Bundesliga·Etapa 16·
Bundesliga·Etapa 16·Statistici estimate
Goluri
73%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,590,943,53sigur1,63–3,560,08–1,791,71–5,35mai sigur1,37–3,810,00–2,021,23–5,83
Șuturi pe poartă
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,093,7410,83sigur5,23–8,952,00–5,487,22–14,43mai sigur4,74–9,441,53–5,956,27–15,39
Total șuturi
96%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție20,2110,0330,25sigur16,29–24,146,47–13,6022,76–37,73mai sigur15,20–25,235,51–14,5520,71–39,79
Șuturi din careu
89%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,476,7019,16sigur9,53–15,414,02–9,3813,54–24,79mai sigur8,70–16,243,28–10,1211,97–26,35
Șuturi blocate
77%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,682,988,67sigur3,80–7,571,33–4,645,13–12,20mai sigur3,26–8,110,84–5,134,10–13,24
Cornere
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,543,5911,13sigur5,32–9,751,59–5,596,92–15,34mai sigur4,75–10,321,06–6,135,81–16,45
Posesie %
91%
gazdeoaspețipredicție61,5438,19sigur54,75–68,3331,41–44,98mai sigur53,08–70,0029,74–46,65
Pase
97%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție612387999sigur545–680320–453865–1133mai sigur527–698303–471830–1168
Precizie pase %
82%
15%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,1169,42sigur73,08–81,1465,09–73,74mai sigur71,79–82,4363,79–75,05
Faulturi
28%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,9412,1322,07sigur7,10–12,779,19–15,0816,29–27,85mai sigur6,34–13,538,44–15,8314,78–29,35
Ofsaiduri
43%
22%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,941,733,67sigur0,78–3,100,64–2,831,42–5,93mai sigur0,48–3,400,35–3,120,83–6,52
Cartonașe galbene
29%
20%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,682,233,91sigur0,63–2,731,10–3,361,73–6,09mai sigur0,36–3,000,81–3,651,18–6,65
Cartonașe roșii
85%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,100,17sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,290,00–0,51mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,420,00–0,80
Parade portar
19%
68%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,594,326,90sigur1,15–4,022,76–5,873,91–9,90mai sigur0,76–4,412,34–6,303,10–10,71
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,59 1,63–3,56 1,37–3,81 | 0,94 0,08–1,79 0,00–2,02 | 3,53 1,71–5,35 1,23–5,83 | 73% 16% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 7,09 5,23–8,95 4,74–9,44 | 3,74 2,00–5,48 1,53–5,95 | 10,83 7,22–14,43 6,27–15,39 | 81% |
| Total șuturi | 20,21 16,29–24,14 15,20–25,23 | 10,03 6,47–13,60 5,51–14,55 | 30,25 22,76–37,73 20,71–39,79 | 96% |
| Șuturi din careu | 12,47 9,53–15,41 8,70–16,24 | 6,70 4,02–9,38 3,28–10,12 | 19,16 13,54–24,79 11,97–26,35 | 89% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,68 3,80–7,57 3,26–8,11 | 2,98 1,33–4,64 0,84–5,13 | 8,67 5,13–12,20 4,10–13,24 | 77% 13% |
| Cornere | 7,54 5,32–9,75 4,75–10,32 | 3,59 1,59–5,59 1,06–6,13 | 11,13 6,92–15,34 5,81–16,45 | 85% |
| Posesie % | 61,54 54,75–68,33 53,08–70,00 | 38,19 31,41–44,98 29,74–46,65 | — | 91% |
| Pase | 612 545–680 527–698 | 387 320–453 303–471 | 999 865–1133 830–1168 | 97% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,11 73,08–81,14 71,79–82,43 | 69,42 65,09–73,74 63,79–75,05 | — | 82% 15% |
| Faulturi | 9,94 7,10–12,77 6,34–13,53 | 12,13 9,19–15,08 8,44–15,83 | 22,07 16,29–27,85 14,78–29,35 | 28% 64% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,94 0,78–3,10 0,48–3,40 | 1,73 0,64–2,83 0,35–3,12 | 3,67 1,42–5,93 0,83–6,52 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,68 0,63–2,73 0,36–3,00 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 3,91 1,73–6,09 1,18–6,65 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,17 0,00–0,51 0,00–0,80 | 85% |
| Parade portar | 2,59 1,15–4,02 0,76–4,41 | 4,32 2,76–5,87 2,34–6,30 | 6,90 3,91–9,90 3,10–10,71 | 19% 68% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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