Bundesliga·Etapa 13·
Bundesliga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
28%
23%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,301,753,05sigur0,33–2,260,90–2,601,22–4,87mai sigur0,08–2,520,67–2,830,74–5,35
Șuturi pe poartă
32%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,105,019,12sigur2,24–5,973,27–6,765,51–12,72mai sigur1,75–6,452,81–7,224,56–13,68
Total șuturi
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0613,3225,37sigur8,13–15,989,76–16,8817,89–32,86mai sigur7,04–17,078,80–17,8415,84–34,91
Șuturi din careu
36%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,768,7316,49sigur4,82–10,706,05–11,4110,87–22,12mai sigur3,99–11,535,31–12,159,30–23,68
Șuturi blocate
36%
15%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,393,877,26sigur1,51–5,282,21–5,523,73–10,80mai sigur0,97–5,821,72–6,012,69–11,83
Cornere
49%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,104,719,81sigur2,89–7,322,71–6,715,60–14,03mai sigur2,32–7,892,18–7,244,49–15,13
Posesie %
19%
78%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,2057,35sigur36,41–49,9950,56–64,13mai sigur34,74–51,6648,89–65,80
Pase
14%
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție395522917sigur328–463455–588784–1051mai sigur310–481438–606748–1087
Precizie pase %
93%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,9775,19sigur58,94–67,0070,87–79,52mai sigur57,65–68,2969,56–80,83
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2611,5222,78sigur8,43–14,108,57–14,4617,00–28,56mai sigur7,67–14,867,83–15,2115,50–30,07
Ofsaiduri
38%
24%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,553,10sigur0,38–2,710,46–2,650,84–5,35mai sigur0,08–3,010,17–2,930,25–5,94
Cartonașe galbene
42%
21%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,071,984,05sigur1,03–3,120,85–3,111,88–6,23mai sigur0,76–3,390,56–3,401,32–6,79
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,090,19sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,270,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,410,00–0,82
Parade portar
47%
17%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,052,715,76sigur1,61–4,491,15–4,262,76–8,75mai sigur1,23–4,870,73–4,691,95–9,56
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,30 0,33–2,26 0,08–2,52 | 1,75 0,90–2,60 0,67–2,83 | 3,05 1,22–4,87 0,74–5,35 | 28% 23% 48% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,10 2,24–5,97 1,75–6,45 | 5,01 3,27–6,76 2,81–7,22 | 9,12 5,51–12,72 4,56–13,68 | 32% 55% |
| Total șuturi | 12,06 8,13–15,98 7,04–17,07 | 13,32 9,76–16,88 8,80–17,84 | 25,37 17,89–32,86 15,84–34,91 | 36% 56% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,76 4,82–10,70 3,99–11,53 | 8,73 6,05–11,41 5,31–12,15 | 16,49 10,87–22,12 9,30–23,68 | 36% 55% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,39 1,51–5,28 0,97–5,82 | 3,87 2,21–5,52 1,72–6,01 | 7,26 3,73–10,80 2,69–11,83 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Cornere | 5,10 2,89–7,32 2,32–7,89 | 4,71 2,71–6,71 2,18–7,24 | 9,81 5,60–14,03 4,49–15,13 | 49% 39% |
| Posesie % | 43,20 36,41–49,99 34,74–51,66 | 57,35 50,56–64,13 48,89–65,80 | — | 19% 78% |
| Pase | 395 328–463 310–481 | 522 455–588 438–606 | 917 784–1051 748–1087 | 14% 85% |
| Precizie pase % | 62,97 58,94–67,00 57,65–68,29 | 75,19 70,87–79,52 69,56–80,83 | — | 93% |
| Faulturi | 11,26 8,43–14,10 7,67–14,86 | 11,52 8,57–14,46 7,83–15,21 | 22,78 17,00–28,56 15,50–30,07 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,71 0,08–3,01 | 1,55 0,46–2,65 0,17–2,93 | 3,10 0,84–5,35 0,25–5,94 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,07 1,03–3,12 0,76–3,39 | 1,98 0,85–3,11 0,56–3,40 | 4,05 1,88–6,23 1,32–6,79 | 42% 21% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,19 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,82 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 3,05 1,61–4,49 1,23–4,87 | 2,71 1,15–4,26 0,73–4,69 | 5,76 2,76–8,75 1,95–9,56 | 47% 17% 36% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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