Bundesliga·Etapa 14·
Bundesliga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
51%
26%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,530,962,49sigur0,57–2,500,10–1,810,67–4,31mai sigur0,32–2,750,00–2,040,19–4,79
Șuturi pe poartă
62%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,813,428,23sigur2,94–6,671,68–5,164,62–11,83mai sigur2,46–7,161,21–5,633,67–12,79
Total șuturi
74%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,5010,8225,32sigur10,57–18,427,26–14,3817,83–32,80mai sigur9,48–19,516,30–15,3415,78–34,85
Șuturi din careu
78%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,916,3216,24sigur6,97–12,863,64–9,0010,61–21,86mai sigur6,14–13,692,90–9,749,05–23,43
Șuturi blocate
52%
15%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,863,207,06sigur1,98–5,741,55–4,863,53–10,60mai sigur1,43–6,291,06–5,352,49–11,63
Cornere
70%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,033,899,92sigur3,81–8,241,89–5,895,71–14,13mai sigur3,24–8,811,36–6,434,60–15,24
Posesie %
62%
33%
gazdeoaspețipredicție53,4247,20sigur46,63–60,2140,42–53,99mai sigur44,96–61,8838,75–55,66
Pase
72%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție458388846sigur391–525322–455713–980mai sigur373–543304–472677–1016
Precizie pase %
39%
56%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,3067,91sigur62,27–70,3363,59–72,23mai sigur60,98–71,6262,28–73,54
Faulturi
42%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,7012,2223,93sigur8,87–14,549,28–15,1718,15–29,71mai sigur8,11–15,308,53–15,9216,64–31,21
Ofsaiduri
44%
24%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,691,443,13sigur0,53–2,850,35–2,530,88–5,39mai sigur0,23–3,150,06–2,820,29–5,98
Cartonașe galbene
37%
20%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,022,154,17sigur0,97–3,071,02–3,282,00–6,35mai sigur0,70–3,340,73–3,571,44–6,91
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,110,22sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,300,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,430,00–0,85
Parade portar
28%
16%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,383,275,65sigur0,94–3,821,72–4,832,66–8,65mai sigur0,56–4,201,29–5,251,85–9,46
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,53 0,57–2,50 0,32–2,75 | 0,96 0,10–1,81 0,00–2,04 | 2,49 0,67–4,31 0,19–4,79 | 51% 26% 24% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,81 2,94–6,67 2,46–7,16 | 3,42 1,68–5,16 1,21–5,63 | 8,23 4,62–11,83 3,67–12,79 | 62% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 14,50 10,57–18,42 9,48–19,51 | 10,82 7,26–14,38 6,30–15,34 | 25,32 17,83–32,80 15,78–34,85 | 74% 20% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,91 6,97–12,86 6,14–13,69 | 6,32 3,64–9,00 2,90–9,74 | 16,24 10,61–21,86 9,05–23,43 | 78% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,86 1,98–5,74 1,43–6,29 | 3,20 1,55–4,86 1,06–5,35 | 7,06 3,53–10,60 2,49–11,63 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Cornere | 6,03 3,81–8,24 3,24–8,81 | 3,89 1,89–5,89 1,36–6,43 | 9,92 5,71–14,13 4,60–15,24 | 70% 20% |
| Posesie % | 53,42 46,63–60,21 44,96–61,88 | 47,20 40,42–53,99 38,75–55,66 | — | 62% 33% |
| Pase | 458 391–525 373–543 | 388 322–455 304–472 | 846 713–980 677–1016 | 72% 28% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,30 62,27–70,33 60,98–71,62 | 67,91 63,59–72,23 62,28–73,54 | — | 39% 56% |
| Faulturi | 11,70 8,87–14,54 8,11–15,30 | 12,22 9,28–15,17 8,53–15,92 | 23,93 18,15–29,71 16,64–31,21 | 42% 50% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,69 0,53–2,85 0,23–3,15 | 1,44 0,35–2,53 0,06–2,82 | 3,13 0,88–5,39 0,29–5,98 | 44% 24% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,02 0,97–3,07 0,70–3,34 | 2,15 1,02–3,28 0,73–3,57 | 4,17 2,00–6,35 1,44–6,91 | 37% 20% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,22 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,38 0,94–3,82 0,56–4,20 | 3,27 1,72–4,83 1,29–5,25 | 5,65 2,66–8,65 1,85–9,46 | 28% 16% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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