Bundesliga·Etapa 11·
Bundesliga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
73%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,540,903,44sigur1,57–3,510,05–1,751,62–5,27mai sigur1,32–3,760,00–1,981,14–5,75
Șuturi pe poartă
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,703,229,91sigur4,83–8,561,47–4,966,31–13,52mai sigur4,34–9,051,01–5,425,35–14,47
Total șuturi
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,948,6527,59sigur15,01–22,865,09–12,2120,10–35,07mai sigur13,92–23,954,13–13,1718,05–37,12
Șuturi din careu
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,275,1417,41sigur9,33–15,212,46–7,8211,79–23,03mai sigur8,50–16,041,72–8,5610,22–24,60
Șuturi blocate
70%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,552,667,20sigur2,66–6,431,00–4,313,67–10,74mai sigur2,12–6,970,51–4,802,63–11,77
Cornere
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,203,3010,49sigur4,98–9,411,30–5,306,28–14,71mai sigur4,41–9,980,77–5,835,17–15,82
Posesie %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,8440,58sigur52,05–65,6333,80–47,37mai sigur50,38–67,3032,13–49,04
Pase
92%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție550381931sigur483–617314–447797–1064mai sigur465–635297–465761–1100
Precizie pase %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,6768,65sigur71,64–79,7064,33–72,98mai sigur70,35–80,9963,02–74,28
Faulturi
47%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,5611,4122,96sigur8,72–14,398,46–14,3517,18–28,74mai sigur7,96–15,157,71–15,1015,68–30,25
Ofsaiduri
40%
20%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,072,084,15sigur0,91–3,230,98–3,171,90–6,41mai sigur0,61–3,540,70–3,461,31–6,99
Cartonașe galbene
22%
20%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,332,223,55sigur0,28–2,381,09–3,351,37–5,73mai sigur0,02–2,650,80–3,640,82–6,29
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,300,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
16%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,184,096,27sigur0,75–3,622,53–5,643,28–9,26mai sigur0,36–4,012,11–6,072,47–10,08
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,54 1,57–3,51 1,32–3,76 | 0,90 0,05–1,75 0,00–1,98 | 3,44 1,62–5,27 1,14–5,75 | 73% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,70 4,83–8,56 4,34–9,05 | 3,22 1,47–4,96 1,01–5,42 | 9,91 6,31–13,52 5,35–14,47 | 83% |
| Total șuturi | 18,94 15,01–22,86 13,92–23,95 | 8,65 5,09–12,21 4,13–13,17 | 27,59 20,10–35,07 18,05–37,12 | 97% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,27 9,33–15,21 8,50–16,04 | 5,14 2,46–7,82 1,72–8,56 | 17,41 11,79–23,03 10,22–24,60 | 95% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,55 2,66–6,43 2,12–6,97 | 2,66 1,00–4,31 0,51–4,80 | 7,20 3,67–10,74 2,63–11,77 | 70% 18% |
| Cornere | 7,20 4,98–9,41 4,41–9,98 | 3,30 1,30–5,30 0,77–5,83 | 10,49 6,28–14,71 5,17–15,82 | 86% |
| Posesie % | 58,84 52,05–65,63 50,38–67,30 | 40,58 33,80–47,37 32,13–49,04 | — | 85% |
| Pase | 550 483–617 465–635 | 381 314–447 297–465 | 931 797–1064 761–1100 | 92% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,67 71,64–79,70 70,35–80,99 | 68,65 64,33–72,98 63,02–74,28 | — | 80% 17% |
| Faulturi | 11,56 8,72–14,39 7,96–15,15 | 11,41 8,46–14,35 7,71–15,10 | 22,96 17,18–28,74 15,68–30,25 | 47% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,07 0,91–3,23 0,61–3,54 | 2,08 0,98–3,17 0,70–3,46 | 4,15 1,90–6,41 1,31–6,99 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,33 0,28–2,38 0,02–2,65 | 2,22 1,09–3,35 0,80–3,64 | 3,55 1,37–5,73 0,82–6,29 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,18 0,75–3,62 0,36–4,01 | 4,09 2,53–5,64 2,11–6,07 | 6,27 3,28–9,26 2,47–10,08 | 16% 71% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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