Bundesliga·Etapa 14·
Bundesliga·Etapa 14·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
25%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,591,312,90sigur0,62–2,560,45–2,161,08–4,72mai sigur0,37–2,810,23–2,390,60–5,20
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,184,099,27sigur3,32–7,052,35–5,835,67–12,88mai sigur2,83–7,541,88–6,304,71–13,84
Total șuturi
74%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,7311,9227,66sigur11,81–19,668,36–15,4920,17–35,15mai sigur10,72–20,757,40–16,4518,12–37,20
Șuturi din careu
71%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,287,4117,69sigur7,34–13,234,73–10,0912,07–23,32mai sigur6,51–14,053,99–10,8310,50–24,88
Șuturi blocate
52%
14%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,203,547,74sigur2,32–6,081,89–5,194,21–11,28mai sigur1,78–6,631,39–5,683,17–12,31
Cornere
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,094,5510,64sigur3,88–8,312,55–6,556,43–14,86mai sigur3,30–8,882,02–7,095,32–15,97
Posesie %
56%
39%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,3648,62sigur45,57–59,1541,83–55,40mai sigur43,90–60,8240,16–57,07
Pase
61%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție440407846sigur372–507340–473713–980mai sigur354–525323–491677–1016
Precizie pase %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,8067,44sigur63,78–71,8363,12–71,77mai sigur62,48–73,1361,81–73,07
Faulturi
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,3710,7223,10sigur9,53–15,217,78–13,6717,31–28,88mai sigur8,78–15,977,03–14,4215,81–30,38
Ofsaiduri
46%
20%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,191,864,05sigur1,03–3,350,76–2,951,80–6,30mai sigur0,73–3,660,47–3,241,21–6,89
Cartonașe galbene
37%
20%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,092,264,35sigur1,04–3,141,13–3,392,17–6,53mai sigur0,77–3,410,84–3,681,62–7,09
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,130,22sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,320,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,450,00–0,85
Parade portar
31%
16%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,733,446,17sigur1,30–4,171,88–4,993,18–9,16mai sigur0,91–4,561,46–5,422,37–9,98
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,59 0,62–2,56 0,37–2,81 | 1,31 0,45–2,16 0,23–2,39 | 2,90 1,08–4,72 0,60–5,20 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,18 3,32–7,05 2,83–7,54 | 4,09 2,35–5,83 1,88–6,30 | 9,27 5,67–12,88 4,71–13,84 | 58% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 15,73 11,81–19,66 10,72–20,75 | 11,92 8,36–15,49 7,40–16,45 | 27,66 20,17–35,15 18,12–37,20 | 74% 21% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,28 7,34–13,23 6,51–14,05 | 7,41 4,73–10,09 3,99–10,83 | 17,69 12,07–23,32 10,50–24,88 | 71% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,20 2,32–6,08 1,78–6,63 | 3,54 1,89–5,19 1,39–5,68 | 7,74 4,21–11,28 3,17–12,31 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Cornere | 6,09 3,88–8,31 3,30–8,88 | 4,55 2,55–6,55 2,02–7,09 | 10,64 6,43–14,86 5,32–15,97 | 62% 26% |
| Posesie % | 52,36 45,57–59,15 43,90–60,82 | 48,62 41,83–55,40 40,16–57,07 | — | 56% 39% |
| Pase | 440 372–507 354–525 | 407 340–473 323–491 | 846 713–980 677–1016 | 61% 39% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,80 63,78–71,83 62,48–73,13 | 67,44 63,12–71,77 61,81–73,07 | — | 49% 46% |
| Faulturi | 12,37 9,53–15,21 8,78–15,97 | 10,72 7,78–13,67 7,03–14,42 | 23,10 17,31–28,88 15,81–30,38 | 59% 33% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,19 1,03–3,35 0,73–3,66 | 1,86 0,76–2,95 0,47–3,24 | 4,05 1,80–6,30 1,21–6,89 | 46% 20% 33% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,09 1,04–3,14 0,77–3,41 | 2,26 1,13–3,39 0,84–3,68 | 4,35 2,17–6,53 1,62–7,09 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,22 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,73 1,30–4,17 0,91–4,56 | 3,44 1,88–4,99 1,46–5,42 | 6,17 3,18–9,16 2,37–9,98 | 31% 16% 53% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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