Bundesliga·Etapa 12·
Bundesliga·Etapa 12·Statistici estimate
Goluri
72%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,460,883,34sigur1,50–3,430,02–1,731,52–5,17mai sigur1,24–3,680,00–1,961,04–5,65
Șuturi pe poartă
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,713,149,85sigur4,84–8,571,40–4,886,24–13,45mai sigur4,35–9,060,93–5,355,29–14,41
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,2810,5429,82sigur15,35–23,206,98–14,1022,33–37,30mai sigur14,26–24,296,02–15,0620,28–39,35
Șuturi din careu
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,786,4019,19sigur9,84–15,733,72–9,0813,56–24,81mai sigur9,01–16,562,99–9,8212,00–26,38
Șuturi blocate
74%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,353,018,37sigur3,47–7,231,36–4,674,83–11,90mai sigur2,93–7,780,87–5,163,80–12,94
Cornere
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,433,2410,68sigur5,22–9,651,24–5,246,47–14,89mai sigur4,65–10,220,71–5,785,36–16,00
Posesie %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,4437,00sigur55,65–69,2330,21–43,78mai sigur53,98–70,9028,54–45,46
Pase
99%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție601330931sigur533–668264–397797–1065mai sigur515–686246–414762–1100
Precizie pase %
84%
gazdeoaspețipredicție75,3667,11sigur71,33–79,3962,78–71,43mai sigur70,03–80,6861,48–72,74
Faulturi
28%
65%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8713,2424,11sigur8,03–13,7010,30–16,1918,33–29,89mai sigur7,27–14,469,55–16,9316,82–31,39
Ofsaiduri
39%
22%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,741,733,47sigur0,58–2,900,64–2,821,21–5,72mai sigur0,28–3,200,35–3,110,63–6,31
Cartonașe galbene
29%
21%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,652,173,82sigur0,60–2,701,04–3,301,64–6,00mai sigur0,33–2,960,75–3,591,09–6,56
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,110,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,52mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,430,00–0,80
Parade portar
18%
70%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,354,196,54sigur0,91–3,782,64–5,753,55–9,53mai sigur0,52–4,172,21–6,172,74–10,35
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,46 1,50–3,43 1,24–3,68 | 0,88 0,02–1,73 0,00–1,96 | 3,34 1,52–5,17 1,04–5,65 | 72% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,71 4,84–8,57 4,35–9,06 | 3,14 1,40–4,88 0,93–5,35 | 9,85 6,24–13,45 5,29–14,41 | 84% |
| Total șuturi | 19,28 15,35–23,20 14,26–24,29 | 10,54 6,98–14,10 6,02–15,06 | 29,82 22,33–37,30 20,28–39,35 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,78 9,84–15,73 9,01–16,56 | 6,40 3,72–9,08 2,99–9,82 | 19,19 13,56–24,81 12,00–26,38 | 91% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,35 3,47–7,23 2,93–7,78 | 3,01 1,36–4,67 0,87–5,16 | 8,37 4,83–11,90 3,80–12,94 | 74% 16% |
| Cornere | 7,43 5,22–9,65 4,65–10,22 | 3,24 1,24–5,24 0,71–5,78 | 10,68 6,47–14,89 5,36–16,00 | 87% |
| Posesie % | 62,44 55,65–69,23 53,98–70,90 | 37,00 30,21–43,78 28,54–45,46 | — | 93% |
| Pase | 601 533–668 515–686 | 330 264–397 246–414 | 931 797–1065 762–1100 | 99% |
| Precizie pase % | 75,36 71,33–79,39 70,03–80,68 | 67,11 62,78–71,43 61,48–72,74 | — | 84% |
| Faulturi | 10,87 8,03–13,70 7,27–14,46 | 13,24 10,30–16,19 9,55–16,93 | 24,11 18,33–29,89 16,82–31,39 | 28% 65% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,74 0,58–2,90 0,28–3,20 | 1,73 0,64–2,82 0,35–3,11 | 3,47 1,21–5,72 0,63–6,31 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,65 0,60–2,70 0,33–2,96 | 2,17 1,04–3,30 0,75–3,59 | 3,82 1,64–6,00 1,09–6,56 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,17 0,00–0,52 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,35 0,91–3,78 0,52–4,17 | 4,19 2,64–5,75 2,21–6,17 | 6,54 3,55–9,53 2,74–10,35 | 18% 70% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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