Bundesliga·Etapa 9·
Bundesliga·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
25%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,391,482,88sigur0,42–2,360,63–2,341,05–4,70mai sigur0,17–2,610,40–2,570,57–5,18
Șuturi pe poartă
39%
13%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,424,729,14sigur2,55–6,282,98–6,475,54–12,75mai sigur2,06–6,772,52–6,934,58–13,70
Total șuturi
50%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,2613,7828,04sigur10,34–18,1910,22–17,3420,56–35,53mai sigur9,25–19,289,26–18,3018,51–37,58
Șuturi din careu
45%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,728,7117,43sigur5,78–11,666,03–11,3911,80–23,05mai sigur4,95–12,495,29–12,1310,24–24,62
Șuturi blocate
42%
15%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,683,737,42sigur1,80–5,572,08–5,383,88–10,95mai sigur1,26–6,111,59–5,882,84–11,99
Cornere
44%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,085,0510,13sigur2,87–7,293,05–7,055,92–14,35mai sigur2,29–7,872,52–7,594,81–15,45
Posesie %
35%
60%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,6252,92sigur40,83–54,4146,13–59,70mai sigur39,16–56,0844,46–61,37
Pase
38%
61%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție409444853sigur342–476377–510719–986mai sigur323–494360–528683–1022
Precizie pase %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție64,6869,93sigur60,65–68,7165,61–74,26mai sigur59,36–70,0064,30–75,57
Faulturi
54%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4611,4323,89sigur9,62–15,308,49–14,3818,11–29,67mai sigur8,86–16,057,74–15,1316,60–31,18
Ofsaiduri
44%
21%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,971,733,70sigur0,81–3,130,64–2,821,45–5,95mai sigur0,51–3,430,35–3,110,86–6,54
Cartonașe galbene
35%
21%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,802,063,86sigur0,75–2,850,93–3,191,69–6,04mai sigur0,49–3,120,64–3,481,13–6,60
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,130,22sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,320,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,450,00–0,85
Parade portar
41%
16%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,103,156,25sigur1,66–4,531,60–4,713,26–9,24mai sigur1,27–4,921,17–5,132,45–10,05
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,39 0,42–2,36 0,17–2,61 | 1,48 0,63–2,34 0,40–2,57 | 2,88 1,05–4,70 0,57–5,18 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,42 2,55–6,28 2,06–6,77 | 4,72 2,98–6,47 2,52–6,93 | 9,14 5,54–12,75 4,58–13,70 | 39% 13% 47% |
| Total șuturi | 14,26 10,34–18,19 9,25–19,28 | 13,78 10,22–17,34 9,26–18,30 | 28,04 20,56–35,53 18,51–37,58 | 50% 43% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,72 5,78–11,66 4,95–12,49 | 8,71 6,03–11,39 5,29–12,13 | 17,43 11,80–23,05 10,24–24,62 | 45% 45% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,68 1,80–5,57 1,26–6,11 | 3,73 2,08–5,38 1,59–5,88 | 7,42 3,88–10,95 2,84–11,99 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Cornere | 5,08 2,87–7,29 2,29–7,87 | 5,05 3,05–7,05 2,52–7,59 | 10,13 5,92–14,35 4,81–15,45 | 44% 43% |
| Posesie % | 47,62 40,83–54,41 39,16–56,08 | 52,92 46,13–59,70 44,46–61,37 | — | 35% 60% |
| Pase | 409 342–476 323–494 | 444 377–510 360–528 | 853 719–986 683–1022 | 38% 61% |
| Precizie pase % | 64,68 60,65–68,71 59,36–70,00 | 69,93 65,61–74,26 64,30–75,57 | — | 23% 73% |
| Faulturi | 12,46 9,62–15,30 8,86–16,05 | 11,43 8,49–14,38 7,74–15,13 | 23,89 18,11–29,67 16,60–31,18 | 54% 38% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,97 0,81–3,13 0,51–3,43 | 1,73 0,64–2,82 0,35–3,11 | 3,70 1,45–5,95 0,86–6,54 | 44% 21% 34% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,80 0,75–2,85 0,49–3,12 | 2,06 0,93–3,19 0,64–3,48 | 3,86 1,69–6,04 1,13–6,60 | 35% 21% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 3,10 1,66–4,53 1,27–4,92 | 3,15 1,60–4,71 1,17–5,13 | 6,25 3,26–9,24 2,45–10,05 | 41% 16% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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