Bundesliga·Etapa 9·
Bundesliga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
63%
20%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,151,033,17sigur1,18–3,120,17–1,881,35–5,00mai sigur0,93–3,370,00–2,110,87–5,48
Șuturi pe poartă
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,643,339,97sigur4,77–8,501,59–5,076,36–13,57mai sigur4,29–8,991,12–5,545,41–14,53
Total șuturi
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,329,9129,23sigur15,40–23,256,34–13,4721,74–36,72mai sigur14,31–24,345,38–14,4319,69–38,77
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,915,9017,81sigur8,97–14,853,22–8,5812,18–23,43mai sigur8,14–15,682,48–9,3210,62–25,00
Șuturi blocate
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,312,697,99sigur3,43–7,191,03–4,344,46–11,53mai sigur2,88–7,730,54–4,833,42–12,57
Cornere
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,493,2910,78sigur5,27–9,701,29–5,296,57–14,99mai sigur4,70–10,270,76–5,835,46–16,10
Posesie %
87%
gazdeoaspețipredicție60,0439,99sigur53,25–66,8333,21–46,78mai sigur51,58–68,5031,54–48,45
Pase
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție591380971sigur524–659313–446837–1105mai sigur506–677296–464802–1140
Precizie pase %
78%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,5370,07sigur72,50–80,5665,75–74,40mai sigur71,21–81,8564,44–75,71
Faulturi
23%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,9913,0723,05sigur7,15–12,8210,12–16,0117,27–28,83mai sigur6,39–13,589,37–16,7615,77–30,34
Ofsaiduri
33%
22%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,853,43sigur0,43–2,750,75–2,941,18–5,69mai sigur0,13–3,050,46–3,230,59–6,28
Cartonașe galbene
30%
21%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,582,083,66sigur0,53–2,630,95–3,201,48–5,84mai sigur0,27–2,900,66–3,500,92–6,39
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
15%
74%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,304,456,75sigur0,86–3,732,90–6,013,76–9,74mai sigur0,47–4,122,47–6,432,94–10,55
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,15 1,18–3,12 0,93–3,37 | 1,03 0,17–1,88 0,00–2,11 | 3,17 1,35–5,00 0,87–5,48 | 63% 20% 17% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,64 4,77–8,50 4,29–8,99 | 3,33 1,59–5,07 1,12–5,54 | 9,97 6,36–13,57 5,41–14,53 | 82% |
| Total șuturi | 19,32 15,40–23,25 14,31–24,34 | 9,91 6,34–13,47 5,38–14,43 | 29,23 21,74–36,72 19,69–38,77 | 95% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,91 8,97–14,85 8,14–15,68 | 5,90 3,22–8,58 2,48–9,32 | 17,81 12,18–23,43 10,62–25,00 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,31 3,43–7,19 2,88–7,73 | 2,69 1,03–4,34 0,54–4,83 | 7,99 4,46–11,53 3,42–12,57 | 78% |
| Cornere | 7,49 5,27–9,70 4,70–10,27 | 3,29 1,29–5,29 0,76–5,83 | 10,78 6,57–14,99 5,46–16,10 | 87% |
| Posesie % | 60,04 53,25–66,83 51,58–68,50 | 39,99 33,21–46,78 31,54–48,45 | — | 87% |
| Pase | 591 524–659 506–677 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 971 837–1105 802–1140 | 96% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,53 72,50–80,56 71,21–81,85 | 70,07 65,75–74,40 64,44–75,71 | — | 78% 18% |
| Faulturi | 9,99 7,15–12,82 6,39–13,58 | 13,07 10,12–16,01 9,37–16,76 | 23,05 17,27–28,83 15,77–30,34 | 23% 70% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,59 0,43–2,75 0,13–3,05 | 1,85 0,75–2,94 0,46–3,23 | 3,43 1,18–5,69 0,59–6,28 | 33% 22% 44% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,58 0,53–2,63 0,27–2,90 | 2,08 0,95–3,20 0,66–3,50 | 3,66 1,48–5,84 0,92–6,39 | 30% 21% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,30 0,86–3,73 0,47–4,12 | 4,45 2,90–6,01 2,47–6,43 | 6,75 3,76–9,74 2,94–10,55 | 15% 74% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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