Bundesliga·Etapa 13·
Bundesliga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
68%
18%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,350,983,32sigur1,38–3,310,12–1,831,50–5,15mai sigur1,13–3,560,00–2,061,02–5,63
Șuturi pe poartă
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,802,929,72sigur4,94–8,661,18–4,666,12–13,33mai sigur4,45–9,150,71–5,135,16–14,28
Total șuturi
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție18,627,7926,41sigur14,69–22,544,23–11,3518,92–33,90mai sigur13,60–23,643,27–12,3116,87–35,95
Șuturi din careu
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,775,0517,82sigur9,83–15,712,37–7,7312,19–23,44mai sigur9,00–16,541,63–8,4710,63–25,01
Șuturi blocate
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,242,367,60sigur3,36–7,130,71–4,014,07–11,14mai sigur2,82–7,670,21–4,503,03–12,17
Cornere
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,403,0410,44sigur5,18–9,611,04–5,046,23–14,65mai sigur4,61–10,180,51–5,585,12–15,76
Posesie %
86%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,6740,09sigur52,88–66,4633,31–46,88mai sigur51,21–68,1331,64–48,55
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție546358904sigur479–614292–424771–1038mai sigur461–632274–442735–1074
Precizie pase %
84%
13%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,2168,11sigur72,18–80,2463,78–72,43mai sigur70,88–81,5362,47–73,74
Faulturi
36%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,5611,7922,36sigur7,73–13,408,85–14,7416,57–28,14mai sigur6,97–14,168,10–15,4915,07–29,64
Ofsaiduri
30%
22%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,542,013,55sigur0,38–2,700,92–3,101,29–5,80mai sigur0,08–3,000,63–3,390,71–6,39
Cartonașe galbene
22%
21%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,252,083,33sigur0,20–2,300,96–3,211,15–5,51mai sigur0,00–2,560,66–3,500,60–6,07
Cartonașe roșii
86%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,280,00–0,50mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,78
Parade portar
77%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,014,396,39sigur0,57–3,442,83–5,943,40–9,39mai sigur0,18–3,832,41–6,372,59–10,20
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,35 1,38–3,31 1,13–3,56 | 0,98 0,12–1,83 0,00–2,06 | 3,32 1,50–5,15 1,02–5,63 | 68% 18% 14% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,80 4,94–8,66 4,45–9,15 | 2,92 1,18–4,66 0,71–5,13 | 9,72 6,12–13,33 5,16–14,28 | 86% |
| Total șuturi | 18,62 14,69–22,54 13,60–23,64 | 7,79 4,23–11,35 3,27–12,31 | 26,41 18,92–33,90 16,87–35,95 | 98% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,77 9,83–15,71 9,00–16,54 | 5,05 2,37–7,73 1,63–8,47 | 17,82 12,19–23,44 10,63–25,01 | 96% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,24 3,36–7,13 2,82–7,67 | 2,36 0,71–4,01 0,21–4,50 | 7,60 4,07–11,14 3,03–12,17 | 81% |
| Cornere | 7,40 5,18–9,61 4,61–10,18 | 3,04 1,04–5,04 0,51–5,58 | 10,44 6,23–14,65 5,12–15,76 | 89% |
| Posesie % | 59,67 52,88–66,46 51,21–68,13 | 40,09 33,31–46,88 31,64–48,55 | — | 86% |
| Pase | 546 479–614 461–632 | 358 292–424 274–442 | 904 771–1038 735–1074 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,21 72,18–80,24 70,88–81,53 | 68,11 63,78–72,43 62,47–73,74 | — | 84% 13% |
| Faulturi | 10,56 7,73–13,40 6,97–14,16 | 11,79 8,85–14,74 8,10–15,49 | 22,36 16,57–28,14 15,07–29,64 | 36% 56% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,70 0,08–3,00 | 2,01 0,92–3,10 0,63–3,39 | 3,55 1,29–5,80 0,71–6,39 | 30% 22% 49% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,25 0,20–2,30 0,00–2,56 | 2,08 0,96–3,21 0,66–3,50 | 3,33 1,15–5,51 0,60–6,07 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,15 0,00–0,50 0,00–0,78 | 86% |
| Parade portar | 2,01 0,57–3,44 0,18–3,83 | 4,39 2,83–5,94 2,41–6,37 | 6,39 3,40–9,39 2,59–10,20 | 77% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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