Bundesliga·Etapa 16·
Bundesliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
64%
20%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,090,923,00sigur1,12–3,060,06–1,771,18–4,83mai sigur0,87–3,310,00–2,000,70–5,31
Șuturi pe poartă
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,213,299,51sigur4,35–8,081,55–5,045,90–13,11mai sigur3,86–8,561,09–5,504,95–14,07
Total șuturi
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție19,9110,2030,10sigur15,98–23,836,63–13,7622,62–37,59mai sigur14,89–24,925,68–14,7220,56–39,64
Șuturi din careu
90%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,206,2018,41sigur9,26–15,153,52–8,8812,78–24,03mai sigur8,43–15,982,79–9,6211,22–25,60
Șuturi blocate
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,973,128,09sigur3,09–6,851,46–4,774,55–11,62mai sigur2,54–7,390,97–5,263,52–12,66
Cornere
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,243,7611,00sigur5,03–9,461,76–5,766,79–15,21mai sigur4,45–10,031,23–6,295,68–16,32
Posesie %
92%
gazdeoaspețipredicție62,7337,39sigur55,94–69,5230,61–44,18mai sigur54,27–71,1928,94–45,85
Pase
98%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție584328912sigur517–651262–395779–1046mai sigur499–670244–412743–1082
Precizie pase %
80%
17%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,4266,47sigur69,39–77,4562,15–70,79mai sigur68,10–78,7460,84–72,10
Faulturi
33%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,8512,4023,25sigur8,01–13,699,46–15,3517,47–29,04mai sigur7,26–14,448,71–16,1015,97–30,54
Ofsaiduri
45%
24%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,671,333,00sigur0,51–2,830,24–2,430,75–5,26mai sigur0,21–3,130,00–2,710,16–5,85
Cartonașe galbene
28%
22%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,482,013,49sigur0,43–2,530,88–3,141,31–5,67mai sigur0,16–2,790,59–3,430,75–6,22
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,19sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
15%
73%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,154,206,35sigur0,71–3,582,65–5,763,36–9,34mai sigur0,32–3,972,22–6,182,55–10,15
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,09 1,12–3,06 0,87–3,31 | 0,92 0,06–1,77 0,00–2,00 | 3,00 1,18–4,83 0,70–5,31 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,21 4,35–8,08 3,86–8,56 | 3,29 1,55–5,04 1,09–5,50 | 9,51 5,90–13,11 4,95–14,07 | 79% |
| Total șuturi | 19,91 15,98–23,83 14,89–24,92 | 10,20 6,63–13,76 5,68–14,72 | 30,10 22,62–37,59 20,56–39,64 | 96% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,20 9,26–15,15 8,43–15,98 | 6,20 3,52–8,88 2,79–9,62 | 18,41 12,78–24,03 11,22–25,60 | 90% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,97 3,09–6,85 2,54–7,39 | 3,12 1,46–4,77 0,97–5,26 | 8,09 4,55–11,62 3,52–12,66 | 68% 20% |
| Cornere | 7,24 5,03–9,46 4,45–10,03 | 3,76 1,76–5,76 1,23–6,29 | 11,00 6,79–15,21 5,68–16,32 | 82% |
| Posesie % | 62,73 55,94–69,52 54,27–71,19 | 37,39 30,61–44,18 28,94–45,85 | — | 92% |
| Pase | 584 517–651 499–670 | 328 262–395 244–412 | 912 779–1046 743–1082 | 98% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,42 69,39–77,45 68,10–78,74 | 66,47 62,15–70,79 60,84–72,10 | — | 80% 17% |
| Faulturi | 10,85 8,01–13,69 7,26–14,44 | 12,40 9,46–15,35 8,71–16,10 | 23,25 17,47–29,04 15,97–30,54 | 33% 59% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,67 0,51–2,83 0,21–3,13 | 1,33 0,24–2,43 0,00–2,71 | 3,00 0,75–5,26 0,16–5,85 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,48 0,43–2,53 0,16–2,79 | 2,01 0,88–3,14 0,59–3,43 | 3,49 1,31–5,67 0,75–6,22 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,15 0,71–3,58 0,32–3,97 | 4,20 2,65–5,76 2,22–6,18 | 6,35 3,36–9,34 2,55–10,15 | 15% 73% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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