Bundesliga·Etapa 15·
Bundesliga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
26%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,351,292,64sigur0,38–2,320,43–2,140,82–4,46mai sigur0,13–2,570,20–2,370,34–4,94
Șuturi pe poartă
52%
14%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,613,978,58sigur2,75–6,472,23–5,714,98–12,19mai sigur2,26–6,961,76–6,184,02–13,14
Total șuturi
64%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,0911,7325,82sigur10,16–18,018,17–15,2918,33–33,31mai sigur9,07–19,107,21–16,2516,28–35,36
Șuturi din careu
53%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,587,8016,38sigur5,64–11,525,12–10,4810,76–22,00mai sigur4,81–12,354,38–11,229,19–23,57
Șuturi blocate
51%
15%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,783,206,98sigur1,90–5,661,55–4,853,44–10,51mai sigur1,35–6,201,05–5,342,41–11,55
Cornere
51%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,204,609,80sigur2,99–7,422,60–6,605,59–14,01mai sigur2,42–7,992,06–7,134,48–15,12
Posesie %
53%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,4049,17sigur44,61–58,1942,38–55,95mai sigur42,94–59,8640,71–57,62
Pase
62%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție432394826sigur365–499328–461693–960mai sigur347–517310–478657–996
Precizie pase %
44%
51%
gazdeoaspețipredicție66,0466,75sigur62,01–70,0762,43–71,07mai sigur60,71–71,3661,12–72,38
Faulturi
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,2211,5222,74sigur8,39–14,068,57–14,4616,96–28,53mai sigur7,63–14,827,83–15,2115,46–30,03
Ofsaiduri
37%
22%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,701,813,51sigur0,54–2,860,72–2,901,26–5,77mai sigur0,24–3,160,43–3,190,67–6,35
Cartonașe galbene
34%
20%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,022,334,35sigur0,97–3,071,20–3,462,17–6,52mai sigur0,70–3,330,91–3,751,61–7,08
Cartonașe roșii
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,130,140,27sigur0,00–0,290,00–0,330,00–0,61mai sigur0,00–0,440,00–0,460,00–0,90
Parade portar
34%
17%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,573,065,62sigur1,13–4,011,50–4,612,63–8,62mai sigur0,75–4,391,07–5,041,82–9,43
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,35 0,38–2,32 0,13–2,57 | 1,29 0,43–2,14 0,20–2,37 | 2,64 0,82–4,46 0,34–4,94 | 38% 26% 35% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,61 2,75–6,47 2,26–6,96 | 3,97 2,23–5,71 1,76–6,18 | 8,58 4,98–12,19 4,02–13,14 | 52% 14% 35% |
| Total șuturi | 14,09 10,16–18,01 9,07–19,10 | 11,73 8,17–15,29 7,21–16,25 | 25,82 18,33–33,31 16,28–35,36 | 64% 29% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,58 5,64–11,52 4,81–12,35 | 7,80 5,12–10,48 4,38–11,22 | 16,38 10,76–22,00 9,19–23,57 | 53% 38% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,78 1,90–5,66 1,35–6,20 | 3,20 1,55–4,85 1,05–5,34 | 6,98 3,44–10,51 2,41–11,55 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,20 2,99–7,42 2,42–7,99 | 4,60 2,60–6,60 2,06–7,13 | 9,80 5,59–14,01 4,48–15,12 | 51% 36% |
| Posesie % | 51,40 44,61–58,19 42,94–59,86 | 49,17 42,38–55,95 40,71–57,62 | — | 53% 42% |
| Pase | 432 365–499 347–517 | 394 328–461 310–478 | 826 693–960 657–996 | 62% 38% |
| Precizie pase % | 66,04 62,01–70,07 60,71–71,36 | 66,75 62,43–71,07 61,12–72,38 | — | 44% 51% |
| Faulturi | 11,22 8,39–14,06 7,63–14,82 | 11,52 8,57–14,46 7,83–15,21 | 22,74 16,96–28,53 15,46–30,03 | 43% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,70 0,54–2,86 0,24–3,16 | 1,81 0,72–2,90 0,43–3,19 | 3,51 1,26–5,77 0,67–6,35 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,02 0,97–3,07 0,70–3,33 | 2,33 1,20–3,46 0,91–3,75 | 4,35 2,17–6,52 1,61–7,08 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,13 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,44 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,27 0,00–0,61 0,00–0,90 | 78% |
| Parade portar | 2,57 1,13–4,01 0,75–4,39 | 3,06 1,50–4,61 1,07–5,04 | 5,62 2,63–8,62 1,82–9,43 | 34% 17% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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