Bundesliga·Etapa 13·
Bundesliga·Etapa 13·Statistici estimate
Goluri
35%
25%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,462,81sigur0,38–2,320,61–2,310,99–4,63mai sigur0,13–2,570,38–2,540,51–5,11
Șuturi pe poartă
46%
13%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,784,609,38sigur2,92–6,652,86–6,345,78–12,99mai sigur2,43–7,132,39–6,814,82–13,94
Total șuturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,1112,7727,88sigur11,19–19,049,21–16,3320,40–35,37mai sigur10,10–20,138,25–17,2918,35–37,42
Șuturi din careu
47%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,259,1018,35sigur6,31–12,196,42–11,7812,73–23,98mai sigur5,48–13,025,68–12,5211,16–25,54
Șuturi blocate
51%
14%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,183,637,81sigur2,30–6,061,98–5,284,27–11,34mai sigur1,76–6,611,48–5,773,24–12,38
Cornere
44%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,035,0310,06sigur2,81–7,243,03–7,035,85–14,27mai sigur2,24–7,812,50–7,574,74–15,38
Posesie %
43%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție48,8850,91sigur42,09–55,6744,13–57,70mai sigur40,42–57,3442,46–59,37
Pase
44%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție411430841sigur344–478363–496707–975mai sigur326–497346–514672–1010
Precizie pase %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,3968,51sigur62,36–70,4264,19–72,84mai sigur61,07–71,7162,88–74,15
Faulturi
46%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7211,6823,41sigur8,88–14,568,74–14,6317,62–29,19mai sigur8,13–15,327,99–15,3816,12–30,69
Ofsaiduri
41%
23%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,663,42sigur0,60–2,920,57–2,751,16–5,67mai sigur0,30–3,220,28–3,040,58–6,26
Cartonașe galbene
40%
20%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,132,144,27sigur1,08–3,181,01–3,272,09–6,45mai sigur0,81–3,440,72–3,561,53–7,00
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,130,23sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,320,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,450,00–0,86
Parade portar
43%
16%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,243,176,41sigur1,80–4,671,61–4,733,42–9,40mai sigur1,41–5,061,19–5,152,60–10,21
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,38–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 1,46 0,61–2,31 0,38–2,54 | 2,81 0,99–4,63 0,51–5,11 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,78 2,92–6,65 2,43–7,13 | 4,60 2,86–6,34 2,39–6,81 | 9,38 5,78–12,99 4,82–13,94 | 46% 13% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 15,11 11,19–19,04 10,10–20,13 | 12,77 9,21–16,33 8,25–17,29 | 27,88 20,40–35,37 18,35–37,42 | 64% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,25 6,31–12,19 5,48–13,02 | 9,10 6,42–11,78 5,68–12,52 | 18,35 12,73–23,98 11,16–25,54 | 47% 44% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,18 2,30–6,06 1,76–6,61 | 3,63 1,98–5,28 1,48–5,77 | 7,81 4,27–11,34 3,24–12,38 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Cornere | 5,03 2,81–7,24 2,24–7,81 | 5,03 3,03–7,03 2,50–7,57 | 10,06 5,85–14,27 4,74–15,38 | 44% 44% |
| Posesie % | 48,88 42,09–55,67 40,42–57,34 | 50,91 44,13–57,70 42,46–59,37 | — | 43% 52% |
| Pase | 411 344–478 326–497 | 430 363–496 346–514 | 841 707–975 672–1010 | 44% 56% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,39 62,36–70,42 61,07–71,71 | 68,51 64,19–72,84 62,88–74,15 | — | 37% 58% |
| Faulturi | 11,72 8,88–14,56 8,13–15,32 | 11,68 8,74–14,63 7,99–15,38 | 23,41 17,62–29,19 16,12–30,69 | 46% 46% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,76 0,60–2,92 0,30–3,22 | 1,66 0,57–2,75 0,28–3,04 | 3,42 1,16–5,67 0,58–6,26 | 41% 23% 37% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,13 1,08–3,18 0,81–3,44 | 2,14 1,01–3,27 0,72–3,56 | 4,27 2,09–6,45 1,53–7,00 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 3,24 1,80–4,67 1,41–5,06 | 3,17 1,61–4,73 1,19–5,15 | 6,41 3,42–9,40 2,60–10,21 | 43% 16% 41% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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