Bundesliga·Etapa 15·
Bundesliga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
24%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,161,752,91sigur0,19–2,120,90–2,611,08–4,73mai sigur0,00–2,380,67–2,830,60–5,21
Șuturi pe poartă
25%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,705,228,92sigur1,84–5,563,48–6,965,31–12,52mai sigur1,35–6,053,01–7,434,36–13,48
Total șuturi
29%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,4414,7527,20sigur8,52–16,3711,19–18,3219,71–34,68mai sigur7,43–17,4610,23–19,2817,66–36,73
Șuturi din careu
27%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,729,7217,43sigur4,78–10,667,03–12,4011,81–23,06mai sigur3,95–11,496,30–13,1310,24–24,62
Șuturi blocate
32%
14%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,564,327,88sigur1,68–5,442,67–5,974,34–11,41mai sigur1,13–5,982,18–6,473,31–12,45
Cornere
43%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,105,1610,27sigur2,89–7,323,16–7,166,05–14,48mai sigur2,32–7,892,63–7,694,95–15,59
Posesie %
14%
83%
gazdeoaspețipredicție41,7658,89sigur34,97–48,5552,10–65,67mai sigur33,30–50,2250,43–67,35
Pase
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție376523899sigur309–443456–589765–1033mai sigur291–461439–607730–1068
Precizie pase %
89%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,0176,07sigur61,98–70,0471,74–80,39mai sigur60,69–71,3370,43–81,70
Faulturi
28%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3112,5822,88sigur7,47–13,149,63–15,5217,10–28,67mai sigur6,71–13,908,88–16,2715,60–30,17
Ofsaiduri
41%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,463,04sigur0,42–2,740,37–2,550,78–5,29mai sigur0,12–3,040,08–2,840,19–5,88
Cartonașe galbene
37%
21%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,922,063,98sigur0,87–2,970,94–3,191,81–6,16mai sigur0,60–3,230,64–3,481,25–6,72
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,090,20sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,280,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,410,00–0,83
Parade portar
55%
16%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,432,586,00sigur1,99–4,861,02–4,143,01–9,00mai sigur1,60–5,250,60–4,562,20–9,81
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,16 0,19–2,12 0,00–2,38 | 1,75 0,90–2,61 0,67–2,83 | 2,91 1,08–4,73 0,60–5,21 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,70 1,84–5,56 1,35–6,05 | 5,22 3,48–6,96 3,01–7,43 | 8,92 5,31–12,52 4,36–13,48 | 25% 63% |
| Total șuturi | 12,44 8,52–16,37 7,43–17,46 | 14,75 11,19–18,32 10,23–19,28 | 27,20 19,71–34,68 17,66–36,73 | 29% 64% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,72 4,78–10,66 3,95–11,49 | 9,72 7,03–12,40 6,30–13,13 | 17,43 11,81–23,06 10,24–24,62 | 27% 64% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,56 1,68–5,44 1,13–5,98 | 4,32 2,67–5,97 2,18–6,47 | 7,88 4,34–11,41 3,31–12,45 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Cornere | 5,10 2,89–7,32 2,32–7,89 | 5,16 3,16–7,16 2,63–7,69 | 10,27 6,05–14,48 4,95–15,59 | 43% 44% |
| Posesie % | 41,76 34,97–48,55 33,30–50,22 | 58,89 52,10–65,67 50,43–67,35 | — | 14% 83% |
| Pase | 376 309–443 291–461 | 523 456–589 439–607 | 899 765–1033 730–1068 | 89% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,01 61,98–70,04 60,69–71,33 | 76,07 71,74–80,39 70,43–81,70 | — | 89% |
| Faulturi | 10,31 7,47–13,14 6,71–13,90 | 12,58 9,63–15,52 8,88–16,27 | 22,88 17,10–28,67 15,60–30,17 | 28% 64% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,58 0,42–2,74 0,12–3,04 | 1,46 0,37–2,55 0,08–2,84 | 3,04 0,78–5,29 0,19–5,88 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,92 0,87–2,97 0,60–3,23 | 2,06 0,94–3,19 0,64–3,48 | 3,98 1,81–6,16 1,25–6,72 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,09 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,41 | 0,20 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 3,43 1,99–4,86 1,60–5,25 | 2,58 1,02–4,14 0,60–4,56 | 6,00 3,01–9,00 2,20–9,81 | 55% 16% 29% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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