Bundesliga·Etapa 11·
Bundesliga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
25%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,172,69sigur0,55–2,490,31–2,020,87–4,51mai sigur0,30–2,740,09–2,250,39–4,99
Șuturi pe poartă
54%
13%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,773,948,71sigur2,91–6,642,19–5,685,11–12,32mai sigur2,42–7,131,73–6,154,15–13,27
Total șuturi
72%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,0811,6426,71sigur11,15–19,008,07–15,2019,23–34,20mai sigur10,06–20,097,11–16,1617,18–36,25
Șuturi din careu
63%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,487,5917,07sigur6,54–12,434,90–10,2711,45–22,69mai sigur5,71–13,264,17–11,009,88–24,26
Șuturi blocate
50%
15%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,003,497,50sigur2,12–5,891,84–5,153,96–11,03mai sigur1,58–6,431,35–5,642,93–12,07
Cornere
62%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,954,4710,42sigur3,74–8,162,47–6,476,20–14,63mai sigur3,16–8,741,94–7,005,10–15,74
Posesie %
58%
37%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,3347,73sigur45,54–59,1240,95–54,52mai sigur43,87–60,7939,28–56,19
Pase
56%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție444424868sigur377–511358–491734–1002mai sigur358–529340–508699–1037
Precizie pase %
45%
50%
gazdeoaspețipredicție70,4670,88sigur66,43–74,4966,55–75,20mai sigur65,13–75,7865,24–76,51
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,4511,8222,27sigur7,61–13,298,88–14,7616,49–28,05mai sigur6,86–14,048,13–15,5114,98–29,56
Ofsaiduri
49%
23%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,851,343,19sigur0,69–3,010,25–2,430,93–5,44mai sigur0,38–3,310,00–2,720,34–6,03
Cartonașe galbene
37%
20%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,052,204,24sigur1,00–3,091,07–3,332,06–6,42mai sigur0,73–3,360,78–3,621,51–6,98
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,130,22sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,310,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,450,00–0,85
Parade portar
34%
16%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,763,245,99sigur1,32–4,191,68–4,793,00–8,99mai sigur0,93–4,581,26–5,222,19–9,80
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,52 0,55–2,49 0,30–2,74 | 1,17 0,31–2,02 0,09–2,25 | 2,69 0,87–4,51 0,39–4,99 | 45% 25% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,77 2,91–6,64 2,42–7,13 | 3,94 2,19–5,68 1,73–6,15 | 8,71 5,11–12,32 4,15–13,27 | 54% 13% 32% |
| Total șuturi | 15,08 11,15–19,00 10,06–20,09 | 11,64 8,07–15,20 7,11–16,16 | 26,71 19,23–34,20 17,18–36,25 | 72% 22% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,48 6,54–12,43 5,71–13,26 | 7,59 4,90–10,27 4,17–11,00 | 17,07 11,45–22,69 9,88–24,26 | 63% 28% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,00 2,12–5,89 1,58–6,43 | 3,49 1,84–5,15 1,35–5,64 | 7,50 3,96–11,03 2,93–12,07 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,95 3,74–8,16 3,16–8,74 | 4,47 2,47–6,47 1,94–7,00 | 10,42 6,20–14,63 5,10–15,74 | 62% 27% |
| Posesie % | 52,33 45,54–59,12 43,87–60,79 | 47,73 40,95–54,52 39,28–56,19 | — | 58% 37% |
| Pase | 444 377–511 358–529 | 424 358–491 340–508 | 868 734–1002 699–1037 | 56% 43% |
| Precizie pase % | 70,46 66,43–74,49 65,13–75,78 | 70,88 66,55–75,20 65,24–76,51 | — | 45% 50% |
| Faulturi | 10,45 7,61–13,29 6,86–14,04 | 11,82 8,88–14,76 8,13–15,51 | 22,27 16,49–28,05 14,98–29,56 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,85 0,69–3,01 0,38–3,31 | 1,34 0,25–2,43 0,00–2,72 | 3,19 0,93–5,44 0,34–6,03 | 49% 23% 28% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,05 1,00–3,09 0,73–3,36 | 2,20 1,07–3,33 0,78–3,62 | 4,24 2,06–6,42 1,51–6,98 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,45 | 0,22 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,76 1,32–4,19 0,93–4,58 | 3,24 1,68–4,79 1,26–5,22 | 5,99 3,00–8,99 2,19–9,80 | 34% 16% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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