Bundesliga·Etapa 9·
Bundesliga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
34%
26%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,261,412,67sigur0,29–2,230,56–2,270,85–4,50mai sigur0,04–2,480,33–2,490,37–4,98
Șuturi pe poartă
40%
14%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,144,338,47sigur2,28–6,002,59–6,074,86–12,07mai sigur1,79–6,492,12–6,543,91–13,03
Total șuturi
40%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8413,6626,50sigur8,91–16,7610,10–17,2219,01–33,99mai sigur7,82–17,859,14–18,1816,96–36,04
Șuturi din careu
37%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,978,7916,76sigur5,02–10,916,11–11,4711,13–22,38mai sigur4,19–11,745,37–12,219,56–23,95
Șuturi blocate
37%
15%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,403,767,16sigur1,52–5,282,11–5,413,63–10,70mai sigur0,98–5,831,61–5,902,59–11,73
Cornere
34%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,705,5210,22sigur2,49–6,913,52–7,526,01–14,43mai sigur1,91–7,492,98–8,054,90–15,54
Posesie %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,2752,75sigur41,48–55,0645,96–59,53mai sigur39,81–56,7344,29–61,20
Pase
51%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție447442889sigur379–514376–509755–1022mai sigur361–532358–526719–1058
Precizie pase %
26%
70%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,9070,40sigur61,87–69,9366,07–74,72mai sigur60,58–71,2364,76–76,03
Faulturi
41%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,9511,5722,53sigur8,11–13,798,63–14,5216,74–28,31mai sigur7,36–14,547,88–15,2715,24–29,81
Ofsaiduri
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,893,45sigur0,40–2,720,80–2,991,20–5,71mai sigur0,10–3,020,51–3,280,61–6,30
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,862,234,09sigur0,81–2,911,10–3,351,91–6,27mai sigur0,55–3,180,81–3,651,35–6,82
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,110,21sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,300,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
40%
17%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,893,005,89sigur1,46–4,331,44–4,562,90–8,89mai sigur1,07–4,721,02–4,982,09–9,70
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,26 0,29–2,23 0,04–2,48 | 1,41 0,56–2,27 0,33–2,49 | 2,67 0,85–4,50 0,37–4,98 | 34% 26% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,14 2,28–6,00 1,79–6,49 | 4,33 2,59–6,07 2,12–6,54 | 8,47 4,86–12,07 3,91–13,03 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total șuturi | 12,84 8,91–16,76 7,82–17,85 | 13,66 10,10–17,22 9,14–18,18 | 26,50 19,01–33,99 16,96–36,04 | 40% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,97 5,02–10,91 4,19–11,74 | 8,79 6,11–11,47 5,37–12,21 | 16,76 11,13–22,38 9,56–23,95 | 37% 53% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,40 1,52–5,28 0,98–5,83 | 3,76 2,11–5,41 1,61–5,90 | 7,16 3,63–10,70 2,59–11,73 | 37% 15% 48% |
| Cornere | 4,70 2,49–6,91 1,91–7,49 | 5,52 3,52–7,52 2,98–8,05 | 10,22 6,01–14,43 4,90–15,54 | 34% 54% |
| Posesie % | 48,27 41,48–55,06 39,81–56,73 | 52,75 45,96–59,53 44,29–61,20 | — | 37% 58% |
| Pase | 447 379–514 361–532 | 442 376–509 358–526 | 889 755–1022 719–1058 | 51% 48% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,90 61,87–69,93 60,58–71,23 | 70,40 66,07–74,72 64,76–76,03 | — | 26% 70% |
| Faulturi | 10,95 8,11–13,79 7,36–14,54 | 11,57 8,63–14,52 7,88–15,27 | 22,53 16,74–28,31 15,24–29,81 | 41% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,56 0,40–2,72 0,10–3,02 | 1,89 0,80–2,99 0,51–3,28 | 3,45 1,20–5,71 0,61–6,30 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,86 0,81–2,91 0,55–3,18 | 2,23 1,10–3,35 0,81–3,65 | 4,09 1,91–6,27 1,35–6,82 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,89 1,46–4,33 1,07–4,72 | 3,00 1,44–4,56 1,02–4,98 | 5,89 2,90–8,89 2,09–9,70 | 40% 17% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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