04
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,62 0,65–2,59 0,40–2,84 | 1,27 0,42–2,12 0,19–2,35 | 2,89 1,07–4,71 0,59–5,19 | 46% 24% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,12 3,25–6,98 2,76–7,47 | 4,19 2,45–5,94 1,99–6,40 | 9,31 5,71–12,92 4,75–13,87 | 55% 32% |
| Total șuturi | 15,30 11,38–19,23 10,29–20,32 | 11,99 8,43–15,56 7,47–16,52 | 27,30 19,81–34,78 17,76–36,83 | 70% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,13 6,19–12,08 5,36–12,90 | 7,83 5,15–10,51 4,41–11,25 | 16,96 11,34–22,58 9,77–24,15 | 58% 33% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,97 2,08–5,85 1,54–6,39 | 3,19 1,54–4,85 1,05–5,34 | 7,16 3,62–10,69 2,59–11,73 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Cornere | 5,67 3,45–7,88 2,88–8,45 | 4,74 2,74–6,74 2,20–7,27 | 10,40 6,19–14,62 5,08–15,72 | 55% 33% |
| Posesie % | 52,66 45,87–59,45 44,20–61,12 | 47,94 41,15–54,72 39,48–56,39 | — | 59% 37% |
| Pase | 464 397–531 378–549 | 424 357–490 340–508 | 888 754–1021 718–1057 | 63% 37% |
| Precizie pase % | 68,64 64,61–72,67 63,32–73,96 | 69,09 64,77–73,42 63,46–74,72 | — | 45% 50% |
| Faulturi | 10,16 7,32–13,00 6,56–13,75 | 11,04 8,09–13,98 7,34–14,73 | 21,20 15,41–26,98 13,91–28,48 | 38% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,85 0,69–3,01 0,39–3,31 | 2,00 0,91–3,09 0,62–3,38 | 3,85 1,59–6,10 1,00–6,69 | 36% 21% 42% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,09 1,04–3,14 0,78–3,41 | 2,12 0,99–3,24 0,70–3,54 | 4,21 2,03–6,39 1,47–6,94 | 39% 20% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,21 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,86 1,43–4,30 1,04–4,68 | 3,38 1,82–4,93 1,40–5,36 | 6,24 3,25–9,23 2,43–10,04 | 34% 16% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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