Bundesliga·Etapa 10·
Bundesliga·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
74%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,620,903,52sigur1,65–3,590,05–1,761,70–5,35mai sigur1,40–3,840,00–1,981,22–5,83
Șuturi pe poartă
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,203,4410,65sigur5,34–9,071,70–5,187,04–14,25mai sigur4,85–9,561,23–5,656,09–15,21
Total șuturi
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,049,4728,51sigur15,12–22,975,90–13,0321,02–36,00mai sigur14,02–24,064,95–13,9918,97–38,05
Șuturi din careu
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,656,0618,72sigur9,71–15,603,38–8,7413,09–24,34mai sigur8,88–16,432,64–9,4811,53–25,91
Șuturi blocate
73%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,902,687,58sigur3,02–6,781,03–4,334,04–11,11mai sigur2,47–7,320,53–4,823,01–12,15
Cornere
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,343,3310,67sigur5,13–9,551,33–5,336,45–14,88mai sigur4,55–10,130,79–5,865,35–15,99
Posesie %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,3038,00sigur55,51–69,0931,22–44,79mai sigur53,84–70,7629,55–46,46
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție613350963sigur546–680284–417829–1097mai sigur527–698266–434794–1133
Precizie pase %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,7767,92sigur72,74–80,8063,59–72,24mai sigur71,44–82,0962,28–73,55
Faulturi
29%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4212,5322,95sigur7,58–13,259,59–15,4817,17–28,73mai sigur6,82–14,018,84–16,2315,66–30,24
Ofsaiduri
63%
17%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,841,634,47sigur1,68–4,000,54–2,722,22–6,72mai sigur1,38–4,300,25–3,011,63–7,31
Cartonașe galbene
28%
21%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,502,083,58sigur0,45–2,550,95–3,211,40–5,76mai sigur0,19–2,820,66–3,500,84–6,32
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,050,110,16sigur0,00–0,210,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,360,00–0,430,00–0,79
Parade portar
14%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,364,606,96sigur0,92–3,793,04–6,163,97–9,95mai sigur0,54–4,182,62–6,583,16–10,76
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,62 1,65–3,59 1,40–3,84 | 0,90 0,05–1,76 0,00–1,98 | 3,52 1,70–5,35 1,22–5,83 | 74% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,20 5,34–9,07 4,85–9,56 | 3,44 1,70–5,18 1,23–5,65 | 10,65 7,04–14,25 6,09–15,21 | 84% |
| Total șuturi | 19,04 15,12–22,97 14,02–24,06 | 9,47 5,90–13,03 4,95–13,99 | 28,51 21,02–36,00 18,97–38,05 | 96% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,65 9,71–15,60 8,88–16,43 | 6,06 3,38–8,74 2,64–9,48 | 18,72 13,09–24,34 11,53–25,91 | 92% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,90 3,02–6,78 2,47–7,32 | 2,68 1,03–4,33 0,53–4,82 | 7,58 4,04–11,11 3,01–12,15 | 73% 16% |
| Cornere | 7,34 5,13–9,55 4,55–10,13 | 3,33 1,33–5,33 0,79–5,86 | 10,67 6,45–14,88 5,35–15,99 | 86% |
| Posesie % | 62,30 55,51–69,09 53,84–70,76 | 38,00 31,22–44,79 29,55–46,46 | — | 92% |
| Pase | 613 546–680 527–698 | 350 284–417 266–434 | 963 829–1097 794–1133 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,77 72,74–80,80 71,44–82,09 | 67,92 63,59–72,24 62,28–73,55 | — | 86% |
| Faulturi | 10,42 7,58–13,25 6,82–14,01 | 12,53 9,59–15,48 8,84–16,23 | 22,95 17,17–28,73 15,66–30,24 | 29% 63% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,84 1,68–4,00 1,38–4,30 | 1,63 0,54–2,72 0,25–3,01 | 4,47 2,22–6,72 1,63–7,31 | 63% 17% 20% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,50 0,45–2,55 0,19–2,82 | 2,08 0,95–3,21 0,66–3,50 | 3,58 1,40–5,76 0,84–6,32 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,05 0,00–0,21 0,00–0,36 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,16 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,79 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,36 0,92–3,79 0,54–4,18 | 4,60 3,04–6,16 2,62–6,58 | 6,96 3,97–9,95 3,16–10,76 | 14% 75% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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