Bundesliga·Etapa 15·
Bundesliga·Etapa 15·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
24%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,172,81sigur0,67–2,610,32–2,030,99–4,63mai sigur0,42–2,860,09–2,250,51–5,11
Șuturi pe poartă
54%
13%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,924,109,02sigur3,05–6,782,36–5,845,41–12,62mai sigur2,56–7,271,89–6,314,46–13,58
Total șuturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,6712,6827,35sigur10,75–18,609,12–16,2419,87–34,84mai sigur9,66–19,698,16–17,2017,82–36,89
Șuturi din careu
63%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,008,1118,11sigur7,06–12,945,43–10,7912,48–23,73mai sigur6,23–13,774,69–11,5310,92–25,30
Șuturi blocate
51%
15%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,813,267,07sigur1,93–5,691,61–4,913,53–10,61mai sigur1,38–6,231,12–5,412,50–11,64
Cornere
52%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,544,8310,37sigur3,33–7,762,83–6,836,16–14,59mai sigur2,75–8,332,30–7,375,05–15,70
Posesie %
55%
41%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,4548,39sigur44,66–58,2441,61–55,18mai sigur42,99–59,9139,94–56,85
Pase
59%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție420391811sigur353–487324–457677–944mai sigur334–505307–475641–980
Precizie pase %
38%
57%
gazdeoaspețipredicție65,6667,55sigur61,63–69,6963,22–71,87mai sigur60,34–70,9861,91–73,18
Faulturi
44%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,0612,3024,37sigur9,23–14,909,36–15,2518,58–30,15mai sigur8,47–15,668,61–15,9917,08–31,65
Ofsaiduri
61%
18%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,611,544,15sigur1,45–3,770,45–2,631,89–6,40mai sigur1,15–4,070,16–2,921,30–6,99
Cartonașe galbene
39%
21%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,921,943,86sigur0,87–2,970,81–3,071,68–6,04mai sigur0,60–3,230,52–3,361,12–6,59
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,100,130,23sigur0,00–0,260,00–0,320,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,410,00–0,450,00–0,86
Parade portar
33%
16%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,843,396,23sigur1,40–4,271,83–4,943,23–9,22mai sigur1,01–4,661,41–5,372,42–10,03
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,64 0,67–2,61 0,42–2,86 | 1,17 0,32–2,03 0,09–2,25 | 2,81 0,99–4,63 0,51–5,11 | 48% 24% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,92 3,05–6,78 2,56–7,27 | 4,10 2,36–5,84 1,89–6,31 | 9,02 5,41–12,62 4,46–13,58 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 14,67 10,75–18,60 9,66–19,69 | 12,68 9,12–16,24 8,16–17,20 | 27,35 19,87–34,84 17,82–36,89 | 61% 32% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,00 7,06–12,94 6,23–13,77 | 8,11 5,43–10,79 4,69–11,53 | 18,11 12,48–23,73 10,92–25,30 | 63% 29% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,81 1,93–5,69 1,38–6,23 | 3,26 1,61–4,91 1,12–5,41 | 7,07 3,53–10,61 2,50–11,64 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,54 3,33–7,76 2,75–8,33 | 4,83 2,83–6,83 2,30–7,37 | 10,37 6,16–14,59 5,05–15,70 | 52% 35% |
| Posesie % | 51,45 44,66–58,24 42,99–59,91 | 48,39 41,61–55,18 39,94–56,85 | — | 55% 41% |
| Pase | 420 353–487 334–505 | 391 324–457 307–475 | 811 677–944 641–980 | 59% 40% |
| Precizie pase % | 65,66 61,63–69,69 60,34–70,98 | 67,55 63,22–71,87 61,91–73,18 | — | 38% 57% |
| Faulturi | 12,06 9,23–14,90 8,47–15,66 | 12,30 9,36–15,25 8,61–15,99 | 24,37 18,58–30,15 17,08–31,65 | 44% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,61 1,45–3,77 1,15–4,07 | 1,54 0,45–2,63 0,16–2,92 | 4,15 1,89–6,40 1,30–6,99 | 61% 18% 21% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,92 0,87–2,97 0,60–3,23 | 1,94 0,81–3,07 0,52–3,36 | 3,86 1,68–6,04 1,12–6,59 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,10 0,00–0,26 0,00–0,41 | 0,13 0,00–0,32 0,00–0,45 | 0,23 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,86 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,84 1,40–4,27 1,01–4,66 | 3,39 1,83–4,94 1,41–5,37 | 6,23 3,23–9,22 2,42–10,03 | 33% 16% 51% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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