Bundesliga·Etapa 11·
Bundesliga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
41%
27%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,371,172,54sigur0,40–2,340,32–2,030,72–4,36mai sigur0,15–2,590,09–2,250,24–4,84
Șuturi pe poartă
54%
14%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,543,728,26sigur2,68–6,411,98–5,464,66–11,87mai sigur2,19–6,891,51–5,933,70–12,83
Total șuturi
70%
23%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5611,3625,92sigur10,64–18,487,80–14,9318,44–33,41mai sigur9,54–19,586,84–15,8816,38–35,46
Șuturi din careu
67%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,956,7015,66sigur6,01–11,904,02–9,3910,04–21,28mai sigur5,18–12,733,29–10,128,47–22,85
Șuturi blocate
48%
16%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,493,086,57sigur1,61–5,381,42–4,733,03–10,10mai sigur1,07–5,920,93–5,222,00–11,14
Cornere
57%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,334,319,64sigur3,12–7,542,31–6,315,42–13,85mai sigur2,54–8,121,78–6,844,32–14,96
Posesie %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,2451,82sigur41,45–55,0345,03–58,60mai sigur39,78–56,7043,36–60,27
Pase
40%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție396426822sigur328–463360–493688–955mai sigur310–481342–510652–991
Precizie pase %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,1669,41sigur61,13–69,1965,08–73,73mai sigur59,84–70,4863,78–75,04
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7112,5924,30sigur8,87–14,559,64–15,5318,51–30,08mai sigur8,11–15,308,89–16,2817,01–31,58
Ofsaiduri
40%
25%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,511,402,90sigur0,35–2,670,30–2,490,65–5,16mai sigur0,05–2,970,01–2,780,06–5,75
Cartonașe galbene
33%
20%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,912,264,18sigur0,87–2,961,13–3,392,00–6,36mai sigur0,60–3,230,84–3,681,44–6,91
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,100,21sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,290,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,420,00–0,84
Parade portar
33%
16%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,723,255,96sigur1,28–4,151,69–4,802,97–8,96mai sigur0,89–4,541,27–5,232,16–9,77
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,37 0,40–2,34 0,15–2,59 | 1,17 0,32–2,03 0,09–2,25 | 2,54 0,72–4,36 0,24–4,84 | 41% 27% 32% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,54 2,68–6,41 2,19–6,89 | 3,72 1,98–5,46 1,51–5,93 | 8,26 4,66–11,87 3,70–12,83 | 54% 14% 32% |
| Total șuturi | 14,56 10,64–18,48 9,54–19,58 | 11,36 7,80–14,93 6,84–15,88 | 25,92 18,44–33,41 16,38–35,46 | 70% 23% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,95 6,01–11,90 5,18–12,73 | 6,70 4,02–9,39 3,29–10,12 | 15,66 10,04–21,28 8,47–22,85 | 67% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,49 1,61–5,38 1,07–5,92 | 3,08 1,42–4,73 0,93–5,22 | 6,57 3,03–10,10 2,00–11,14 | 48% 16% 36% |
| Cornere | 5,33 3,12–7,54 2,54–8,12 | 4,31 2,31–6,31 1,78–6,84 | 9,64 5,42–13,85 4,32–14,96 | 57% 31% |
| Posesie % | 48,24 41,45–55,03 39,78–56,70 | 51,82 45,03–58,60 43,36–60,27 | — | 39% 56% |
| Pase | 396 328–463 310–481 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 822 688–955 652–991 | 40% 60% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,16 61,13–69,19 59,84–70,48 | 69,41 65,08–73,73 63,78–75,04 | — | 27% 69% |
| Faulturi | 11,71 8,87–14,55 8,11–15,30 | 12,59 9,64–15,53 8,89–16,28 | 24,30 18,51–30,08 17,01–31,58 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,51 0,35–2,67 0,05–2,97 | 1,40 0,30–2,49 0,01–2,78 | 2,90 0,65–5,16 0,06–5,75 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,91 0,87–2,96 0,60–3,23 | 2,26 1,13–3,39 0,84–3,68 | 4,18 2,00–6,36 1,44–6,91 | 33% 20% 47% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,72 1,28–4,15 0,89–4,54 | 3,25 1,69–4,80 1,27–5,23 | 5,96 2,97–8,96 2,16–9,77 | 33% 16% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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