Bundesliga·Etapa 16·
Bundesliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
66%
20%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,130,893,02sigur1,16–3,090,04–1,751,20–4,84mai sigur0,91–3,350,00–1,980,72–5,32
Șuturi pe poartă
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,122,919,03sigur4,25–7,981,17–4,665,43–12,64mai sigur3,76–8,470,71–5,124,47–13,59
Total șuturi
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție16,978,7725,74sigur13,05–20,905,21–12,3318,25–33,23mai sigur11,96–21,994,25–13,2916,20–35,28
Șuturi din careu
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,805,6916,49sigur7,86–13,743,01–8,3710,87–22,12mai sigur7,03–14,572,28–9,119,30–23,68
Șuturi blocate
72%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,422,406,82sigur2,54–6,300,75–4,053,28–10,35mai sigur1,99–6,850,25–4,542,25–11,39
Cornere
78%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,303,429,72sigur4,09–8,511,42–5,425,51–13,93mai sigur3,51–9,090,88–5,954,40–15,04
Posesie %
83%
14%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,4341,29sigur51,64–65,2234,51–48,08mai sigur49,97–66,8932,84–49,75
Pase
94%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție552367918sigur484–619300–433785–1052mai sigur466–637283–451749–1088
Precizie pase %
78%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție74,7768,25sigur70,74–78,8063,93–72,58mai sigur69,45–80,0962,62–73,88
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,3311,9622,29sigur7,49–13,179,01–14,9016,51–28,07mai sigur6,74–13,928,27–15,6515,00–29,58
Ofsaiduri
32%
22%
46%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,641,993,63sigur0,48–2,800,90–3,081,38–5,89mai sigur0,18–3,100,61–3,370,79–6,48
Cartonașe galbene
21%
19%
60%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,302,303,60sigur0,25–2,351,17–3,431,43–5,78mai sigur0,00–2,620,88–3,720,87–6,34
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,120,18sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,300,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,440,00–0,81
Parade portar
18%
14%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,073,685,75sigur0,63–3,502,12–5,242,75–8,74mai sigur0,24–3,891,70–5,661,94–9,55
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,13 1,16–3,09 0,91–3,35 | 0,89 0,04–1,75 0,00–1,98 | 3,02 1,20–4,84 0,72–5,32 | 66% 20% 15% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,12 4,25–7,98 3,76–8,47 | 2,91 1,17–4,66 0,71–5,12 | 9,03 5,43–12,64 4,47–13,59 | 82% |
| Total șuturi | 16,97 13,05–20,90 11,96–21,99 | 8,77 5,21–12,33 4,25–13,29 | 25,74 18,25–33,23 16,20–35,28 | 94% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,80 7,86–13,74 7,03–14,57 | 5,69 3,01–8,37 2,28–9,11 | 16,49 10,87–22,12 9,30–23,68 | 87% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,42 2,54–6,30 1,99–6,85 | 2,40 0,75–4,05 0,25–4,54 | 6,82 3,28–10,35 2,25–11,39 | 72% 16% |
| Cornere | 6,30 4,09–8,51 3,51–9,09 | 3,42 1,42–5,42 0,88–5,95 | 9,72 5,51–13,93 4,40–15,04 | 78% 14% |
| Posesie % | 58,43 51,64–65,22 49,97–66,89 | 41,29 34,51–48,08 32,84–49,75 | — | 83% 14% |
| Pase | 552 484–619 466–637 | 367 300–433 283–451 | 918 785–1052 749–1088 | 94% |
| Precizie pase % | 74,77 70,74–78,80 69,45–80,09 | 68,25 63,93–72,58 62,62–73,88 | — | 78% 18% |
| Faulturi | 10,33 7,49–13,17 6,74–13,92 | 11,96 9,01–14,90 8,27–15,65 | 22,29 16,51–28,07 15,00–29,58 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,64 0,48–2,80 0,18–3,10 | 1,99 0,90–3,08 0,61–3,37 | 3,63 1,38–5,89 0,79–6,48 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,30 0,25–2,35 0,00–2,62 | 2,30 1,17–3,43 0,88–3,72 | 3,60 1,43–5,78 0,87–6,34 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,07 0,63–3,50 0,24–3,89 | 3,68 2,12–5,24 1,70–5,66 | 5,75 2,75–8,74 1,94–9,55 | 18% 14% 68% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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