Bundesliga·Etapa 11·
Bundesliga·Etapa 11·Statistici estimate
Goluri
33%
26%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,231,402,63sigur0,26–2,200,55–2,260,81–4,45mai sigur0,01–2,450,32–2,480,33–4,93
Șuturi pe poartă
38%
13%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,414,839,24sigur2,55–6,273,09–6,575,64–12,85mai sigur2,06–6,762,62–7,044,68–13,80
Total șuturi
41%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8414,5528,39sigur9,91–17,7610,99–18,1120,90–35,88mai sigur8,82–18,8610,03–19,0718,85–37,93
Șuturi din careu
37%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,529,3817,89sigur5,58–11,466,69–12,0612,27–23,52mai sigur4,75–12,295,96–12,7910,70–25,08
Șuturi blocate
41%
15%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,843,957,79sigur1,96–5,722,29–5,604,25–11,32mai sigur1,41–6,271,80–6,093,22–12,36
Cornere
35%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,785,4610,24sigur2,56–6,993,46–7,466,02–14,45mai sigur1,99–7,562,93–7,994,92–15,56
Posesie %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție47,8252,33sigur41,03–54,6145,54–59,11mai sigur39,36–56,2843,87–60,78
Pase
44%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție380400780sigur313–448333–466646–914mai sigur295–466316–484611–949
Precizie pase %
21%
75%
gazdeoaspețipredicție63,4169,17sigur59,38–67,4464,85–73,50mai sigur58,09–68,7363,54–74,81
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7613,2024,95sigur8,92–14,5910,25–16,1419,17–30,73mai sigur8,16–15,359,50–16,8917,67–32,24
Ofsaiduri
39%
22%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,713,45sigur0,58–2,900,62–2,811,20–5,71mai sigur0,28–3,200,33–3,100,61–6,30
Cartonașe galbene
35%
20%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,942,194,13sigur0,89–2,991,06–3,321,95–6,31mai sigur0,63–3,260,77–3,611,39–6,86
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,140,24sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,330,00–0,59mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,460,00–0,87
Parade portar
49%
16%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,553,086,63sigur2,11–4,981,53–4,643,64–9,62mai sigur1,72–5,371,10–5,062,83–10,44
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,23 0,26–2,20 0,01–2,45 | 1,40 0,55–2,26 0,32–2,48 | 2,63 0,81–4,45 0,33–4,93 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,41 2,55–6,27 2,06–6,76 | 4,83 3,09–6,57 2,62–7,04 | 9,24 5,64–12,85 4,68–13,80 | 38% 13% 49% |
| Total șuturi | 13,84 9,91–17,76 8,82–18,86 | 14,55 10,99–18,11 10,03–19,07 | 28,39 20,90–35,88 18,85–37,93 | 41% 52% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,52 5,58–11,46 4,75–12,29 | 9,38 6,69–12,06 5,96–12,79 | 17,89 12,27–23,52 10,70–25,08 | 37% 53% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,84 1,96–5,72 1,41–6,27 | 3,95 2,29–5,60 1,80–6,09 | 7,79 4,25–11,32 3,22–12,36 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Cornere | 4,78 2,56–6,99 1,99–7,56 | 5,46 3,46–7,46 2,93–7,99 | 10,24 6,02–14,45 4,92–15,56 | 35% 52% |
| Posesie % | 47,82 41,03–54,61 39,36–56,28 | 52,33 45,54–59,11 43,87–60,78 | — | 37% 58% |
| Pase | 380 313–448 295–466 | 400 333–466 316–484 | 780 646–914 611–949 | 44% 56% |
| Precizie pase % | 63,41 59,38–67,44 58,09–68,73 | 69,17 64,85–73,50 63,54–74,81 | — | 21% 75% |
| Faulturi | 11,76 8,92–14,59 8,16–15,35 | 13,20 10,25–16,14 9,50–16,89 | 24,95 19,17–30,73 17,67–32,24 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,74 0,58–2,90 0,28–3,20 | 1,71 0,62–2,81 0,33–3,10 | 3,45 1,20–5,71 0,61–6,30 | 39% 22% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,94 0,89–2,99 0,63–3,26 | 2,19 1,06–3,32 0,77–3,61 | 4,13 1,95–6,31 1,39–6,86 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,24 0,00–0,59 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 3,55 2,11–4,98 1,72–5,37 | 3,08 1,53–4,64 1,10–5,06 | 6,63 3,64–9,62 2,83–10,44 | 49% 16% 35% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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