Bundesliga·Etapa 10·
Bundesliga·Etapa 10·Statistici estimate
Goluri
53%
23%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,771,102,87sigur0,80–2,730,25–1,961,04–4,69mai sigur0,55–2,980,02–2,180,56–5,17
Șuturi pe poartă
68%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,843,909,74sigur3,98–7,702,16–5,646,13–13,34mai sigur3,49–8,191,69–6,115,18–14,30
Total șuturi
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,5011,5129,01sigur13,57–21,427,95–15,0821,52–36,50mai sigur12,48–22,526,99–16,0319,47–38,55
Șuturi din careu
75%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,957,5618,51sigur8,00–13,894,88–10,2412,89–24,13mai sigur7,17–14,724,14–10,9811,32–25,70
Șuturi blocate
62%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,773,408,17sigur2,89–6,651,74–5,054,63–11,70mai sigur2,34–7,201,25–5,543,59–12,74
Cornere
69%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,354,2310,57sigur4,14–8,562,23–6,236,36–14,79mai sigur3,56–9,141,69–6,765,25–15,89
Posesie %
66%
30%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,0146,07sigur47,22–60,8039,28–52,85mai sigur45,55–62,4737,61–54,52
Pase
72%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție452383835sigur385–519316–449701–968mai sigur366–537299–467665–1004
Precizie pase %
59%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție69,5067,15sigur65,47–73,5362,82–71,47mai sigur64,18–74,8261,52–72,78
Faulturi
51%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6411,0022,64sigur8,80–14,488,05–13,9416,85–28,42mai sigur8,05–15,237,30–14,6915,35–29,92
Ofsaiduri
43%
22%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,921,733,65sigur0,76–3,080,64–2,831,40–5,90mai sigur0,46–3,380,35–3,110,81–6,49
Cartonașe galbene
36%
20%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,102,324,42sigur1,05–3,151,20–3,452,25–6,60mai sigur0,78–3,420,90–3,741,69–7,16
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,120,22sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,310,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,440,00–0,85
Parade portar
26%
14%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,753,876,63sigur1,32–4,192,32–5,433,64–9,62mai sigur0,93–4,581,89–5,852,82–10,43
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,77 0,80–2,73 0,55–2,98 | 1,10 0,25–1,96 0,02–2,18 | 2,87 1,04–4,69 0,56–5,17 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,84 3,98–7,70 3,49–8,19 | 3,90 2,16–5,64 1,69–6,11 | 9,74 6,13–13,34 5,18–14,30 | 68% 21% |
| Total șuturi | 17,50 13,57–21,42 12,48–22,52 | 11,51 7,95–15,08 6,99–16,03 | 29,01 21,52–36,50 19,47–38,55 | 85% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,95 8,00–13,89 7,17–14,72 | 7,56 4,88–10,24 4,14–10,98 | 18,51 12,89–24,13 11,32–25,70 | 75% 18% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,77 2,89–6,65 2,34–7,20 | 3,40 1,74–5,05 1,25–5,54 | 8,17 4,63–11,70 3,59–12,74 | 62% 25% |
| Cornere | 6,35 4,14–8,56 3,56–9,14 | 4,23 2,23–6,23 1,69–6,76 | 10,57 6,36–14,79 5,25–15,89 | 69% 21% |
| Posesie % | 54,01 47,22–60,80 45,55–62,47 | 46,07 39,28–52,85 37,61–54,52 | — | 66% 30% |
| Pase | 452 385–519 366–537 | 383 316–449 299–467 | 835 701–968 665–1004 | 72% 28% |
| Precizie pase % | 69,50 65,47–73,53 64,18–74,82 | 67,15 62,82–71,47 61,52–72,78 | — | 59% 36% |
| Faulturi | 11,64 8,80–14,48 8,05–15,23 | 11,00 8,05–13,94 7,30–14,69 | 22,64 16,85–28,42 15,35–29,92 | 51% 40% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,92 0,76–3,08 0,46–3,38 | 1,73 0,64–2,83 0,35–3,11 | 3,65 1,40–5,90 0,81–6,49 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,10 1,05–3,15 0,78–3,42 | 2,32 1,20–3,45 0,90–3,74 | 4,42 2,25–6,60 1,69–7,16 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,75 1,32–4,19 0,93–4,58 | 3,87 2,32–5,43 1,89–5,85 | 6,63 3,64–9,62 2,82–10,43 | 26% 14% 59% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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