Bundesliga·Etapa 17·
Bundesliga·Etapa 17·Statistici estimate
Goluri
48%
26%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,501,012,51sigur0,53–2,470,16–1,870,69–4,34mai sigur0,28–2,720,00–2,100,21–4,82
Șuturi pe poartă
58%
13%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,603,518,10sigur2,73–6,461,77–5,254,50–11,71mai sigur2,25–6,951,30–5,723,54–12,67
Total șuturi
68%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,8810,1022,98sigur8,95–16,806,54–13,6615,49–30,46mai sigur7,86–17,895,58–14,6213,44–32,51
Șuturi din careu
71%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,046,3715,41sigur6,10–11,983,69–9,059,79–21,03mai sigur5,27–12,812,95–9,798,22–22,60
Șuturi blocate
64%
14%
22%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,892,486,37sigur2,01–5,770,83–4,132,84–9,91mai sigur1,46–6,310,34–4,631,80–10,94
Cornere
70%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,963,809,76sigur3,74–8,171,80–5,805,55–13,97mai sigur3,17–8,741,27–6,344,44–15,08
Posesie %
70%
26%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,8545,18sigur48,06–61,6438,39–51,96mai sigur46,39–63,3136,72–53,63
Pase
83%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție482369851sigur415–549302–435717–984mai sigur397–568285–453681–1020
Precizie pase %
49%
46%
gazdeoaspețipredicție67,5167,15sigur63,48–71,5462,82–71,47mai sigur62,19–72,8361,51–72,78
Faulturi
37%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,3412,4223,76sigur8,51–14,189,47–15,3617,98–29,54mai sigur7,75–14,948,72–16,1116,47–31,05
Ofsaiduri
40%
24%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,541,463,00sigur0,38–2,700,36–2,550,74–5,25mai sigur0,08–3,000,07–2,840,15–5,84
Cartonașe galbene
35%
20%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,002,274,27sigur0,95–3,051,14–3,402,09–6,45mai sigur0,68–3,310,85–3,691,53–7,00
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,300,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,82
Parade portar
29%
16%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,393,215,59sigur0,95–3,821,65–4,762,60–8,58mai sigur0,56–4,211,22–5,191,79–9,40
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,50 0,53–2,47 0,28–2,72 | 1,01 0,16–1,87 0,00–2,10 | 2,51 0,69–4,34 0,21–4,82 | 48% 26% 26% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,60 2,73–6,46 2,25–6,95 | 3,51 1,77–5,25 1,30–5,72 | 8,10 4,50–11,71 3,54–12,67 | 58% 13% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 12,88 8,95–16,80 7,86–17,89 | 10,10 6,54–13,66 5,58–14,62 | 22,98 15,49–30,46 13,44–32,51 | 68% 25% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,04 6,10–11,98 5,27–12,81 | 6,37 3,69–9,05 2,95–9,79 | 15,41 9,79–21,03 8,22–22,60 | 71% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,89 2,01–5,77 1,46–6,31 | 2,48 0,83–4,13 0,34–4,63 | 6,37 2,84–9,91 1,80–10,94 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Cornere | 5,96 3,74–8,17 3,17–8,74 | 3,80 1,80–5,80 1,27–6,34 | 9,76 5,55–13,97 4,44–15,08 | 70% 20% |
| Posesie % | 54,85 48,06–61,64 46,39–63,31 | 45,18 38,39–51,96 36,72–53,63 | — | 70% 26% |
| Pase | 482 415–549 397–568 | 369 302–435 285–453 | 851 717–984 681–1020 | 83% 17% |
| Precizie pase % | 67,51 63,48–71,54 62,19–72,83 | 67,15 62,82–71,47 61,51–72,78 | — | 49% 46% |
| Faulturi | 11,34 8,51–14,18 7,75–14,94 | 12,42 9,47–15,36 8,72–16,11 | 23,76 17,98–29,54 16,47–31,05 | 37% 55% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,70 0,08–3,00 | 1,46 0,36–2,55 0,07–2,84 | 3,00 0,74–5,25 0,15–5,84 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,00 0,95–3,05 0,68–3,31 | 2,27 1,14–3,40 0,85–3,69 | 4,27 2,09–6,45 1,53–7,00 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,39 0,95–3,82 0,56–4,21 | 3,21 1,65–4,76 1,22–5,19 | 5,59 2,60–8,58 1,79–9,40 | 29% 16% 55% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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